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111 N 8th St
B Composite 74.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$49,000

111 N 8th St · Shamokin, PA 17872
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,216 sqft · Other · 8 Days on market
Built 1920 1,742 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-Maintained Shamokin Half-Double. This Home has LR, DR, Kitchen, 1st Floor Half-Bath, 4 Bedrooms, and Bath, other features include fenced-in-yard, patio, and porch. Call Rich for info and an Appt at 570-274-2566.

Key facts

  • Yard
  • Porch
  • Patio

Tags

YARDPATIOPORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking on site
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Metal, rubber, and shingle roof; No listed foundation details
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Sidewalks (community)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 9 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer included; Refrigerator included; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($929 rent vs $49k).
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 11.4% in Shamokin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $933 appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $49k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
14.47%
Cash-on-cash
29.22%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$24,451
Equity at exit
$19,072
10-year hold
IRR
34.6%
Equity multiple
5.44×
Total profit
$60,921
Equity at exit
$27,270

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$929 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,466/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $506
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 S Market St Fl Rear Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 43d 1 0.16mi
11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 43d 1 0.16mi
2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $975 $0.67 43d 1 0.38mi
863 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $695 $0.58 43d 1 0.57mi
804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 43d 1 0.58mi
1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA 3.0 1.0 1275 $825 $0.65 43d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $49,000 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    remarks 218-char remark
  7. 2026-06-09
    listed $49,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,466 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,466 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,144
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$1,466
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$892
− Management
−$892
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$3,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$835
After-tax cash flow
$3,174/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $49,000 CSVBR
  • 2020-02-18 Sold (MLS) $23,500 CSVBR
  • 2019-08-19 Listed $28,500 CSVBR

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,466 · +59.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…