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1430 Delz Dr
B Composite 70.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$185,000

1430 Delz Dr · North Muskegon, MI 49445
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,434 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1940 0.31 ac lot Est $261k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled on a quiet, peaceful dead-end drive in the highly desirable Reeths-Puffer School District, this Cape Cod-style home offers the perfect blend of a serene setting and an incredible location. You will love the close proximity to local schools, parks, and the beautiful shores of Lake Michigan. The property sits on an expansive lot featuring a large side yard that is ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or creating your own private oasis. Inside, a functional floor plan includes a comfortable main-floor layout with a kitchen, dining area, living room, and bedrooms, all connected via a central breezeway to a spacious attached garage. This home is primed for its next chapter, featuring major high-ticket mechanical updates that provide incredible peace of mind for the lucky new owner. Move right in and enjoy the comfort of a newer furnace (2018), central air (2020), and a brand-new roof on the main house (2023). Ready for you to bring your own design ideas and personal flair, this

Key facts

  • Central breezeway
  • Newer furnace
  • Private oasis

Tags

LARGE SIDE YARDPRIVATE OASISCENTRAL BREEZEWAYSPACIOUS ATTACHED GARAGENEWER FURNACECENTRAL AIR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Public water; Cable connected
  • Home design: Cape Cod style; Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1940; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Cable connected; Lot about 0.31 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.1% in North Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#129 in MI, #3,195 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Reeths-Puffer Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #254 of 540 in MI (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.27%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,988
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1504 Sunview St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,378 (-4%) 3mo $221,490 $161 59
1310 W Giles Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,409 (-2%) 4mo $230,000 $163 58
1165 Horton Rd 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,316 (-8%) 10mo $269,900 $205 51
2288 W Giles Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,230 (-14%) 4mo $185,000 $150 50
1596 Nottingham Ct 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-10%) 8mo $270,000 $208 49
1288 Aspacia St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-10%) 1mo $142,800 $110 48
1665 Gladstone Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-6%) 22mo $244,100 $182 44
1480 Horton Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,611 (+12%) 20mo $182,000 $113 44
1060 Horton Rd 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,512 (+5%) 19mo $295,000 $195 44
957 Cheboygan Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,353 (-6%) 23mo $270,000 $200 40
1690 Petoskey Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+7%) 23mo $373,900 $243 38
1540 Dykstra Rd 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,638 (+14%) 6mo $290,000 $177 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$118,021
Equity at exit
$166,663
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
7.45×
Total profit
$334,042
Equity at exit
$359,414

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49445

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,951 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$223 /mo · $2,680/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,608
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $185,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  14. 2026-06-03
    listed $189,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,680 · $223/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,764 · $230/mo
Expected delta
+$85/yr (+$7/mo · 3.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,411
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,680
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,873
− Management
−$1,873
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$316
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$76
After-tax cash flow
$3,172/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Reeths-Puffer Schools
NCES district ID
2629540
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,223
Composite
31.62/100
National rank
#5942
State rank
#254 of 540 in MI

Livability — North Muskegon

Score
77/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#3195

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
44,766
Population (ZIP)
21,090

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.82%
Current HPI
605.31
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $189,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $189,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,680 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…