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353 Ohio St
B Composite 73.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

353 Ohio St · Lexington-Fayette, KY 40508
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $198k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is to be sold at auction on Wednesday, December 30, 2009 at 12:00 NOON with no minimum or reserve. The list price reflects suggested value. Pre-auction offers are welcome under the same auction terms and conditions. SALE TERMS: as Is/Non-Contingent/10% earnest money deposit/30 day settlement/10% buyer's premium added to all offers.Investors are Encouraged to Participate!! <div align=center><FONT color=#ffffff size=+1><MARQUEE bgcolor=#000080 direction=left loop=20 width=75%><STRONG>ABSOLUTE AUCTION WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2009 AT 12 NOON!!!</STRONG></MARQUEE></FONT></DIV> This home has central heat & air. The Seller said the furnace was replaced 5 years ago and the electrical service has been updated. Drive by today!

Key facts

  • Listed 56 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Located in the Downtown subdivision; County: Fayette
  • Construction: Building area approximately 2,962
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Has heating
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fayette County (urban): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #27 of 165 in KY (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: William Wells Brown Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #648 of 676 statewide, top 98%, 308 students, 86% FRL); Lexington Trad Magnet School (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #206 of 217 statewide, top 95%, 296 students, 81% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 47% / reading 54%, grade D+, #10 of 254 statewide, top 4%, 2,432 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 44% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fayette County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.8%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,036 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (542 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $145k implies a 998% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
10.08%
Cash-on-cash
13.53%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,616
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
336 Ohio St 0.04mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-0%) 4mo $159,990 $145 90
443 Chestnut St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+4%) 1mo $109,900 $96 87
443 Ohio St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,063 (-4%) 3mo $151,000 $142 80
330 Corral St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-4%) 11mo $165,000 $156 72
650 N Martin Luther King Blvd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,090 (-1%) 3mo $215,000 $197 69
331 Wilgus Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,260 (+14%) 1mo $242,500 $192 68
570 Ohio St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,014 (-8%) 1mo $145,000 $143 66
635 N Martin Luther King Blvd 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,035 (-6%) 2mo $185,000 $179 65
125 Rand Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,130 (+2%) 10mo $305,000 $270 65
380 Nelson Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,252 (+13%) 2mo $285,000 $228 53
635 Breckenridge St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+12%) 3mo $100,000 $81 42
220 W 6th St 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (-13%) 4mo $221,000 $230 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$14,356
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$89,634
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40508

Rents YoY
11.8%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $363/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,077
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $540 -5% $499 +0% $458 +5% $417 +10% $376
Rent -10% $327 -5% $392 +0% $458 +5% $523 +10% $589
Rate -1.0pp $531 -0.5pp $495 base $458 +0.5pp $420 +1.0pp $382

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
425 Hawkins Ave Lexington, KY 3.0 1.5 1124 $1,570 $1.40 14d 1 0.14mi
434 N Martin Luther King Blvd #201 Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 950 $1,450 $1.53 24d 1 0.20mi
426 E Fifth St Unit Z1 Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 719 $1,195 $1.66 24d 1 0.22mi
246 Warnock St Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 810 $1,195 $1.48 24d 1 0.27mi
236 Warnock St Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 1028 $2,200 $2.14 24d 1 0.28mi
211 E Sixth St Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 24d 1 0.38mi
627 N Martin Luther King Blvd Lexington, KY 4.0 2.0 1440 $1,400 $0.97 24d 1 0.44mi
658 Elm Tree Ln Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 24d 1 0.45mi
214 E Seventh St Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 832 $1,000 $1.20 24d 1 0.50mi
231 Walton Ave Unit 206 Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1178 $1,700 $1.44 24d 1 0.50mi
706 Lancaster Ave Lexington, KY 3.0 3.0 1050 $1,495 $1.42 14d 1 0.53mi
120 E Main St Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0–2.0 710 $2,486 $3.50 14d 20 0.55mi
222 W Sixth St Lexington, KY 3.0 1.5 1050 $1,150 $1.10 24d 1 0.56mi
444 N Broadway Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,595 $1.38 24d 1 0.57mi
653 Jackson St Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 839 $1,295 $1.54 14d 1 0.61mi
143 Woodland Ave Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 24d 1 0.63mi
341 Grosvenor Ave Unit 3 Lexington, KY 3.0 3.0 875 $2,500 $2.86 24d 1 0.68mi
341 Grosvenor Ave Unit 1 Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 700 $2,050 $2.93 24d 1 0.68mi
341 Grosvenor Ave #4 Lexington, KY 3.0 3.0 859 $2,600 $3.03 24d 1 0.68mi
170 E Loudon Ave Unit 2 Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,350 $0.90 24d 1 0.71mi
161 E Loudon Ave Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 1118 $1,300 $1.16 24d 1 0.74mi
261 S Limestone #303 Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1102 $2,995 $2.72 24d 1 0.79mi
275 S Limestone #135 Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 1142 $2,950 $2.58 14d 1 0.80mi
275 S Limestone #115 Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1010 $2,500 $2.48 24d 1 0.80mi
444 Jefferson St Unit A Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1220 $1,950 $1.60 14d 1 0.84mi
330 Rose St Lexington, KY 1.0–2.0 1.0 627 $1,450 $2.31 24d 1 0.85mi
355 S Broadway #305 Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1436 $2,900 $2.02 24d 1 0.90mi
115 W Loudon Ave Unit L97 Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 960 $980 $1.02 24d 1 0.90mi
345 Blackburn Ave Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 946 $1,925 $2.03 14d 1 0.96mi
303 Owsley Ave Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 1188 $2,100 $1.77 14d 1 1.01mi
811 Shelby Ave Unit Z1 Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 792 $1,224 $1.55 14d 1 1.04mi
302 Owsley Ave Lexington, KY 4.0 1.0 1025 $1,895 $1.85 24d 1 1.04mi
330 Newtown Pike Lexington, KY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 976 $1,377 $1.41 24d 1 1.08mi
585 S Upper St #114 Lexington, KY 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 24d 1 1.10mi
832 W High St Unit 1 Lexington, KY 3.0 1.5 900 $1,400 $1.56 24d 1 1.15mi
161 Preston Ave #3 Lexington, KY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 14d 1 1.17mi
1211 N Limestone Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,050 $0.81 24d 1 1.18mi
458 Morgan Ave Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 1275 $1,325 $1.04 24d 1 1.21mi
723 Charles Ave Lexington, KY 3.0 1.0 992 $1,300 $1.31 14d 1 1.22mi
411 Morgan Ave Lexington, KY 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,600 $1.38 22d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    price $145,000
  17. 2026-04-28
    price $149,999
  18. 2026-04-23
    listed $139,999 Active
  19. 2010-01-19
    soldstatus $13,200
  20. 2010-01-11
    soldstatus $13,200 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    This property is to be sold at auction on Wednesday, December 30, 2009 at 12:00 NOON with no minimum or reserve. The list price reflects suggested value. Pre-auction offers are welcome under the same auction terms and conditions. SALE TERMS: as Is/Non-Contingent/10% earnest money deposit/30 day settlement/10% buyer's premium added to all offers.Investors are Encouraged to Participate!! &lt;div align=center&gt;&lt;FONT color=#ffffff size=+1&gt;&lt;MARQUEE bgcolor=#000080 direction=left loop=20 width=75%&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;ABSOLUTE AUCTION WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2009 AT 12 NOON!!!&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/MARQUEE&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/DIV&gt; This home has central heat &amp; air. The Seller said the furnace was replaced 5 years ago and the electrical service has been updated. Drive by today!

  21. 2009-12-30
    historical 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    This property is to be sold at auction on Wednesday, December 30, 2009 at 12:00 NOON with no minimum or reserve. The list price reflects suggested value. Pre-auction offers are welcome under the same auction terms and conditions. SALE TERMS: as Is/Non-Contingent/10% earnest money deposit/30 day settlement/10% buyer's premium added to all offers.Investors are Encouraged to Participate!! &lt;div align=center&gt;&lt;FONT color=#ffffff size=+1&gt;&lt;MARQUEE bgcolor=#000080 direction=left loop=20 width=75%&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;ABSOLUTE AUCTION WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2009 AT 12 NOON!!!&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/MARQUEE&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/DIV&gt; This home has central heat &amp; air. The Seller said the furnace was replaced 5 years ago and the electrical service has been updated. Drive by today!

  22. 2009-12-01
    listed $30,000 792-char remark
    Show marketing remark (792 chars)

    This property is to be sold at auction on Wednesday, December 30, 2009 at 12:00 NOON with no minimum or reserve. The list price reflects suggested value. Pre-auction offers are welcome under the same auction terms and conditions. SALE TERMS: as Is/Non-Contingent/10% earnest money deposit/30 day settlement/10% buyer's premium added to all offers.Investors are Encouraged to Participate!! &lt;div align=center&gt;&lt;FONT color=#ffffff size=+1&gt;&lt;MARQUEE bgcolor=#000080 direction=left loop=20 width=75%&gt;&lt;STRONG&gt;ABSOLUTE AUCTION WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2009 AT 12 NOON!!!&lt;/STRONG&gt;&lt;/MARQUEE&gt;&lt;/FONT&gt;&lt;/DIV&gt; This home has central heat &amp; air. The Seller said the furnace was replaced 5 years ago and the electrical service has been updated. Drive by today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$363 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,247 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$884/yr (+$74/mo · 243.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,884
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$363
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,591
− Management
−$1,591
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$3,273
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$786
After-tax cash flow
$4,709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County
NCES district ID
2101860
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$49,245
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5211
State rank
#27 of 165 in KY

Livability — Lexington-Fayette

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Lexington-Fayette, KY
County
Fayette County · 317,143 people
City population
321,882
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
Population (ZIP)
23,756
Household income
$29,440
Rent vs Own
70.5% rent · 29.5% own
Severe rent burden
2644.0

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
363,454 people
By 2030
388,270 · +6.8%
By 2040
438,688 · +20.7%
By 2050
490,667 · +35.0%
By 2075
625,394 · +72.1%
By 2100
721,354 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
D (+18.1) · D 58.0% · R 39.9% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+13.3pp toward D · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: 18.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.1 2020: D+20.8 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -251.04%
Current HPI
204.3994
Rent YoY
▲ 11.83%
Metro
Lexington-Fayette, KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+383.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $145,000 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $149,999 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $139,999 ImagineMLS
  • 2010-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $13,200 Public Records
  • 2010-01-11 Sold (MLS) $13,200 ImagineMLS
  • 2009-12-30 Listing Removed ImagineMLS
  • 2009-12-01 Listed $30,000 ImagineMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2015): $363 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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