290 NW 218th Way Lot 473 · Pembroke Pines, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.8
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HOLLY LAKE IN PEMBROKE PINES----SOLD AS IS WHERE IS----2 BEDROOMS-----2 BATHS-----------HOA = $103 PER MONTH INCLUDES LAWN, RECREATION FACILITIES---2 POOLS--CLUBHOUSE & MORE. --MINUTES FROM SCHOOLS--SHOPPING---MAJOR ROADS---PARKS---RESTAURANTS--CASINOS---ENTERTAINMENT VENUES - * * * * EXCLUDE CURTAINS * * * * ---INVESTORS--CAN BUY & RENT OUT --- PER HOA NO LLC/CORP-- ----------BUYER IS RESPONSIBLE TO EMPTY CONTENTS AND DISPOSE OF. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ALLOW HOA 20 BUSINESS DAYS TO PROCESS SALES APP. .. .
Key facts
- 4,627 sq ft lot
- 4 parking spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Pembroke Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#54 in FL, #933 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living D+.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chapel Trail Elementary School (math 53% / reading 67%, grade B-, #680 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 739 students, 38% FRL); Silver Trail Middle School (math 66% / reading 67%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,269 students, 40% FRL); West Broward High School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade C, #125 of 667 statewide, top 19%, 2,586 students, 33% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Broward average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 89d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.26%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,563
- List price
- $219,900
- Delta
- -14.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21730 NW 8th Ct | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,096 (+11%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $151 | 65 |
| 21640 NW 3rd Pl | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 837 (-16%) | 1mo | $264,000 | $315 | 64 |
| 21610 NW 4th Pl | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (+20%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $236 | 51 |
| 21631 NW 8th Ct | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 896 (-10%) | 24mo | $185,000 | $206 | 48 |
| 21761 NW 7th Mnr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+16%) | 14mo | $290,000 | $252 | 46 |
| 849 NW 208th Way | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 1,114 (+12%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $314 | 35 |
| 20869 NW 4th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,206 (+22%) | 3mo | $437,000 | $362 | 34 |
| 20841 NW 1st St | 0.79mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+22%) | 9mo | $397,500 | $330 | 27 |
| 20874 NW 3rd Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+22%) | 11mo | $450,000 | $374 | 27 |
| 20839 NW 1st St | 0.81mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+22%) | 11mo | $440,000 | $365 | 26 |
| 1628 NW 208th Way | 1.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+20%) | 18mo | $605,000 | $508 | 20 |
| 20843 NW 3rd Ct #1 | 0.77mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+22%) | 24mo | $460,000 | $382 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,536
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-39,023
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $300,000 ($358/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 273 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -24.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33029
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,265 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$103
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $243 | +0% $167 | +5% $91 | +10% $15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-12 | -5% $78 | +0% $167 | +5% $257 | +10% $346 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $278 | -0.5pp $223 | base $167 | +0.5pp $110 | +1.0pp $52 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 740 NW 219th Ave Unit 1 Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $2,400 | $3.95 | 120d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 740 NW 219th Ave Unit 2 Pembroke Pines, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 724 | $2,200 | $3.04 | 120d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 20863 NW 2nd St Unit 1 Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1114 | $2,600 | $2.33 | 82d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 20845 NW 1st St #20845 Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1114 | $2,375 | $2.13 | 88d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 20808 NW 1st St #20808 Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1114 | $2,700 | $2.42 | 55d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 20808 NW 1st St Pembroke Pines, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $2,700 | $2.42 | 48d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK; breed restrictions and possible pet restrictions)
- Financial info
- No land lease
- HOA & community
- Association: HOLLY LAKEMonthly HOA fee of $103Association amenities include pool, clubhouse, fitness center, basketball court, playground, community room, recreation facilities, managed grounds, sidewalks, street lights, manager on site and other servicesHOA fee covers grounds maintenance, security, common areas, recreation facilities and pool service
Exterior
- Parking
- Total 4 parking spacesAttached carport with 3 covered/carport spacesDrivewayStrip/slab parkingOne open parking space
- Security
- Security features present (other)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity availablePhone availableSewer connectedWater availableOther utilities available
- Home design
- Mobile homeOne storyEntry at level 1Faces east
- Construction
- Construction material: OtherMobile home remains on siteRoof: OtherAssessor-provided living area: 990
- Exterior features
- Open porchPorchCorner lotSidewalksAsphalt road frontage (publicly maintained)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring
- CarpetOther
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heating present (type: other)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Split bedroom layoutUnfurnished
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookup
HOA detail $103/mo · $1,236/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $219,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $219,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $219,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $219,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $219,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $219,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $219,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $219,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $219,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $219,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $219,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $219,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $230,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $230,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $230,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $230,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $230,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $230,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $230,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $230,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $230,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $230,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $230,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $230,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $230,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $230,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $230,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $230,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $230,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $230,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $230,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $230,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $230,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $230,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $230,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $230,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $230,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $230,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $230,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $230,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $230,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $230,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $230,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $230,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $230,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $230,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $230,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $230,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $230,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $230,000 Active 46 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,298
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,175
- − Management
- −$2,175
- − HOA
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$1,513
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$363
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in fair condition with cosmetic repairs needed. It has a good roof and lush landscaping, but the exterior siding and concrete areas show wear. Painting and minor repairs would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Concrete driveway and patio — Wear visible
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both Resurface concrete driveway and patio — Enhances curb appeal and durability ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pembroke Pines
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pembroke Pines, FL
- County
- Broward County · 2,207,033 people
- City population
- 180,224
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,070
- Household income
- $146,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 29% White 27% Black 20% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Russian 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.68%
- Current HPI
- 373.7752
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.17%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $230,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…