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131 Bette St
D Composite 40.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

131 Bette St · Lufkin, TX 75901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1985 0.62 ac lot Est $164k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Adorable & Affordable 3-bedroom 1.5 bath home family ready and priced to sell quickly! This budget friendly charmer features a large living room with wood burning fireplace. Large kitchen with gas range, plenty of cabinets and includes the refrigerator. Dining area/breakfast room connected to the kitchen for simple function and ease. Laundry room just off the dining area and includes washer & dryer. Converted garage is now workshop & storage room. Nice hall bath while master bedroom has it's own half bath. Large lot at end of cul-de-sac. Big back yard ready to enjoy. This is a truly affordable home ready for a new family to enjoy! Stop wasting money on rent! make this your

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Plenty of cabinets
  • Gas range

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEGAS RANGEPLENTY OF CABINETSINCLUDES REFRIGERATORLAUNDRY ROOMWORKSHOP STORAGE ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Located in the Lacey subdivision
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.62-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Dryer; Washer; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($408/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Lufkin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#240 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Lufkin ISD (town): math 39% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #446 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Slack El (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #2,234 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 520 students, 86% FRL); Lufkin Middle (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,487 students, 89% FRL); Lufkin H S (math 49% / reading 45%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 2,135 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 68% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,138 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.86%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,856
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1300 Lacey Cir 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,274 (+3%) 18mo $169,900 $133 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-25,230
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-19,229
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75901

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,451 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,871/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,408
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $130 -5% $82 +0% $34 +5% $-14 +10% $-62
Rent -10% $-81 -5% $-23 +0% $34 +5% $91 +10% $149
Rate -1.0pp $119 -0.5pp $77 base $34 +0.5pp $-10 +1.0pp $-54

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 687-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $169,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,871 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,093 · $258/mo
Expected delta
+$1,222/yr (+$102/mo · 65.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,417
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$1,871
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,393
− Management
−$1,393
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$2,469
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$593
After-tax cash flow
$1,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lufkin ISD
NCES district ID
4828550
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,009
Composite
32.81/100
National rank
#5625
State rank
#446 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lufkin

Score
72/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#5792

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Angelina County · 62,696 people
City population
62,696
Metro
Lufkin, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,234
Household income
$62,966
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
930.0

Population outlook (Angelina County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,174 people
By 2030
90,697 · +0.6%
By 2040
91,291 · +1.2%
By 2050
91,168 · +1.1%
By 2075
88,961 · -1.3%
By 2100
80,590 · -10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21% Black 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Angelina

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.7%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.13%
Current HPI
232.6282
Rent YoY
Metro
Lufkin, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $169,000 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2011-06-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-07-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,871 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…