2606 Oakwood Ct · Middle Smithfield, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Brand new roof
- Brand new kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $113k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $739 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $113k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $781 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.05%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,633
- List price
- $112,900
- Delta
- 5.88%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2606 Oakwood Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (0%) | 1mo | $107,500 | $96 | 94 |
| 7534 Rocky Ridge Rd | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,088 (-3%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $101 | 73 |
| 7529 Rocky Ridge Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-4%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $106 | 63 |
| 7546 Rocky Rdg | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-5%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $33 | 56 |
| 7810 Dougherty Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-10%) | 9mo | $114,900 | $114 | 48 |
| 7630 Rocky Rdg | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 20mo | $99,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 7584 Rocky Ridge Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (+8%) | 24mo | $102,000 | $84 | 43 |
| 7617 Rocky Rdg | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,280 (+14%) | 17mo | $137,000 | $107 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $29,193
- Equity at exit
- $16,834
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $87,728
- Equity at exit
- $9,762
Cash invested: $31,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18302
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$592
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $478/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$715
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$567
- Net cashflow
- $739
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $803 | -5% $771 | +0% $739 | +5% $707 | +10% $675 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $526 | -5% $632 | +0% $739 | +5% $846 | +10% $952 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $796 | -0.5pp $768 | base $739 | +0.5pp $710 | +1.0pp $680 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,225
- Closing costs
- $3,387
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1273 Chateau Dr East Stroudsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $2,700 | $2.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $715 · $8,580/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
-
2026-05-09status Pending 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
-
2026-05-01price $112,900 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
-
2026-05-01price $112,900 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
-
2026-04-02$114,900 Active 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
-
2026-03-26$114,900 Active 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Well Maintained East Stroudsburg Community Offers Carefree Lifestyle! Ranch Style Manufactured Home Featuring ALL NEW Interior w/ 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, Private Parking, & Brand New Roof. Peaceful Cul-De-Sac Setting Backs Up To Forested Community Owned Land For Added Privacy. Freshly Painted Front & Rear Decks Give Way To Open Concept Living & Dining Areas Showcasing Brand New Kitchen w/ Butcher Block Island, Abundant Cabinetry & New Stainless Steel Appliances. Propane Heating & Range Plus New Painting & Flooring Throughout. Primary Bedroom Suite with Full Bath & Walk-In Closet Plus Spacious Laundry Room. Lot Fee Of $715/Month Includes Water, Sewer, Garbage, Plowing, Maintenance of Common Areas & Taxes On Land. Buyer Must Apply For Residency - Anyone 18+ To Fill Out Application. Low Total Taxes Of $490/Year. Conveniently Accessible To Pocono Area Attractions, Four Season Amenities, Major Routes, Restaurants & Medical Facilities. Affordable Summer Living Has Arrived!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $478 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,131 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$653/yr (+$54/mo · 136.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,324
- − Property taxes
- −$478
- − Insurance
- −$564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,592
- − Management
- −$2,592
- − HOA
- −$8,580
- − Depreciation
- −$3,284
- Taxable income
- $7,985
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,916
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,952/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Middle Smithfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,593
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.00%
- Current HPI
- 157.9833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-1.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $112,900 PMAR
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $112,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $114,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $114,900 PMAR
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2026): $478 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…