6105 W Sylvester St · Pasco, WA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$439,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check out this Tri-Level Pasco home with lots of charm and character! Home is nestled in a well established West Pasco neighborhood, has 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with over 2,000 sq. ft. Features a living area, plus a spacious room downstairs that could easily be used as a master bedroom or family room. Seller just installed a new roof, new carpet, new interior/exterior paint and a new outdoor patio area. Lets not forget to mention the indoor unique hot tub, where you can enjoy your own private relaxation.
Key facts
- New carpet
- New exterior paint
- New interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $439k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $410k (6.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $410k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.0% in Pasco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#104 in WA, #1,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-.
- Pasco School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 710 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (517 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,103/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($88k/yr) (locally 1556% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($413k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $439k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.33%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $560,432
- List price
- $439,000
- Delta
- -21.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1004 N Road 55 | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,220 (+0%) | 8mo | $485,000 | $218 | 65 |
| 4 Daffodil Ct | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 2,215 (+0%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $194 | 65 |
| 5016 W Park St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 2,130 (-4%) | 0mo | $443,000 | $208 | 63 |
| 419 Rd 52 | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 2,250 (+2%) | 1mo | $990,000 | $440 | 61 |
| 6119 W Court St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 2,391 (+8%) | 9mo | $543,000 | $227 | 59 |
| 5201 W Henry Ct | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,105 (-5%) | 8mo | $707,000 | $336 | 58 |
| 1305 Road 68 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,917 (-13%) | 2mo | $500,000 | $261 | 52 |
| 1511 59th Ct | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,496 (+13%) | 0mo | $645,000 | $258 | 52 |
| 5105 W Sylvester St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,064 (-7%) | 9mo | $450,000 | $218 | 47 |
| 5307 W Irving St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,508 (+14%) | 1mo | $485,000 | $193 | 46 |
| 5 Daffodil Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 2,025 (-8%) | 8mo | $454,000 | $224 | 46 |
| 1606 Road 68 | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,506 (+13%) | 3mo | $469,850 | $187 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-51,277
- Equity at exit
- $65,456
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-30,478
- Equity at exit
- $37,957
Cash invested: $122,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99301
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 710
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,103 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,302
- Tax from tax record
- −$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$183
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$862
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $626 | -5% $502 | +0% $377 | +5% $253 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $215 | +0% $377 | +5% $539 | +10% $701 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $598 | -0.5pp $489 | base $377 | +0.5pp $264 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $109,750
- Closing costs
- $13,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6709 W Octave St Pasco, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $6,500 | $3.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5305 W Jay St Unit 5305 B Pasco, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,195 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5316 W Wernett Rd Unit B Pasco, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,095 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $439,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $439,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $439,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $439,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $439,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $439,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $439,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $439,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $439,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $439,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $439,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $439,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $439,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $439,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $439,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$439,000 Active 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
Come check out this Tri-Level Pasco home with lots of charm and character! Home is nestled in a well established West Pasco neighborhood, has 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms with over 2,000 sq. ft. Features a living area, plus a spacious room downstairs that could easily be used as a master bedroom or family room. Seller just installed a new roof, new carpet, new interior/exterior paint and a new outdoor patio area. Lets not forget to mention the indoor unique hot tub, where you can enjoy your own private relaxation.
-
2025-09-01price $424,000
-
2025-07-21price $429,000
-
2025-07-09price $448,000
-
2025-06-12price $452,000
-
2025-04-22price $458,000
-
2025-03-20price $474,900
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2025-01-10price $479,900
-
1999-05-20soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,748 · $312/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,302 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- +$554/yr (+$46/mo · 14.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,591
- − Property taxes
- −$3,748
- − Insurance
- −$2,992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,939
- − Management
- −$3,939
- − Depreciation
- −$12,771
- Taxable loss
- −$2,746
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$659
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,187/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,454
- Composite
- 33.78/100
- National rank
- #10401
- State rank
- #242 of 291 in WA
Livability — Pasco
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1999
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pasco, WA
- County
- Franklin County · 87,044 people
- City population
- 87,044
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 87,044
- Household income
- $87,951
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1556.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,530 people
- By 2030
- 118,705 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 140,053 · +29.0%
- By 2050
- 162,360 · +49.6%
- By 2075
- 217,667 · +100.6%
- By 2100
- 264,533 · +143.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 47% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.7) · D 37.4% · R 60.1% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -22.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.7 2020: R+14.5 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -331.74%
- Current HPI
- 284.481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.99%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+251.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $439,000 PACMLS
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $424,000 PACMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $429,000 PACMLS
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $448,000 PACMLS
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $452,000 PACMLS
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $458,000 PACMLS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $474,900 PACMLS
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $479,900 PACMLS
- 1999-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,748 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…