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1748 San Gabriel Dr
C- Composite 54.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

1748 San Gabriel Dr · East York, PA 17406
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1960 0.26 ac lot $183/sqft · 25% below area Est $254k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Solid built brick rancher in the Central York School District. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic charm with hardwood floors and a brick fireplace, all on one convenient level. Built in 1960, it features a traditional layout, a 1-car garage, and an enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Nicely located just minutes from shopping, schools, and Route 30, this home combines comfort, convenience, and lasting value.

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Basement garage with inside access (side entry); One attached garage space; Total of three garage/parking spaces; Asphalt driveway with two driveway spaces; On-street and off-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available; Municipal trash service; Phone service available
  • Home design: Detached property; Level entry at main; Average condition; Construction includes brick, concrete, masonry, stick-built, wood siding; Casement windows; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built with brick and wood siding; Cast iron plumbing
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Sidewalks; Patio; Porch; Screened outdoor living area; Front yard; Level lot; Rear yard; Road frontage; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl plank; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Central forced-air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
  • Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Galley kitchen layout; Primary/master bath; Window treatments; Wood floors; Plaster walls; Brick fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups in basement; Basement laundry area; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.4% in East York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#141 in PA, #1,138 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Central York SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #244 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central York Ms (math 21% / reading 59%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 881 students, 45% FRL); Central York Hs (math 61% / reading 74%, grade B, #59 of 437 statewide, top 14%, 1,807 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 24% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,217 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.66%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,603
List price
$190,000
Delta
-25.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1748 San Gabriel Dr 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (0%) 0mo $201,000 $193 95
1777 San Gabriel Dr 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+10%) 5mo $229,900 $202 77
1719 Argyle Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-4%) 17mo $259,000 $259 72
1775 Argyle Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+10%) 14mo $250,000 $219 68
1789 Argyle Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+10%) 12mo $275,000 $241 65
1715 Pelham Dr 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+5%) 23mo $204,000 $187 63
1095 Ridgewood Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+6%) 14mo $214,000 $194 47
1450 N Harrison St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,074 (+3%) 24mo $250,000 $233 43
1812 N Eberts Ln 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,008 (-3%) 16mo $210,000 $208 42
1110 Arthur St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,177 (+13%) 4mo $249,900 $212 40
1829 E Wallace St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,118 (+8%) 15mo $284,900 $255 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-23,227
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-10,343
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17406

Home prices YoY
-27.4%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,862 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,332/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,713
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 Camelot Arms York, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1073 $1,973 $1.84 13d 15 0.17mi
1 Wyndham Dr York, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1046 $1,990 $1.90 13d 3 1.05mi
1538 1st Ave Unit 2 York, PA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,900 $1.27 13d 1 1.17mi
1505 3rd Ave York, PA 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,800 $1.28 13d 1 1.28mi
1027 E Market St Unit 2 York, PA 2.0 1.0 1145 $1,095 $0.96 13d 1 1.35mi
40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 429-char remark
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $190,000 Active 429-char remark
  3. 2026-05-06
    historical $190,000 429-char remark
  4. 2024-12-31
    historical
  5. 2024-10-03
    price $240,000
  6. 2024-07-28
    listed $250,000 Active
  7. 2024-07-24
    historical
  8. 2022-11-29
    historical
  9. 2022-10-24
    price $199,900
  10. 2022-09-26
    price $209,900
  11. 2022-09-07
    price $214,900
  12. 2022-08-22
    price $217,900
  13. 2022-08-04
    price $219,900
  14. 2022-07-25
    listed $224,900 Active
  15. 1986-03-17
    soldstatus $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,332 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,332 · $278/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,346
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$3,332
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,788
− Management
−$1,788
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$1,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$404
After-tax cash flow
$1,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central York SD
NCES district ID
4205490
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$64,385
Composite
39.92/100
National rank
#3849
State rank
#244 of 539 in PA

Livability — East York

Score
82/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#1138

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
York County · 278,806 people
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
23,636
Household income
$83,521
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
296.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.81%
Current HPI
245.4821
Rent YoY
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $201,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-03 Price Changed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-28 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-24 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-11-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-24 Price Changed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-09-26 Price Changed $209,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-09-07 Price Changed $214,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-22 Price Changed $217,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-04 Price Changed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-25 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,332 · -48.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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