187 Ellexlee Rd · Santee, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Renovated manufactured home in Santee, SC on approximately 1.28 acres with a large fenced yard, modern upgrades, and convenient access to Lake Marion, I-95, and I-26! This move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,500 sq ft and has been extensively updated throughout with features buyers are searching for. Major improvements include a brand-new roof, new 4-ton heat pump, updated well and septic with new field lines, new textured siding, and upgraded windows trimmed out to give the appearance of a traditional site-built home. The beautifully updated kitchen features new cabinets, countertops, and appliances, while both bathrooms have been renovated with new vanities, sinks,
Key facts
- New heat pump
- Modern upgrades
- Brand new roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on approximately 1.128 acres; Road access is dirt
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Fiber cement (Hardy Plank) exterior; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Workshop; Uncovered front porch; Uncovered back porch; Full yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Luxury vinyl plank flooring in kitchen; Eat-in layout; Painted cabinets; Non-standard countertops
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with private bath, tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, luxury vinyl plank flooring; Second bedroom on main level with shared bath, tub/shower, private closet, luxury vinyl plank flooring; Third bedroom on main level with shared bath, tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace; Eat-in kitchen; Painted cabinets; Countertops (other)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level utility/laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.4% in Santee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.17%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $44,568
- Equity at exit
- $71,481
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $122,328
- Equity at exit
- $113,406
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29142
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,763 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$160,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,792/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This renovated manufactured home in Santee, SC is move-in ready with modern upgrades and a large fenced yard.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both paint — refreshes the home's appearance and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both paint — refreshes the home's appearance and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Santee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #17354
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,658
Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,698 people
- By 2030
- 78,615 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 69,308 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 60,629 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 42,678 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 28,136 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 31% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.47%
- Current HPI
- 193.5623
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $160,000 Consolidated MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…