206 Winter St St · Calamus, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover quality living and small-town charm at 206 Winter St in Calamus. This 1,132 sq ft ranch home offers a peaceful, community-oriented lifestyle. The convenient single-level layout features 3 comfortable bedrooms, a full bath, and a welcoming eat-in kitchen. The generous 9,200 sq ft lot is perfect for gardening and recreation. The true highlight is the location within the highly-regarded Calamus-Wheatland Community School District, praised for its academic excellence, small class sizes, and strong community involvement. Enjoy a safe, welcoming environment with an outstanding educational foundation. This isn't just a house; it's your opportunity to find a true home.
Key facts
- Generous lot
- 9,191 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($629/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#555 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Calamus-Wheatland Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #150 of 289 in IA (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.89%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,104
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Grove St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,284 (+13%) | 8mo | $157,000 | $122 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $23,409
- Equity at exit
- $59,621
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $71,817
- Equity at exit
- $96,949
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52729
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,049 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $52
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $86 | +0% $52 | +5% $19 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-30 | -5% $11 | +0% $52 | +5% $94 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $112 | -0.5pp $83 | base $52 | +0.5pp $22 | +1.0pp $-10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2025-12-03soldstatus $125,000
-
2025-10-22status Pending
-
2025-10-11$119,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,552 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$316/yr (+$26/mo · 25.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,007
- − Management
- −$1,007
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$1,380
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calamus-Wheatland Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906000
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,711
- Composite
- 59.01/100
- National rank
- #962
- State rank
- #150 of 289 in IA
Livability — Calamus
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #555
- US rank
- #12527
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calamus, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 834
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,817 people
- By 2030
- 43,090 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 39,513 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 36,209 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 31,888 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 30,382 · -32.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% English 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Chinese 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.3 2016: R+5.1 2012: D+22.9 2008: D+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.90%
- Current HPI
- 157.408
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+5.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2025-10-22 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2025-10-11 Listed $119,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…