Triplex
145 Renwick St · Newburgh, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
A Great Investment opportunity with lots of potential and beautiful architecture! This 3 Family building has newer windows and a new sewer line. Bring your imagination and creativity and enjoy living from a fantastic income. Close to transportation, Hwys,Restaurants,Shopping,Schools, and more . House was under construction .
Key facts
- Basement potential
- Legal 3-family
- 2,500 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $299k. Condition is rated poor.
- This rent per unit runs 38% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($46k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 4.0% in Newburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Newburgh Free Academy (math 76% / reading 85%, grade A, #506 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 3,433 students, 56% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newburgh City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 567 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 140d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.76%
- DSCR
- 3.44
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $614,996
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -51.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 Renwick St | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,760 (0%) | 17mo | $285,000 | $103 | 86 |
| 145 William St | 0.12mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,838 (+3%) | 2mo | $394,500 | $139 | 83 |
| 101 Renwick St | 0.12mi | 5/3.5 | 2,540 (-8%) | 2mo | $407,500 | $160 | 77 |
| 52 Benkard Ave | 0.08mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (-13%) | 8mo | $375,000 | $156 | 63 |
| 2 Carson Ave | 0.20mi | 5/3.0 | 2,396 (-13%) | 12mo | $375,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 6 Liberty St | 0.16mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 3,075 (+11%) | 10mo | $500,000 | $163 | 56 |
| 52 Lander St | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,470 (-10%) | 2mo | $412,000 | $167 | 51 |
| 41 Carpenter Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,916 (+6%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $89 | 48 |
| 95 Liberty St | 0.30mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,400 (-13%) | 17mo | $545,000 | $227 | 42 |
| 16 Lutheran St | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,508 (-9%) | 16mo | $380,000 | $152 | 40 |
| 181 First St | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 | 2,450 (-11%) | 18mo | $335,000 | $137 | 37 |
| 271 Third St | 0.74mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,400 (-13%) | 1mo | $445,777 | $186 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $176,279
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 54.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.71×
- Total profit
- $394,186
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 10 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $396,946 ($155/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 101 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +43.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 12550
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 567
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$947 /mo · $11,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,717
- Net cashflow
- $3,820
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $8,178 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $2,726 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $2,726 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $2,726 |
| Total (3 units) | $8,177 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,989 | -5% $3,905 | +0% $3,820 | +5% $3,735 | +10% $3,651 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,174 | -5% $3,497 | +0% $3,820 | +5% $4,143 | +10% $4,466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,971 | -0.5pp $3,896 | base $3,820 | +0.5pp $3,743 | +1.0pp $3,664 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Grand St Unit 3 Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,925 | $2.52 | 119d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 166 Montgomery St Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3200 | $3,950 | $1.23 | 139d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 87 Ellis Ave Newburgh, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2172 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 139d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 492 Liberty St Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1351 | $3,200 | $2.37 | 6d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- No carportNo designated parking
- Utilities
- Electricity connected (Orange & Rockland)Natural gas connectedPublic waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Triplex
- Construction
- Brick and stone constructionBrick/mortar and stone foundation
- Exterior features
- No waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms
- One 1-bedroom unitTwo 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms
- Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Hot water heatingNatural gas heatingWall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features
- First floor bedroomFirst floor full bathAluminum-framed windowsPartial atticUnfinished basement with storage space
- Laundry & utility
- Electric dryer hookupGas dryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $299,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $299,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $299,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $299,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $299,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $299,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $299,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $299,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $299,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $299,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $299,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $299,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $299,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $299,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $299,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $299,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $299,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $299,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $299,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $299,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $299,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $299,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $299,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $299,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $299,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $299,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $299,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $299,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $299,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $299,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-08-15remarks 695-char remark
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2026-08-15pricedays on market $299,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $335,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $335,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $335,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $335,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $335,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $335,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $335,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $335,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $335,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $335,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $335,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $335,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $335,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $335,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $335,000 Active 149 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,366 · $947/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,366 · $947/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $98,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$11,366
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,850
- − Management
- −$7,850
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $44,116
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,588
- After-tax cash flow
- $35,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This 3-family building requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including exterior painting and landscaping. Significant improvements can be made to increase its resale and rental value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $30,000–$90,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be in poor condition with visible damage and missing shingles.
- Major Windows (windows) — The windows show signs of wear and potential leaks.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior walls and siding appear to be in poor condition with visible damage and peeling paint.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major exterior paint — Peeling paint
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior painting — Fresh paint can improve the curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard can improve the curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newburgh City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620700
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,387
- Composite
- 35.46/100
- National rank
- #4927
- State rank
- #500 of 590 in NY
Livability — Newburgh
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #878
- US rank
- #17021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newburgh, NY
- County
- Orange County · 379,830 people
- City population
- 55,152
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,152
- Household income
- $85,697
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.93%
- Current HPI
- 304.1046
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+564.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-14 Listed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-07-04 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-16 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $335,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $355,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listed $365,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-16 Sold (MLS) $285,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-17 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-01 Listed $330,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-07 Sold (MLS) $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-06 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-18 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-10 Listed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $11,366 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…