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187 Ellexlee Rd
B- Composite 69.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$150,000

187 Ellexlee Rd · Santee, SC 29142
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Manufactured · 32 Days on market
Built 1998 Good condition 1.13 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Renovated manufactured home in Santee, SC on approximately 1.28 acres with a large fenced yard, modern upgrades, and convenient access to Lake Marion, I-95, and I-26! This move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,500 sq ft and has been extensively updated throughout with features buyers are searching for. Major improvements include a brand-new roof, new 4-ton heat pump, updated well and septic with new field lines, new textured siding, and upgraded windows trimmed out to give the appearance of a traditional site-built home. The beautifully updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances, while both bathrooms have been renovated with new vanities, sinks,

Key facts

  • New heat pump
  • Modern upgrades
  • Brand new roof

Tags

RENOVATED MANUFACTURED HOMELARGE FENCED YARDMODERN UPGRADESBRAND NEW ROOFNEW HEAT PUMPUPDATED WELL AND SEPTIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on approximately 1.128 acres; Road access is dirt

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Fiber cement (Hardy Plank) exterior; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Workshop; Uncovered front porch; Uncovered back porch; Full yard fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Luxury vinyl plank flooring in kitchen; Eat-in layout; Painted cabinets; Non-standard countertops
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with private bath, tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, luxury vinyl plank flooring; Second bedroom on main level with shared bath, tub/shower, private closet, luxury vinyl plank flooring; Third bedroom on main level with shared bath, tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, luxury vinyl plank flooring
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Eat-in kitchen; Painted cabinets; Countertops (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level utility/laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.4% in Santee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
  • Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.17%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$44,568
Equity at exit
$71,481
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$122,328
Equity at exit
$113,406

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29142

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,763 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    price $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,155
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,692
− Management
−$1,692
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$481
After-tax cash flow
$3,792/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This renovated manufactured home in Santee, SC is move-in ready with modern upgrades and a large fenced yard.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both paint — refreshes the home's appearance and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both paint — refreshes the home's appearance and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Santee

Score
61/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#17354

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,658

Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,698 people
By 2030
78,615 · -4.9%
By 2040
69,308 · -16.2%
By 2050
60,629 · -26.7%
By 2075
42,678 · -48.4%
By 2100
28,136 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 31% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.47%
Current HPI
193.5623
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $160,000 Consolidated MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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