315 Spring St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
Key facts
- 1,748 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
- Construction: Composite siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Gravity heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pull-down attic stairs
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.27%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,450
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 98.63%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $82,861
- Equity at exit
- $117,114
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $234,400
- Equity at exit
- $252,561
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,244 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $684/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $264 | -5% $227 | +0% $190 | +5% $153 | +10% $116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $92 | -5% $141 | +0% $190 | +5% $239 | +10% $288 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $223 | base $190 | +0.5pp $156 | +1.0pp $122 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 Park St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $900 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 910 Park St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 416 Danforth St Unit 1F Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,100 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1206 Spring St Apt 16 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 517 N Salina St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1509 N Salina St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,050 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 600 James St Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 492 | $1,450 | $2.94 | 15d | 9 | 0.91mi |
| 1132 Wolf St Apt 1 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,000 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 101 S Salina St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $2,871 | $4.41 | 15d | 14 | 1.20mi |
| 212 Dorchester Ave Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,420 | $2.22 | 14d | 15 | 1.21mi |
| 317 S Clinton St Unit 3C/B3 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 110 Walton St Unit 203 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $1,600 | $2.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 110 Walton St Unit 303 Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,700 | $2.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 712 E Fayette St Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,698 | $2.36 | 15d | 10 | 1.34mi |
| 120 Walton St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $3,200 | $3.88 | 45d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 201 E Jefferson St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,626 | $2.45 | 15d | 9 | 1.37mi |
| 900 E Fayette St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,995 | $2.44 | 15d | 9 | 1.39mi |
| 60 Presidential Plz Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 970 | $1,315 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-04-25$130,000 Active 183-char remark
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2022-08-22soldstatus $65,000
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2020-10-16soldstatus $23,900 Closed Sale or Rented 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
2020-09-19status Under Contract- Do Not Show 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
2020-09-09price $23,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
2020-07-11price $26,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
2020-06-02price $27,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
2020-05-01price $28,900 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
2020-03-02$29,900 Active 174-char remark
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Northside Bungalow home perfect for investor or Owner Occupancy. Just needs some TLC to bring it up to its full potential. 2 bed, 1 bath home. First Floor Living opportunity.
-
1995-04-06soldstatus $24,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,441 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$756/yr (+$63/mo · 110.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$684
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,195
- − Management
- −$1,195
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $144
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$35
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+422.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $130,000 CNYIS
- 2022-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-16 Sold (MLS) $23,900 CNYIS
- 2020-09-19 Pending — CNYIS
- 2020-09-09 Price Changed $23,900 CNYIS
- 2020-07-11 Price Changed $26,900 CNYIS
- 2020-06-02 Price Changed $27,900 CNYIS
- 2020-05-01 Price Changed $28,900 CNYIS
- 2020-03-02 Listed $29,900 CNYIS
- 1995-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $24,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $684 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…