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B- Composite 69.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

20 N Elm Street Site #20 · Lewiston, MN 55952
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · Manufactured · 2 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, , , and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing provided by Zillow
  • Financial info: List price $25,000

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas heating (utility)
  • Home design: Spec new-construction plan 94970; Active listing
  • Exterior features: Located at 20 N Elm Street Site #20, Lewiston, MN 55952

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Living area of 1184

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#263 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lewiston-Altura Public School District (rural): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #208 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Winona County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winona County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $25,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.16%
Cap rate
37.45%
Cash-on-cash
111.28%
DSCR
5.95
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$37,307
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.26×
Total profit
$85,785
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55952

Home prices YoY
-16.5%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$649

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $25,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 372-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $25,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,484
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$999
− Management
−$999
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$7,859
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,886
After-tax cash flow
$5,903/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lewiston-Altura Public School District
NCES district ID
2718090
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$58,763
Composite
36.09/100
National rank
#4760
State rank
#208 of 301 in MN

Livability — Lewiston

Score
72/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#5772

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lewiston, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,689

Population outlook (Winona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,614 people
By 2030
50,243 · -0.7%
By 2040
48,142 · -4.9%
By 2050
45,872 · -9.4%
By 2075
42,416 · -16.2%
By 2100
40,031 · -20.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Romanian 6% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winona

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: -4.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.9 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+12.9 2008: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.10%
Current HPI
218.5309
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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