1748 San Gabriel Dr · East York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Solid built brick rancher in the Central York School District. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic charm with hardwood floors and a brick fireplace, all on one convenient level. Built in 1960, it features a traditional layout, a 1-car garage, and an enclosed patio ideal for year-round enjoyment. Nicely located just minutes from shopping, schools, and Route 30, this home combines comfort, convenience, and lasting value.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Basement garage with inside access (side entry); One attached garage space; Total of three garage/parking spaces; Asphalt driveway with two driveway spaces; On-street and off-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric available; Municipal trash service; Phone service available
- Home design: Detached property; Level entry at main; Average condition; Construction includes brick, concrete, masonry, stick-built, wood siding; Casement windows; Asphalt shingle roof
- Construction: Block foundation; Built with brick and wood siding; Cast iron plumbing
- Exterior features: Awnings; Sidewalks; Patio; Porch; Screened outdoor living area; Front yard; Level lot; Rear yard; Road frontage; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Central forced-air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
- Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Galley kitchen layout; Primary/master bath; Window treatments; Wood floors; Plaster walls; Brick fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups in basement; Basement laundry area; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.4% in East York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#141 in PA, #1,138 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Central York SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #244 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central York Ms (math 21% / reading 59%, grade F, #257 of 512 statewide, top 52%, 881 students, 45% FRL); Central York Hs (math 61% / reading 74%, grade B, #59 of 437 statewide, top 14%, 1,807 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 24% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.66%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,603
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -25.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1748 San Gabriel Dr | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (0%) | 0mo | $201,000 | $193 | 95 |
| 1777 San Gabriel Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+10%) | 5mo | $229,900 | $202 | 77 |
| 1719 Argyle Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-4%) | 17mo | $259,000 | $259 | 72 |
| 1775 Argyle Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (+10%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $219 | 68 |
| 1789 Argyle Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (+10%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $241 | 65 |
| 1715 Pelham Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+5%) | 23mo | $204,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 1095 Ridgewood Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (+6%) | 14mo | $214,000 | $194 | 47 |
| 1450 N Harrison St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,074 (+3%) | 24mo | $250,000 | $233 | 43 |
| 1812 N Eberts Ln | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,008 (-3%) | 16mo | $210,000 | $208 | 42 |
| 1110 Arthur St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,177 (+13%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $212 | 40 |
| 1829 E Wallace St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (+8%) | 15mo | $284,900 | $255 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-23,227
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,343
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17406
- Home prices YoY
- -27.4%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,862 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,332/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Camelot Arms York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1073 | $1,973 | $1.84 | 13d | 15 | 0.17mi |
| 1 Wyndham Dr York, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $1,990 | $1.90 | 13d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 1538 1st Ave Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1505 3rd Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1027 E Market St Unit 2 York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1145 | $1,095 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 429-char remark
-
2026-05-08$190,000 Active 429-char remark
-
2026-05-06historical $190,000 429-char remark
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2024-10-03price $240,000
-
2024-07-28$250,000 Active
-
2024-07-24historical
-
2022-11-29historical
-
2022-10-24price $199,900
-
2022-09-26price $209,900
-
2022-09-07price $214,900
-
2022-08-22price $217,900
-
2022-08-04price $219,900
-
2022-07-25$224,900 Active
-
1986-03-17soldstatus $49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,332 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,332 · $278/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,346
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$3,332
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,788
- − Management
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$1,682
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central York SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205490
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,385
- Composite
- 39.92/100
- National rank
- #3849
- State rank
- #244 of 539 in PA
Livability — East York
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #1138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,636
- Household income
- $83,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 296.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.81%
- Current HPI
- 245.4821
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+302.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $201,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-28 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-24 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-24 Price Changed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-26 Price Changed $209,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-07 Price Changed $214,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-22 Price Changed $217,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-08-04 Price Changed $219,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-25 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1986-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $3,332 · -48.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…