3411 Hinton Blvd · Houston, TX 77022

$137,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 581 Days on market

Built 1940 3,598 sqft lot $120/sqft · 39% below area Est $225k · 39% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.7/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.5/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This is a teardown

Key facts

• 3,598 sq ft lot
• Built 1940
• Listed 580 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($351/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $137k).
• Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 581 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $120,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 581 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.35% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.26%
• DSCR: 1.63
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $224,614
• List price: $137,000
• Delta: -39.01%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
925 E 32nd 1/2 St	0.16mi	3/1.5	1,136 (-1%)	7mo	$335,000	$295	84
1406 E 35th St	0.23mi	3/1.5	1,120 (-2%)	4mo	$175,000	$156	80
4129 Rogers St	0.50mi	3/1.0	1,218 (+6%)	4mo	$120,000	$99	62
713 E 37th St	0.38mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,240 (+8%)	4mo	$235,000	$190	60
4305 Castor St	0.71mi	3/1.0	1,125 (-2%)	6mo	$109,000	$97	59
820 E 28th St	0.46mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,068 (-7%)	6mo	$480,000	$449	57
1204 Johnston St	0.57mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,200 (+5%)	4mo	$209,900	$175	52
731 E 27th St	0.52mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,232 (+8%)	6mo	$1,000,000	$812	52
707 E 40th 1/2 St	0.53mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,025 (-10%)	3mo	$110,000	$107	50
1001 E 40th St	0.33mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,008 (-12%)	8mo	$250,000	$248	50
726 E 26th St	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,280 (+12%)	0mo	$495,000	$387	48
706 Jerry St	0.74mi	3/2.0	1,255 (+10%)	8mo	$265,000	$211	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-17,245
• Equity at exit: $20,427

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.01×
• Total profit: $399
• Equity at exit: $11,845

Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77022

• Home prices YoY: -33.2%
• Rents YoY: 4.5%
• Active inventory: 285
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,844 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$718
• Tax from tax record: −$226 /mo · $2,708/yr
• Insurance: −$57
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $29

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,807

Max offer price $137,000

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $107	-5% $68	+0% $29	+5% $-10	+10% $-48
Rent	-10% $-116	-5% $-44	+0% $29	+5% $102	+10% $175
Rate	-1.0pp $98	-0.5pp $64	base $29	+0.5pp $-6	+1.0pp $-42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,250
• Closing costs: $4,110
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4132 Europa St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1259	$1,430	$1.14	14d	1	0.53mi
1690 North Loop Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	876	$2,269	$2.59	0d	41	0.54mi
611 E 39th St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1326	$2,099	$1.58	45d	1	0.55mi
811 E 42nd St Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1213	$1,600	$1.32	45d	1	0.57mi
58 Bennington St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	950	$950	$1.00	25d	1	0.58mi
322 E 33rd St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,500	$1.36	45d	1	0.66mi
770 Strawberry Pines Ct Houston, TX	2.0–3.0	2.5	1422	$2,735	$1.92	2d	12	0.77mi
207 Lindale St Unit 1316403P Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	1119	$3,187	$2.85	0d	1	0.83mi
1617 Enid St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	974	$2,417	$2.48	0d	54	0.94mi
611 W Cavalcade St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0	775	$1,339	$1.73	3d	12	1.03mi
447 E Whitney St Unit A Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	850	$1,050	$1.24	18d	1	1.07mi
447 E Whitney St Unit 411 M Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	850	$1,050	$1.24	0d	1	1.07mi
4513 Oxford St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	950	$980	$1.03	25d	1	1.07mi
4515 Oxford St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	950	$950	$1.00	45d	1	1.09mi
228 W 27th St Unit House Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$2,550	$2.12	16d	1	1.11mi
221 Oriole St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1461	$2,083	$1.43	25d	1	1.11mi
74 Lyerly St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	775	$1,211	$1.56	22d	5	1.14mi
3219 Werner St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	851	$1,010	$1.19	45d	1	1.16mi
221 W 44th St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,600	$1.23	45d	1	1.16mi
4503 Werner St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	850	$1,125	$1.32	3d	3	1.19mi
1209 Cordell St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	990	$2,000	$2.02	4d	1	1.19mi
2200 Yale St Unit 2226124 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1258	$1,899	$1.51	45d	1	1.19mi
2200 Yale St Unit 1478 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1408	$2,001	$1.42	45d	1	1.19mi
1127 Walling St Unit R Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1400	$2,295	$1.64	45d	1	1.21mi
8185 Fulton St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	924	$1,395	$1.51	25d	1	1.22mi
8217 Fulton St Houston, TX	2.0–3.0	1.0	785	$1,162	$1.48	3d	6	1.29mi
2125 Yale St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1087	$2,500	$2.30	22d	1	1.29mi
2125 Yale St Unit 2148 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1087	$2,529	$2.33	12d	1	1.30mi
2125 Yale St Unit 2187 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1087	$2,540	$2.34	6d	1	1.30mi
2125 Yale St Unit 2187 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1087	$2,489	$2.29	0d	1	1.30mi
2125 Yale St Unit 2162 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1145	$2,530	$2.21	45d	1	1.30mi
2125 Yale St Apt 425 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1087	$2,505	$2.30	9d	1	1.30mi
268 W Crosstimbers St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	965	$1,850	$1.92	20d	1	1.33mi
725 Peddie St Unit 1257756P Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	1496	$5,083	$3.40	45d	1	1.33mi
2200 Rutland St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1165	$2,449	$2.10	25d	1	1.34mi
1007 Archer St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	1008	$1,923	$1.91	3d	1	1.34mi
401 W 25th St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	974	$3,481	$3.57	2d	19	1.35mi
8520 Madie Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	924	$1,395	$1.51	21d	1	1.40mi
8520 Madie Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	924	$1,395	$1.51	45d	1	1.40mi
6918 Irvington Blvd Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,550	$1.41	45d	1	1.42mi

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $137,000 Active 581 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $137,000 Active 578 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $137,000 Active 577 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $137,000 Active 576 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $137,000 Active 575 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $137,000 Active 573 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $137,000 Active 569 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $137,000 Active 568 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $137,000 Active 567 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $137,000 Active 564 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $137,000 Active 561 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,000 Active 560 DOM
13. 2025-01-06
    status Active 18-char remark

    Show marketing remark (18 chars)

    This is a teardown

14. 2024-12-18
    status Pending 18-char remark

    Show marketing remark (18 chars)

    This is a teardown

15. 2024-10-29
    listed $137,000 Active 18-char remark

    Show marketing remark (18 chars)

    This is a teardown

16. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,708 · $226/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,708 · $226/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 66% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,132
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,674
• − Property taxes: −$2,708
• − Insurance: −$5,804
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,771
• − Management: −$1,771
• − Depreciation: −$3,985
• Taxable loss: −$1,581
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$379
• After-tax cash flow: $730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 25,805
• Household income: $52,739
• Rent vs Own: 49.6% rent · 50.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1354.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 24% Black 19% White 7% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 54%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 30% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 40% English-only · Spanish 59%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -151.13%
• Current HPI: 304.3745
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.47%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-01-06 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2024-12-18 Pending — HARMLS
• 2024-10-29 Listed $137,000 HARMLS
• 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,708 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.