731 Cedar St · Lewisburg, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 63 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 3.8% in Lewisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#284 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marshall County (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #58 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary (471 students, 0% FRL); Westhills Elementary (math 29% / reading 23%, grade F, #144 of 333 statewide, top 44%, 603 students, 0% FRL); Marshall Co High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 815 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 400 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $195k implies a 187% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.98%
- DSCR
- 3.71
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,327
- List price
- $194,900
- Delta
- -26.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 518 Maple St | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,267 (-4%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $95 | 68 |
| 104 8th Ave S | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,156 (-8%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $114 | 64 |
| 215 5th Ave N | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,100 (-11%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $183 | 56 |
| 251 Joyce Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,204 (-6%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $166 | 54 |
| 961 Fairlane Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,277 (-3%) | 1mo | $412,000 | $181 | 52 |
| 633 Limestone Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,382 (+1%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $48 | 48 |
| 977 Galloway St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,240 (-5%) | 7mo | $420,000 | $188 | 42 |
| 620 6th Ave S | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,036 (-13%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $111 | 40 |
| 240 Joyce Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,002 (-15%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $187 | 40 |
| 442 Haynes St | 0.39mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,581 (+10%) | 18mo | $255,000 | $99 | 39 |
| 956 Berry St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,071 (-12%) | 22mo | $278,100 | $134 | 30 |
| 962 Galloway St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,008 (-15%) | 24mo | $288,000 | $143 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $145,000
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.48×
- Total profit
- $353,562
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37091
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,050
- Net cashflow
- $2,773
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,883 | -5% $2,828 | +0% $2,773 | +5% $2,718 | +10% $2,663 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,378 | -5% $2,575 | +0% $2,773 | +5% $2,970 | +10% $3,168 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,871 | -0.5pp $2,823 | base $2,773 | +0.5pp $2,722 | +1.0pp $2,671 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 E Hill Ave Lewisburg, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $5,000 | $2.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $194,900 Pending 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-05-04price $194,900 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-04-11status Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-04-03status Pending 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-04-03price $205,900 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-04-01$199,900 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-03-30historical $199,900 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touch! Some updates have been completed, including an electrical panel repair and upgrade in June 2022, along with a newer HVAC system and water heater installed in 2023. The home features a functional layout with comfortable living spaces and a kitchen ready for your vision. Enjoy outdoor living with both a welcoming front stoop and a back deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Please note: washer, dryer, and outdoor shed do not convey. Property is being sold as-is, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking value and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
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2016-07-05soldstatus $68,000
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2016-07-01soldstatus $68,000 Closed 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
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2016-06-09status Pending 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
-
2016-06-08historical Contingent - Financing 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
-
2016-06-02historical 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
-
2016-05-07historical Contingent - Financing 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
-
2016-05-06status Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
-
2016-04-06historical Contingent - Inspection 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
-
2016-04-01$71,000 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Great convenient location one block off West Commerce and close to everything. Upper level finished with 2 rooms and half bath for playroom and 4th bedroom.
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2013-08-13historical
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2013-02-11$72,500
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2007-10-02soldstatus $62,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,384 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$499/yr (+$42/mo · 56.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,800
- − Management
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable income
- $31,953
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,669
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall County
- NCES district ID
- 4702670
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,058
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7426
- State rank
- #58 of 139 in TN
Livability — Lewisburg
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #284
- US rank
- #20031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lewisburg, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,991
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,222 people
- By 2030
- 33,867 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 34,743 · +4.6%
- By 2050
- 34,954 · +5.2%
- By 2075
- 34,652 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 31,862 · -4.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.6) · D 21.2% · R 77.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -56.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.6 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+39.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.86%
- Current HPI
- 350.5306
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+213.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $194,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $205,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $199,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Coming Soon $199,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-01 Sold (MLS) $68,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-09 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-08 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-02 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-07 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-06 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-06 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-01 Listed $71,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-13 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-11 Listed $72,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $885 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…