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206 Winter St St
C Composite 59.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

206 Winter St St · Calamus, IA 52729
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1955 9,191 sqft lot Est $138k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover quality living and small-town charm at 206 Winter St in Calamus. This 1,132 sq ft ranch home offers a peaceful, community-oriented lifestyle. The convenient single-level layout features 3 comfortable bedrooms, a full bath, and a welcoming eat-in kitchen. The generous 9,200 sq ft lot is perfect for gardening and recreation. The true highlight is the location within the highly-regarded Calamus-Wheatland Community School District, praised for its academic excellence, small class sizes, and strong community involvement. Enjoy a safe, welcoming environment with an outstanding educational foundation. This isn't just a house; it's your opportunity to find a true home.

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • 9,191 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

WELCOMING EAT-IN KITCHENGENEROUS LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($629/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#555 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Calamus-Wheatland Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #150 of 289 in IA (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $104,945 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.89%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,104
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Grove St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,284 (+13%) 8mo $157,000 $122 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$23,409
Equity at exit
$59,621
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$71,817
Equity at exit
$96,949

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52729

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,049 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $983
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $120 -5% $86 +0% $52 +5% $19 +10% $-15
Rent -10% $-30 -5% $11 +0% $52 +5% $94 +10% $135
Rate -1.0pp $112 -0.5pp $83 base $52 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2025-12-03
    soldstatus $125,000
  2. 2025-10-22
    status Pending
  3. 2025-10-11
    listed $119,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,236 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,552 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$316/yr (+$26/mo · 25.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,593
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,236
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,007
− Management
−$1,007
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$331
After-tax cash flow
$960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calamus-Wheatland Community School District
NCES district ID
1906000
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$54,711
Composite
59.01/100
National rank
#962
State rank
#150 of 289 in IA

Livability — Calamus

Score
65/100
State rank
#555
US rank
#12527

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calamus, IA
Population (ZIP)
834

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,817 people
By 2030
43,090 · -3.9%
By 2040
39,513 · -11.8%
By 2050
36,209 · -19.2%
By 2075
31,888 · -28.8%
By 2100
30,382 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% English 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Chinese 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-41.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.3 2016: R+5.1 2012: D+22.9 2008: D+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.90%
Current HPI
157.408
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2025-10-22 Pending CRAAR, CDRMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $119,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,236 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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