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27 Beechwood Ct
D- Composite 36.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Livability +1.9/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$540,000

27 Beechwood Ct · Moskowite Corner, CA 94558
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,703 sqft · Land public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1989 10,119 sqft lot $200/sqft · 28% below area Est $746k · 28% under $38/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Private, sunny retreat with sweeping views and generous space. This 3 bedroom home plus office offers 2.5 bathrooms, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and abundant natural light throughout. The family room-kitchen combination features warm wood-beamed ceilings and a wood burning stove creating an inviting central gathering space. Multiple decks wrap the home, perfect for enjoying the views of the hills beyond and the natural, peaceful setting. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, separate laundry room, and ample storage. The permitted sunroom adds flexible living space and is a wonderful spot to develop your green thumb, while the yard is accented by a hand-built Japanese tea housea rare and soulful feature. With beautiful bones and contemporary architectural details, the home is ready for a new owner's personal touches and updates. Generous square footage at this price point makes this a standout opportunity. Circle Oaks is a Firewise community just Northeast of downtown Napa towards Lake Berryessa. It's proximity to the Napa Valley and also to Fairfield to the East make this an extremely convenient location but with stunning privacy and a gorgeous country setting. There's tremendous value in this home and property waiting to be realized.

Key facts

  • Multiple decks
  • Firewise community
  • Sweeping views

Tags

SWEEPING VIEWSWOOD BURNING STOVEMULTIPLE DECKSHAND-BUILT JAPANESE TEA HOUSEPERMITTED SUNROOMFIREWISE COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $540k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-645 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $426k (21.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $371k (31.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $371k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.5% in Moskowite Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 37/100 on livability (#1,427 in CA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: crime A; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Napa Valley Unified (urban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #599 of 1,400 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 538 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 427 units permitted in Napa County in 2024 (189 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Napa County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($475k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $238k; list at $540k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $370,741 (31.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.12%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$746,134
List price
$540,000
Delta
-27.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.2%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-139,460
Equity at exit
$80,516
10-year hold
IRR
-43.0%
Equity multiple
-0.43×
Total profit
$-216,454
Equity at exit
$46,689

Cash invested: $151,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94558

Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
538
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,707 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,832
Tax from tax record
$479 /mo · $5,743/yr
Insurance
$225
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$779
Net cashflow
$-645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,523
Max offer price $426,143
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$135,000
Closing costs
$16,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $540,000 Pending 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 116 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 115 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $540,000 Contingent (Show) 114 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    price $540,000 1268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Private, sunny retreat with sweeping views and generous space. This 3 bedroom home plus office offers 2.5 bathrooms, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and abundant natural light throughout. The family room-kitchen combination features warm wood-beamed ceilings and a wood burning stove creating an inviting central gathering space. Multiple decks wrap the home, perfect for enjoying the views of the hills beyond and the natural, peaceful setting. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, separate laundry room, and ample storage. The permitted sunroom adds flexible living space and is a wonderful spot to develop your green thumb, while the yard is accented by a hand-built Japanese tea housea rare and soulful feature. With beautiful bones and contemporary architectural details, the home is ready for a new owner's personal touches and updates. Generous square footage at this price point makes this a standout opportunity. Circle Oaks is a Firewise community just Northeast of downtown Napa towards Lake Berryessa. It's proximity to the Napa Valley and also to Fairfield to the East make this an extremely convenient location but with stunning privacy and a gorgeous country setting. There's tremendous value in this home and property waiting to be realized.

  11. 2026-03-16
    price $575,000 1268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Private, sunny retreat with sweeping views and generous space. This 3 bedroom home plus office offers 2.5 bathrooms, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and abundant natural light throughout. The family room-kitchen combination features warm wood-beamed ceilings and a wood burning stove creating an inviting central gathering space. Multiple decks wrap the home, perfect for enjoying the views of the hills beyond and the natural, peaceful setting. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, separate laundry room, and ample storage. The permitted sunroom adds flexible living space and is a wonderful spot to develop your green thumb, while the yard is accented by a hand-built Japanese tea housea rare and soulful feature. With beautiful bones and contemporary architectural details, the home is ready for a new owner's personal touches and updates. Generous square footage at this price point makes this a standout opportunity. Circle Oaks is a Firewise community just Northeast of downtown Napa towards Lake Berryessa. It's proximity to the Napa Valley and also to Fairfield to the East make this an extremely convenient location but with stunning privacy and a gorgeous country setting. There's tremendous value in this home and property waiting to be realized.

  12. 2026-02-05
    listed $625,000 Active 1268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1268 chars)

    Private, sunny retreat with sweeping views and generous space. This 3 bedroom home plus office offers 2.5 bathrooms, vaulted ceilings, skylights, and abundant natural light throughout. The family room-kitchen combination features warm wood-beamed ceilings and a wood burning stove creating an inviting central gathering space. Multiple decks wrap the home, perfect for enjoying the views of the hills beyond and the natural, peaceful setting. Additional highlights include a two-car garage, separate laundry room, and ample storage. The permitted sunroom adds flexible living space and is a wonderful spot to develop your green thumb, while the yard is accented by a hand-built Japanese tea housea rare and soulful feature. With beautiful bones and contemporary architectural details, the home is ready for a new owner's personal touches and updates. Generous square footage at this price point makes this a standout opportunity. Circle Oaks is a Firewise community just Northeast of downtown Napa towards Lake Berryessa. It's proximity to the Napa Valley and also to Fairfield to the East make this an extremely convenient location but with stunning privacy and a gorgeous country setting. There's tremendous value in this home and property waiting to be realized.

  13. 1994-02-14
    soldstatus $238,000
  14. 1994-02-14
    soldstatus $238,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,743 · $479/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,743 · $479/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,489
− Mortgage interest
−$30,248
− Property taxes
−$5,743
− Insurance
−$2,700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,559
− Management
−$3,559
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$15,709
Taxable loss
−$17,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,197
After-tax cash flow
$-3,538/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Napa Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0626640
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$72,007
Composite
40.18/100
National rank
#7827
State rank
#599 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Moskowite Corner

Score
37/100
State rank
#1427
US rank
#27607

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Napa County · 120,669 people
Metro
Napa, CA
Population (ZIP)
63,657
Household income
$113,269
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Napa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,987 people
By 2030
159,490 · +3.6%
By 2040
168,796 · +9.6%
By 2050
176,213 · +14.4%
By 2075
190,113 · +23.5%
By 2100
190,528 · +23.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Napa

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.9) · D 65.9% · R 31.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.4pp toward D · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 34.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.9 2020: D+40.4 2016: D+35.2 2012: D+25.7 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -842.94%
Current HPI
296.0661
Rent YoY
▼ -0.50%
Metro
Napa, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $540,000 BAREIS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $575,000 BAREIS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $625,000 BAREIS
  • 1994-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $238,000 Public Records
  • 1994-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $238,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,743 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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