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2211 W Hackberry Ave
D- Composite 38.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

2211 W Hackberry Ave · McAllen, TX 78501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1989 7,000 sqft lot $78/sqft · at area comps Est $197k · at est. ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bank-owned property located in McAllen! This spacious home offers 2,432 sq ft of living space and sits on a 7,000 sq ft lot. Features include 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a covered rear-entry carport with room for 4+ vehicles. Built in 1989. Property is being sold strictly as-is. Cash or conventional financing only.

Key facts

  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1989

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (11.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mcallen ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #440 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,788 (11.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,505
List price
$189,900
Delta
-3.36%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
501 N 16th St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,521 (+4%) 15mo $180,000 $71 55
902 N 15th St 0.54mi 3/2.5 2,555 (+5%) 22mo $295,000 $115 46
1312 N 29th St 0.71mi 3/2.0 2,146 (-12%) 5mo $349,000 $163 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.0%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-39,959
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-51,884
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78501

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,688 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$372 /mo · $4,467/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$-114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,832
Max offer price $169,797
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
419 N 17th St Unit 2 McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,500 $0.94 21d 1 0.37mi
609 N 15th St McAllen, TX 2.0 1.0 1900 $1,700 $0.89 43d 1 0.47mi
914 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 2422 $1,900 $0.78 14d 1 0.51mi
914 N 15th St McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 2422 $1,900 $0.78 43d 1 0.51mi
920 N 15th St McAllen, TX 2.0 2.0 3000 $1,800 $0.60 23d 1 0.52mi
1203 Jasmine Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1588 $1,500 $0.94 43d 1 0.69mi
2604 Quince Ln McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,450 $0.81 43d 1 0.71mi
1920 N 25th St Unit C McAllen, TX 3.0 1.0 2707 $850 $0.31 43d 1 0.86mi
1808 N Broadway St McAllen, TX 4.0 3.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 43d 1 0.94mi
1516 Walnut Ave McAllen, TX 4.0 2.0 2188 $1,495 $0.68 43d 1 1.07mi
3600 Cedar Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1854 $1,700 $0.92 43d 1 1.12mi
407 Cedar Ave McAllen, TX 2.0 2.0 2967 $950 $0.32 23d 1 1.27mi
405 Cedar Ave McAllen, TX 3.0 3.0 1935 $2,000 $1.03 43d 1 1.28mi
600 S 8th St McAllen, TX 4.0 2.0 2112 $1,800 $0.85 19d 1 1.32mi
2900 N 24th St McAllen, TX 4.0 2.0 2009 $1,900 $0.95 43d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 333-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $189,900 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,900 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 59 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    price $199,900 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Bank-owned property located in McAllen! This spacious home offers 2,432 sq ft of living space and sits on a 7,000 sq ft lot. Features include 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a covered rear-entry carport with room for 4+ vehicles. Built in 1989. Property is being sold strictly as-is. Cash or conventional financing only.

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $209,900 Active 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Bank-owned property located in McAllen! This spacious home offers 2,432 sq ft of living space and sits on a 7,000 sq ft lot. Features include 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and a covered rear-entry carport with room for 4+ vehicles. Built in 1989. Property is being sold strictly as-is. Cash or conventional financing only.

  19. 2005-10-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,467 · $372/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,467 · $372/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,255
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$4,467
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,620
− Management
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$4,564
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,095
After-tax cash flow
$-270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mcallen ISD
NCES district ID
4829670
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,805
Composite
33.16/100
National rank
#5551
State rank
#440 of 826 in TX

Livability — McAllen

Score
76/100
State rank
#119
US rank
#3771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McAllen, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
144,650
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,935
Household income
$48,071
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
3043.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 32% White 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 85%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 76%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.99%
Current HPI
230.0213
Rent YoY
▲ 1.78%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $199,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $209,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2005-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,467 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…