4 Wallingford Ct · West Glens Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$474,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Original owner 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Colonial set on a private cul-de-sac in the desirable Ashford Estates neighborhood, situated on a 1.4-acre lot. This home offers a comfortable blend of privacy and everyday functionality. The first floor features a bright, open kitchen with an eat-in breakfast bar and adjoining dining area. A sought-after first-floor primary bedroom includes a full bath and walk-in closet, while three additional bedrooms and a full bath are located upstairs. Enjoy the covered front porch overlooking the cul-de-sac, along with a peaceful backyard that offers both open and wooded space, complete with a new deck. Additional features include a partially finished basement currently set up for a pool table or suitable for a rec room or workout space, along with ample storage throughout. There is also first-floor laundry, a mini-split system, two-car garage, ceiling fans, and a dishwasher and stove approximately one year old. Conveniently located near local restaurants, Dancing Grain Farm Brewery, and within easy reach of Saratoga Springs (about 9 miles) and Lake George(about 20 minutes). Located in the town of Moreau with their low taxes. Schedule your private showing today!!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New deck
- Peaceful backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-610 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $367k (22.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $325k (31.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $325k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.4% in West Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#388 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, schools F.
- South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $198k; list at $475k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.51%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $654,697
- List price
- $474,900
- Delta
- -27.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Barrington Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,890 (-4%) | 3mo | $492,000 | $260 | 78 |
| 3 Grants Way | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 2,171 (+10%) | 5mo | $537,200 | $247 | 71 |
| 33 Barrington Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,685 (-14%) | 9mo | $462,000 | $274 | 48 |
| 6 Hidden Pond Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,110 (+7%) | 7mo | $699,000 | $331 | 46 |
| 10 Hidden Pond Way | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,850 (-6%) | 17mo | $700,000 | $378 | 45 |
| 4 Hidden Pond Way | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,875 (-5%) | 14mo | $724,000 | $386 | 44 |
| 8 Hidden Pond Way | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,807 (-8%) | 12mo | $725,300 | $401 | 40 |
| 5 Lookout Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,169 (+10%) | 10mo | $725,000 | $334 | 36 |
| 2 Hidden Pond Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,712 (-13%) | 3mo | $771,800 | $451 | 34 |
| 11 Lookout Cir | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,150 (+9%) | 24mo | $708,000 | $329 | 34 |
| 9 Lookout Cir | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,110 (+7%) | 23mo | $810,000 | $384 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-115,823
- Equity at exit
- $70,809
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-150,954
- Equity at exit
- $41,061
Cash invested: $132,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12831
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,246 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,490
- Tax from tax record
- −$486 /mo · $5,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$682
- Net cashflow
- $-610
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,725
- Closing costs
- $14,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-05price $474,900 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Original owner 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Colonial set on a private cul-de-sac in the desirable Ashford Estates neighborhood, situated on a 1.4-acre lot. This home offers a comfortable blend of privacy and everyday functionality. The first floor features a bright, open kitchen with an eat-in breakfast bar and adjoining dining area. A sought-after first-floor primary bedroom includes a full bath and walk-in closet, while three additional bedrooms and a full bath are located upstairs. Enjoy the covered front porch overlooking the cul-de-sac, along with a peaceful backyard that offers both open and wooded space, complete with a new deck. Additional features include a partially finished basement currently set up for a pool table or suitable for a rec room or workout space, along with ample storage throughout. There is also first-floor laundry, a mini-split system, two-car garage, ceiling fans, and a dishwasher and stove approximately one year old. Conveniently located near local restaurants, Dancing Grain Farm Brewery, and within easy reach of Saratoga Springs (about 9 miles) and Lake George(about 20 minutes). Located in the town of Moreau with their low taxes. Schedule your private showing today!!
-
2026-04-19price $484,900 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Original owner 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Colonial set on a private cul-de-sac in the desirable Ashford Estates neighborhood, situated on a 1.4-acre lot. This home offers a comfortable blend of privacy and everyday functionality. The first floor features a bright, open kitchen with an eat-in breakfast bar and adjoining dining area. A sought-after first-floor primary bedroom includes a full bath and walk-in closet, while three additional bedrooms and a full bath are located upstairs. Enjoy the covered front porch overlooking the cul-de-sac, along with a peaceful backyard that offers both open and wooded space, complete with a new deck. Additional features include a partially finished basement currently set up for a pool table or suitable for a rec room or workout space, along with ample storage throughout. There is also first-floor laundry, a mini-split system, two-car garage, ceiling fans, and a dishwasher and stove approximately one year old. Conveniently located near local restaurants, Dancing Grain Farm Brewery, and within easy reach of Saratoga Springs (about 9 miles) and Lake George(about 20 minutes). Located in the town of Moreau with their low taxes. Schedule your private showing today!!
-
2026-04-08price $494,900 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Original owner 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Colonial set on a private cul-de-sac in the desirable Ashford Estates neighborhood, situated on a 1.4-acre lot. This home offers a comfortable blend of privacy and everyday functionality. The first floor features a bright, open kitchen with an eat-in breakfast bar and adjoining dining area. A sought-after first-floor primary bedroom includes a full bath and walk-in closet, while three additional bedrooms and a full bath are located upstairs. Enjoy the covered front porch overlooking the cul-de-sac, along with a peaceful backyard that offers both open and wooded space, complete with a new deck. Additional features include a partially finished basement currently set up for a pool table or suitable for a rec room or workout space, along with ample storage throughout. There is also first-floor laundry, a mini-split system, two-car garage, ceiling fans, and a dishwasher and stove approximately one year old. Conveniently located near local restaurants, Dancing Grain Farm Brewery, and within easy reach of Saratoga Springs (about 9 miles) and Lake George(about 20 minutes). Located in the town of Moreau with their low taxes. Schedule your private showing today!!
-
2026-03-26$499,900 Active 1212-char remark
Show marketing remark (1212 chars)
Original owner 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Colonial set on a private cul-de-sac in the desirable Ashford Estates neighborhood, situated on a 1.4-acre lot. This home offers a comfortable blend of privacy and everyday functionality. The first floor features a bright, open kitchen with an eat-in breakfast bar and adjoining dining area. A sought-after first-floor primary bedroom includes a full bath and walk-in closet, while three additional bedrooms and a full bath are located upstairs. Enjoy the covered front porch overlooking the cul-de-sac, along with a peaceful backyard that offers both open and wooded space, complete with a new deck. Additional features include a partially finished basement currently set up for a pool table or suitable for a rec room or workout space, along with ample storage throughout. There is also first-floor laundry, a mini-split system, two-car garage, ceiling fans, and a dishwasher and stove approximately one year old. Conveniently located near local restaurants, Dancing Grain Farm Brewery, and within easy reach of Saratoga Springs (about 9 miles) and Lake George(about 20 minutes). Located in the town of Moreau with their low taxes. Schedule your private showing today!!
-
2003-08-08soldstatus $197,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
New construction in a very desireable subdivision. Four bedroom, 2 story home with a wonderful floor plan. Owners will upgrade fearures to buyers specs with consideration. See photobook for plans.
-
2003-06-16historical 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
New construction in a very desireable subdivision. Four bedroom, 2 story home with a wonderful floor plan. Owners will upgrade fearures to buyers specs with consideration. See photobook for plans.
-
2003-02-28$197,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
New construction in a very desireable subdivision. Four bedroom, 2 story home with a wonderful floor plan. Owners will upgrade fearures to buyers specs with consideration. See photobook for plans.
-
2002-11-04soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,835 · $486/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,930 · $578/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,095/yr (+$91/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,602
- − Property taxes
- −$5,835
- − Insurance
- −$2,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,116
- − Management
- −$3,116
- − Depreciation
- −$13,815
- Taxable loss
- −$15,904
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,817
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Glens Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627240
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,015
- Composite
- 46.93/100
- National rank
- #2363
- State rank
- #307 of 590 in NY
Livability — West Glens Falls
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #388
- US rank
- #6663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,025
- Household income
- $100,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 497.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.79%
- Current HPI
- 351.6972
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+1658.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $474,900 Global MLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $484,900 Global MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $494,900 Global MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $499,900 Global MLS
- 2003-08-08 Sold (MLS) $197,900 Global MLS
- 2003-06-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2003-02-28 Listed $197,900 Global MLS
- 2002-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,835 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…