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1337 S 4th St 9-Plex
D- Composite 39.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,200,000

1337 S 4th St · Louisville, KY 40208
108 bd · 81.0 ba · 8,421 sqft · MultiFamily · 327 Days on market
Built 1885 8,394 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 9 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic location overlooking Central Park surrounded by Bed and Breakfasts and Luxury Condos. This building is an incredible income producer with rarely ever any vacancies, plus five garages for additional income. Current monthly gross income is $4755 with great potential to increase. Same owners for over 33 yrs. This property is to be Sold as is.

Key facts

  • Multifamily property
  • On-site parking
  • Laundry

Tags

MULTIFAMILY PROPERTYON-SITE PARKINGLAUNDRYLARGE EXTERIOR STORAGE UNITSHISTORIC NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 6,331 (source: Other); Living area reported as 8,421; Lot approximately 0.19 acres (about 8,394 sq ft); Not located in a flood plain; Directions: Traveling west on W Ormsby Ave, turn left onto S 4th Street and drive to the end of one block. The property is the first on your left after crossing Park Avenue, directly across from Central Park.
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces (uncovered)
  • Utilities: Electricity connected
  • Home design: Apartment property; Other architectural style; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1885
  • Exterior features: No exterior features listed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 12 total bedrooms (all listed on the 1st level)
  • Bathrooms: 9 full bathrooms (listed on the 1st level)
  • Heating & cooling: 9 furnaces
  • Interior features: Basement present; Separate meters for units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 9 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-827/yr) — negative. Per door: $-8/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.19M (1.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $954k (20.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $954k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Wheatley Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #670 of 676 statewide, top 100%, 318 students, 84% FRL); Highland Middle (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #181 of 217 statewide, top 84%, 801 students, 59% FRL); Iroquois High (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #245 of 254 statewide, top 97%, 1,090 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 56% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 327 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $290k; list at $1.20M implies a 314% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $953,600 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 327 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.25%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-168,865
Equity at exit
$178,924
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-21,612
Equity at exit
$103,754

Cash invested: $336,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40208

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
94.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,536 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,293
Tax from tax record
$809 /mo · $9,713/yr
Insurance
$500
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,003
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,623
Max offer price $1,187,821
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $610 -5% $271 +0% $-69 +5% $-409 +10% $-748
Rent -10% $-822 -5% $-446 +0% $-69 +5% $308 +10% $684
Rate -1.0pp $535 -0.5pp $236 base $-69 +0.5pp $-380 +1.0pp $-696

9-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (9 units) $9,536

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$300,000
Closing costs
$36,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2025-07-03
    listed $1,200,000 Active
  2. 2024-04-10
    historical $795
  3. 2024-03-13
    price $795
  4. 2024-02-02
    listed $850
  5. 2023-07-16
    historical
  6. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $290,000 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Fantastic location overlooking Central Park surrounded by Bed and Breakfasts and Luxury Condos. This building is an incredible income producer with rarely ever any vacancies, plus five garages for additional income. Current monthly gross income is $4755 with great potential to increase. Same owners for over 33 yrs. This property is to be Sold as is.

  7. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $290,000
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Fantastic location overlooking Central Park surrounded by Bed and Breakfasts and Luxury Condos. This building is an incredible income producer with rarely ever any vacancies, plus five garages for additional income. Current monthly gross income is $4755 with great potential to increase. Same owners for over 33 yrs. This property is to be Sold as is.

  8. 2007-03-05
    listed $345,000 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    Fantastic location overlooking Central Park surrounded by Bed and Breakfasts and Luxury Condos. This building is an incredible income producer with rarely ever any vacancies, plus five garages for additional income. Current monthly gross income is $4755 with great potential to increase. Same owners for over 33 yrs. This property is to be Sold as is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$9,713 · $809/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,320 · $860/mo
Expected delta
+$607/yr (+$51/mo · 6.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$114,432
− Mortgage interest
−$67,219
− Property taxes
−$9,713
− Insurance
−$6,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,155
− Management
−$9,155
− Depreciation
−$34,909
Taxable loss
−$21,718
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,212
After-tax cash flow
$4,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
15,605
Household income
$39,560
Rent vs Own
73.8% rent · 26.2% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.97%
Current HPI
240.6261
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+247.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-03 Listed $1,200,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $795 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-13 Price Changed $795 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-02-02 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-07-16 Rental Removed APPFOLIO
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $290,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-03-05 Listed $345,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,713 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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