3045 Suncrest Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable 3/2 now available. Great investment property. Call today for your private tour.
Key facts
- Private master suite
- Masonry fireplace
- Efficient kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Nearby park and restaurants
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 covered space), 2 parking spaces total
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Updated / Remodeled
- Construction: Brick and Masonite exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Deck; Lot approximately 0.24 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Aluminum and wood window frames; Sliding doors and storm door(s); Updated / Remodeled; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hook-ups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.12%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,536
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -0.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3031 Longwood Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,960 (0%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $43 | 78 |
| 1002 Autumn St | 0.27mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,953 (-0%) | 6mo | $73,600 | $38 | 73 |
| 3110 Woodville Cir | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 2,150 (+10%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $33 | 71 |
| 1068 Westway St | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,927 (-2%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $93 | 70 |
| 1157 Rosewood St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,917 (-2%) | 3mo | $79,000 | $41 | 70 |
| 3343 Fleetwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,918 (-2%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $44 | 68 |
| 1027 Autumn St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (-14%) | 1mo | $84,900 | $50 | 65 |
| 3320 Ridgeland Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,850 (-6%) | 4mo | $56,000 | $30 | 60 |
| 3218 Meadow Forest Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,898 (-3%) | 3mo | $59,000 | $31 | 59 |
| 3331 Cherrywood Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,912 (-2%) | 4mo | $57,000 | $30 | 56 |
| 1119 Primrose St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,785 (-9%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $76 | 56 |
| 3246 Longwood Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,835 (-6%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $82 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $14,648
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $54,445
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $418
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,225 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,306 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,050 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $1,575 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,306 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,426 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1805 Hospital Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,050 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-05status $84,900 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$84,900 Active 371-char remark
-
2016-01-06soldstatus
-
2016-01-06soldstatus
-
2015-10-09soldstatus 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Adorable 3/2 now available. Great investment property. Call today for your private tour.
-
2015-10-07soldstatus
-
2015-09-03$34,900 88-char remark
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Adorable 3/2 now available. Great investment property. Call today for your private tour.
-
1998-12-29soldstatus
-
1990-08-16soldstatus
-
1986-09-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,036 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,036 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,234
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$2,036
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $3,950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$948
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+143.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-23 Listed $84,900 MLSU
- 2016-01-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-01-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-10-09 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-10-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-09-03 Listed $34,900 MLSU
- 1998-12-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-08-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1986-09-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,036 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…