6729 San Moore Dr · Clay, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come check this adorable 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a quiet neighborhood, enjoy the large back yard with two large places to store your toys and tools. House has fresh paint and flooring. Why rent when you can own this now!!!
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Spacious pole barn
- 0.35 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.35 acres; Located in Whistling Pines subdivision
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Gas water heater; Internet available (AT&T, Verizon, Spectrum)
- Home design: Single-family property (existing); Main living all on one level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Barn; Fenced yard; Storage building; Porch; Covered screened deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Solid surface countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Electric oven; Electric stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom on main level; Tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings: see remarks; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (2.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.7% in Clay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AL, #3,849 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Clay Elementary School (math 10% / reading 40%, grade F, #414 of 627 statewide, top 66%, 632 students, 48% FRL); Claychalkville High School (math 6% / reading 9%, grade F, #261 of 305 statewide, top 87%, 1,361 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.53%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,500
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6245 Clay Palmerdale Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,069 (+5%) | 1mo | $178,900 | $167 | 84 |
| 6227 Clay Palmerdale Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+7%) | 11mo | $217,000 | $199 | 72 |
| 6778 San Moore Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,171 (+15%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $178 | 70 |
| 6807 San Moore Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,070 (+5%) | 19mo | $187,000 | $175 | 69 |
| 6536 Chrissy Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,133 (+11%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $168 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-10,563
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,403
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35126
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $591/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6469 Chrissy Dr Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,465 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6836 Markham Dr Trussville, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1495 | $1,756 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5653 Cheryl Dr Pinson, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,220 | $1.20 | 11d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $164,900 Pending 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-17status Active
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-12status Active
-
2026-03-31status Pending
-
2026-03-18$164,900 Active
-
2018-08-30soldstatus $119,900
-
2018-08-29soldstatus $119,900 Sold 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Come check this adorable 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a quiet neighborhood, enjoy the large back yard with two large places to store your toys and tools. House has fresh paint and flooring. Why rent when you can own this now!!!
-
2018-07-10historical Contingent 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Come check this adorable 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a quiet neighborhood, enjoy the large back yard with two large places to store your toys and tools. House has fresh paint and flooring. Why rent when you can own this now!!!
-
2018-06-05status Active 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Come check this adorable 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a quiet neighborhood, enjoy the large back yard with two large places to store your toys and tools. House has fresh paint and flooring. Why rent when you can own this now!!!
-
2018-05-29historical 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Come check this adorable 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a quiet neighborhood, enjoy the large back yard with two large places to store your toys and tools. House has fresh paint and flooring. Why rent when you can own this now!!!
-
2018-05-25$119,900 Active 223-char remark
Show marketing remark (223 chars)
Come check this adorable 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a quiet neighborhood, enjoy the large back yard with two large places to store your toys and tools. House has fresh paint and flooring. Why rent when you can own this now!!!
-
2016-08-25price $107,000
-
2016-07-13price $114,000
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2009-10-23soldstatus $96,500
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1984-04-27soldstatus $44,085
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $591 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $676 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$86/yr (+$7/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$591
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $786
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$189
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,288/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Clay
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3849
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clay, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,599
- Household income
- $83,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 267.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.52%
- Current HPI
- 188.6439
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.61%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
+274.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-31 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $164,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
- 2018-08-29 Sold (MLS) $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-07-10 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-06-05 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-05-29 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-05-25 Listed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-08-25 Price Changed $107,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2016-07-13 Price Changed $114,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2009-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $96,500 Public Records
- 1984-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,085 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $591 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…