521 Cochran Ave · Albany, GA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- ARV discount +2.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Schedule an appointment to see this updated Investor's dream! Tenant in tow; monthly rental income is $650. Current Lease terminates in June 2022. New Roof, New Window Unit AC. Granite counter tops and new bathroom vanity. Stove, refrigerator, washer and dryer all included in the sale. A 24 Hour notice must be given in order to see property. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Call Listing Agent to schedule showing. This property is located in a flood zone.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1979
- Listed 87 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer connected)
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single-story
- Exterior features: Lot of approximately 0.17 acres; Located in the City Of Albany subdivision
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One full bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($652/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 5.0% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King- Jr. Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 382 students, 100% FRL); Monroe High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #421 of 424 statewide, top 100%, 1,078 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $393 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.22%
- DSCR
- 2.61
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $51,352
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Wells Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-8%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $26 | 68 |
| 314 Tremont Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,147 (+9%) | 5mo | $48,000 | $42 | 58 |
| 317 Tremont Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-9%) | 18mo | $47,000 | $49 | 50 |
| 319 Tremont Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (-6%) | 22mo | $56,000 | $57 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-5,496
- Equity at exit
- $8,484
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $739
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
Cash invested: $15,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31701
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$298
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $557/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $87 | -5% $70 | +0% $54 | +5% $38 | +10% $22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $12 | +0% $54 | +5% $97 | +10% $139 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $83 | -0.5pp $69 | base $54 | +0.5pp $40 | +1.0pp $25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,225
- Closing costs
- $1,707
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2415 Habersham Rd Albany, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1601 Radium Springs Rd Albany, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $793 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $56,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $56,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $56,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $56,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $56,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $56,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $56,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $56,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $56,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $56,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $56,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $56,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $56,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $56,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $56,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $56,900
-
2026-03-23$60,000 Active
-
2024-03-14historical $800
-
2024-01-12price $800
-
2024-01-04$625
-
2022-01-11status Under Contract 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Schedule an appointment to see this updated Investor's dream! Tenant in tow; monthly rental income is $650. Current Lease terminates in June 2022. New Roof, New Window Unit AC. Granite counter tops and new bathroom vanity. Stove, refrigerator, washer and dryer all included in the sale. A 24 Hour notice must be given in order to see property. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Call Listing Agent to schedule showing. This property is located in a flood zone.
-
2021-12-13soldstatus $48,000
-
2021-12-06soldstatus $48,000 Sold 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Schedule an appointment to see this updated Investor's dream! Tenant in tow; monthly rental income is $650. Current Lease terminates in June 2022. New Roof, New Window Unit AC. Granite counter tops and new bathroom vanity. Stove, refrigerator, washer and dryer all included in the sale. A 24 Hour notice must be given in order to see property. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Call Listing Agent to schedule showing. This property is located in a flood zone.
-
2021-11-16$55,000 New 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Schedule an appointment to see this updated Investor's dream! Tenant in tow; monthly rental income is $650. Current Lease terminates in June 2022. New Roof, New Window Unit AC. Granite counter tops and new bathroom vanity. Stove, refrigerator, washer and dryer all included in the sale. A 24 Hour notice must be given in order to see property. DO NOT DISTURB TENANT! Call Listing Agent to schedule showing. This property is located in a flood zone.
-
2008-06-13soldstatus $270,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,187
- − Property taxes
- −$557
- − Insurance
- −$5,403
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,032
- − Management
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$1,655
- Taxable income
- $35
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8
- After-tax cash flow
- $644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dougherty County
- NCES district ID
- 1301830
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,105
- Composite
- 11.31/100
- National rank
- #9716
- State rank
- #163 of 174 in GA
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #18903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, GA
- County
- Dougherty County · 89,040 people
- City population
- 89,040
- Metro
- Albany, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,135
- Household income
- $35,025
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1383.0
Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,551 people
- By 2030
- 80,637 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 72,090 · -14.7%
- By 2050
- 64,056 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 46,332 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 33,127 · -60.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 21% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.55%
- Current HPI
- 145.4604
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-78.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $56,900 SWGABOR
- 2026-03-23 Listed $60,000 SWGABOR
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-12 Price Changed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $625 APPFOLIO
- 2022-01-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-06 Sold (MLS) $48,000 GAMLS
- 2021-11-16 Listed $55,000 GAMLS
- 2008-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $557 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…