2937 8th St · Muskegon Heights, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom 1 bath home on a corner lot. New furnace and new flooring 2024. Full unfinished basement, enclosed front porch
Key facts
- New furnace
- New flooring
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity available; Cable connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Built in 1915
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (14 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (11 x 9); Bedroom 2 (8 x 9)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Replacement windows; Total of 5 rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($838 rent vs $82k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#574 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.51%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,794
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3140 Temple St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (+1%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $130 | 72 |
| 3133 Sanford St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 724 (+6%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $69 | 70 |
| 3300 5th St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+3%) | 8mo | $59,500 | $85 | 69 |
| 3304 Waalkes St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (+11%) | 0mo | $115,900 | $153 | 63 |
| 3229 Jefferson St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 732 (+7%) | 2mo | $114,000 | $156 | 62 |
| 3033 Morton Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (+1%) | 7mo | $97,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 3364 7th St | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 660 (-3%) | 9mo | $39,900 | $60 | 59 |
| 3015 Lemuel St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 592 (-13%) | 7mo | $29,900 | $51 | 58 |
| 2817 Mason Blvd | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-8%) | 1mo | $54,900 | $88 | 53 |
| 3237 Sanford St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 776 (+14%) | 5mo | $16,000 | $21 | 52 |
| 3236 Maffett St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+15%) | 12mo | $141,900 | $181 | 39 |
| 224 E Lincoln Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 770 (+13%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-6,565
- Equity at exit
- $12,226
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $2,958
- Equity at exit
- $7,090
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49444
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $838 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $152 | -5% $129 | +0% $105 | +5% $82 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $39 | -5% $72 | +0% $105 | +5% $139 | +10% $172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $147 | -0.5pp $126 | base $105 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $63 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2901 Temple St Unit 2 Muskegon Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $750 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2516 5th St Apt 1 Muskegon Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $775 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2516 5th St Apt 2 Muskegon Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $750 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1893 Jefferson St Unit 2 Muskegon, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 594 | $700 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 121 E Holbrook Ave Apt 3 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $82,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $82,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 121-char remark
-
2026-06-07$82,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,061
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,112
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$805
- − Management
- −$805
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable loss
- −$50
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$12
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Muskegon Heights
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #18269
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muskegon Heights, MI
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,372
- Household income
- $53,054
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 930.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.02%
- Current HPI
- 209.2698
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+415.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-05 Listed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-04-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-04-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-19 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-04-10 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-04-10 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-10 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
- 2003-09-26 Sold (MLS) $13,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-07-15 Listed $15,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,112 · +160.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…