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2937 8th St
C- Composite 51.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$82,000

2937 8th St · Muskegon Heights, MI 49444
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 682 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1915 3,746 sqft lot Est $80k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom 1 bath home on a corner lot. New furnace and new flooring 2024. Full unfinished basement, enclosed front porch

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • New flooring
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW FURNACENEW FLOORINGFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTENCLOSED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Built in 1915
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (14 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (11 x 9); Bedroom 2 (8 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Replacement windows; Total of 5 rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($838 rent vs $82k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#574 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.84%
Cash-on-cash
5.51%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,794
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3140 Temple St 0.33mi 2/1.0 690 (+1%) 12mo $90,000 $130 72
3133 Sanford St 0.38mi 2/1.0 724 (+6%) 2mo $50,000 $69 70
3300 5th St 0.39mi 2/1.0 704 (+3%) 8mo $59,500 $85 69
3304 Waalkes St 0.38mi 2/1.0 760 (+11%) 0mo $115,900 $153 63
3229 Jefferson St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 732 (+7%) 2mo $114,000 $156 62
3033 Morton Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 688 (+1%) 7mo $97,000 $141 60
3364 7th St 0.48mi 1/1.0 (-1) 660 (-3%) 9mo $39,900 $60 59
3015 Lemuel St 0.32mi 2/1.0 592 (-13%) 7mo $29,900 $51 58
2817 Mason Blvd 0.68mi 2/1.0 624 (-8%) 1mo $54,900 $88 53
3237 Sanford St 0.45mi 2/1.0 776 (+14%) 5mo $16,000 $21 52
3236 Maffett St 0.56mi 2/1.0 784 (+15%) 12mo $141,900 $181 39
224 E Lincoln Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 770 (+13%) 2mo $90,000 $117 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-6,565
Equity at exit
$12,226
10-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$2,958
Equity at exit
$7,090

Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49444

Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$838 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$430
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $705
Max offer price $82,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $152 -5% $129 +0% $105 +5% $82 +10% $59
Rent -10% $39 -5% $72 +0% $105 +5% $139 +10% $172
Rate -1.0pp $147 -0.5pp $126 base $105 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $63

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,500
Closing costs
$2,460
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2901 Temple St Unit 2 Muskegon Heights, MI 1.0 1.0 400 $750 $1.88 21d 1 0.25mi
2516 5th St Apt 1 Muskegon Heights, MI 1.0 1.0 630 $775 $1.23 21d 1 0.62mi
2516 5th St Apt 2 Muskegon Heights, MI 1.0 1.0 630 $750 $1.19 21d 1 0.62mi
1893 Jefferson St Unit 2 Muskegon, MI 1.0 1.0 594 $700 $1.18 21d 1 1.41mi
121 E Holbrook Ave Apt 3 Muskegon, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $82,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $82,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $82,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $82,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 121-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $82,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,188 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$75/yr (+$6/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,061
− Mortgage interest
−$4,593
− Property taxes
−$1,112
− Insurance
−$410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$805
− Management
−$805
− Depreciation
−$2,385
Taxable loss
−$50
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$12
After-tax cash flow
$1,277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Muskegon Heights

Score
61/100
State rank
#574
US rank
#18269

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Muskegon Heights, MI
County
Muskegon County · 107,917 people
Metro
Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,372
Household income
$53,054
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
930.0

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.02%
Current HPI
209.2698
Rent YoY
Metro
Muskegon, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+415.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-19 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-19 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-19 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-26 Sold (MLS) $13,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-07-15 Listed $15,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,112 · +160.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…