600 Burksdale Rd · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special! Short sale being professionally negotiated by Paul Scarborough. House needs work, All things inside convey.
Key facts
- Built 1942
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lindenwood Elementary (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,082 of 1,108 statewide, top 98%, 262 students, 98% FRL); Granby High (math 33% / reading 80%, grade C, #270 of 319 statewide, top 86%, 1,837 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.1%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $150k implies a 669% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.13%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Burksdale Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $158 | 99 |
| 605 Carraway Ct | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (0%) | 3mo | $220,500 | $230 | 90 |
| 8268 Gygax Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 944 (-2%) | 4mo | $150,150 | $159 | 68 |
| 7948 Merritt St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (+4%) | 4mo | $122,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 8223 Mccloy Rd | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-12%) | 6mo | $153,000 | $180 | 60 |
| 741 Bancker Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+10%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $295 | 60 |
| 1112 Newell Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (+7%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $190 | 51 |
| 763 Norman Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+15%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $264 | 48 |
| 928 Sheppard Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 837 (-13%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $257 | 46 |
| 403 Draper Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $148 | 40 |
| 401 Biltmore Rd | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 855 (-11%) | 5mo | $151,000 | $177 | 38 |
| 8443 Chesapeake Blvd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 823 (-14%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $328 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-269
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $57,272
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23505
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 12.1%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,543 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $335 | -5% $292 | +0% $250 | +5% $207 | +10% $165 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $128 | -5% $189 | +0% $250 | +5% $311 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $288 | base $250 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8231 Andrew Ln Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,800 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 508 Ashlawn Dr Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7996 Diggs Rd Unit D Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,375 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 504 Ashlawn Dr Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 504 Ashlawn Dr Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 507 Ashlawn Dr Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 417 E Little Creek Rd Apt 4 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7922 Old Ocean View Rd Norfolk, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 2d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 440 San Antonio Blvd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,535 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 869 Bancker Rd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 910 | $1,142 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 312 Ashlawn Dr Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 311 Ashlawn Dr Unit 3 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 845 Norman Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $2,000 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 351 San Antonio Blvd Unit 8 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,250 | $1.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7474 Pennington Rd Unit 7474 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,525 | $1.52 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7465 Fenner St Unit 7468-2-A8 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,399 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 310 Naval Base Rd Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7433 Fenner St Norfolk, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,399 | $1.96 | 15d | 7 | 0.86mi |
| 7427 Tyndale Ct Unit 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $995 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 715 Easy St Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 719 E Bayview Blvd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,537 | $1.81 | 4d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 7128 Gregory Dr Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,800 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1030 Creamer Rd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,600 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7108 Gregory Dr Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,400 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 837 Tifton St Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 423 E Ocean Ave Apt 15 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,359 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8968 Tidewater Dr Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 769 | $1,475 | $1.92 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 600 Warwick Ave Norfolk, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,280 | $1.66 | 16d | 4 | 1.34mi |
| 307 W Little Creek Rd Unit C Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,395 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 649 E Leicester Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,399 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9103 Hammett Ave Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8923 Brighton St Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,345 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9117 Chesapeake Blvd Unit 4 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,125 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-02-02status Under Contract
-
2026-02-01$150,000 Active
-
1976-02-09soldstatus $19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,438
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,481
- − Management
- −$1,481
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,247
- Household income
- $58,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2299.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.86%
- Current HPI
- 294.9807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.08%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+669.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $150,000 REINMLS
- 1976-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2018): $1,438 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…