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8190 Mantova Dr
C Composite 59.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,999

8190 Mantova Dr · North Syracuse, NY 13041
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1976 8,970 sqft lot Est $290k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

UPDATE: Seller is in receipt of multiple offers. Seller has set a best and final offer deadline of Monday June 15th at 8pm. Thank you for showing and best of luck. Mike Located in Clay with its proximity to major highways, shopping and Micron development, this well-maintained split level 3 bedroom 1.5 bath home is move in ready. The main level offers a spacious living room, dining room and kitchen with all appliances. A beautiful lower level fully finished family room offers a wood burning fireplace and half bath to relax after a busy day. Well insulated home with A/C provides cool summers and warm winters with low energy bills. A very clean basement has plenty of shelving for storage an

Key facts

  • Solid patio area
  • Well insulated home
  • Fully fenced yard

Tags

FULLY FINISHED FAMILY ROOMWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEWELL INSULATED HOMEFULLY FENCED YARDSOLID PATIO AREAPLENTY OF SHELVING FOR STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with electricity; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: 3-story existing residence; Entry level information not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as existing (year built details: existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Patio; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 78 x 115

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with baseboard and forced air; Central air; Window AC units
  • Interior features: Country kitchen; Window treatments; Drapes; Recreation room; Family room; Basement finished area (below grade)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.1% in North Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $249,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.90%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$290,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5317 Fortuna Pkwy 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,520 (0%) 4mo $300,000 $197 91
8221 Lucchesi Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-1%) 5mo $270,000 $180 87
8046 Bamm Hollow Rd 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,552 (+2%) 1mo $315,000 $203 81
8133 Duncowing Ln 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (0%) 6mo $250,000 $164 75
8237 Mantova Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+7%) 1mo $268,250 $164 72
8084 Bamm Hollow Rd 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,508 (-1%) 7mo $296,600 $197 70
8175 Caughdenoy Rd 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,468 (-3%) 3mo $280,900 $191 69
7998 Trina Cir 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,513 (-0%) 3mo $281,000 $186 64
8196 Rizzo Dr 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,404 (-8%) 2mo $330,000 $235 62
8025 Bamm Hollow Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+12%) 4mo $300,000 $176 62
8104 Maple Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,660 (+9%) 0mo $295,000 $178 54
5496 Tobin Path 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-8%) 2mo $410,000 $293 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-18,523
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$12,415
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13041

Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,711 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,592/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$569
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,276
Max offer price $249,999
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $485 -5% $415 +0% $344 +5% $273 +10% $202
Rent -10% $130 -5% $237 +0% $344 +5% $451 +10% $558
Rate -1.0pp $470 -0.5pp $407 base $344 +0.5pp $279 +1.0pp $213

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8244 Mantova Dr Clay, NY 3.0 2.0 1560 $2,800 $1.79 45d 1 0.19mi
8091 Weblank Way Clay, NY 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,200 $1.91 22d 1 0.68mi
5472 Alfreton Dr Clay, NY 3.0 2.0 1328 $2,800 $2.11 22d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $249,999 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,999 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,999 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,999 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $249,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,592 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,592 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,532
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$4,592
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,603
− Management
−$2,603
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$209
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$50
After-tax cash flow
$4,077/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — North Syracuse

Score
72/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#6513

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,185
Population (ZIP)
12,094

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -235.12%
Current HPI
326.7838
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $249,999 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,592 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…