4875 Wyoming Cir NE #33 · Hayesville, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 2007 Karsten Double-Wide Manufactured Home. This top-of-the-line 2007 Karsten double-wide, 3 Bdrm, 2 full bath, 1456 SqFt, offers exceptional comfort, quality, and accessibility in a family oriented and friendly park community. Featuring a fully fenced yard and a spacious front deck. It has a built-in ramp and wide entry back door, this home is thoughtfully designed for easy access and accommodation for handicap needs. Inside, you’ll find a bright, open floor plan with a large dining area, two generous living/bonus rooms, and a spacious master suite with a walk-in closet. The master bathroom has been fully remodeled with a beautifully tiled roll-in shower and floor. The kitchen offers plenty of workspace and storage, including a pantry, newer LG refrigerator (under 2 years old), built-in microwave (also around 2 years old), dishwasher, and electric range. A high-efficiency washer and dryer are also included, 3 yr old heat pump. Additional highlights include two storage sheds in excellent condition, a small electric fireplace, and an electric lawnmower. The park has access directly onto the nearby elementary school—perfect for families. This home combines comfort, practicality, and thoughtful updates—ready for you to move in and make it your own.
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- 2 storage sheds
- Handicap accessible
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.1% in Hayesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#63 in OR, #2,298 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (371 students, 60% FRL); Waldo Middle School (1,166 students, 73% FRL); Mckay High School (2,311 students, 102% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 53% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.41%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,953
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -10.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4875 Wyoming Cir NE #33 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (0%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $58 | 99 |
| 3182 Sandal Ct NE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-1%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $118 | 84 |
| 3460 Hidden Vw NE #10 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 3mo | $94,500 | $73 | 71 |
| 4400 Bren Lp NE Spc 53 | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+7%) | 2mo | $84,623 | $54 | 65 |
| 3034 Surfwood Dr NE | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $108 | 63 |
| 4400 Bren Space 53 Loop NE | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+7%) | 2mo | $84,623 | $54 | 63 |
| 4525 NE Angie Marie Way #30 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-4%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $85 | 62 |
| 3948 Witter Ln NE | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (-4%) | 8mo | $334,900 | $239 | 58 |
| 2935 Surf Ct NE | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-12%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $277 | 53 |
| 2560 Brown Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 5mo | $412,000 | $318 | 49 |
| 4074 NE Vernon St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $270 | 47 |
| 4500 Angie Marie Way NE #17 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-14%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $83 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $34,576
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $95,259
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97305
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,795 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $752/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $795
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $851 | -5% $823 | +0% $795 | +5% $767 | +10% $739 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $653 | -5% $724 | +0% $795 | +5% $866 | +10% $937 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $845 | -0.5pp $820 | base $795 | +0.5pp $769 | +1.0pp $743 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4712 Silverton Rd NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 15d | 5 | 0.04mi |
| 4824 Falcon Ct NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3617 Silverstone Dr NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $2,195 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3654 47th Ave NE Unit 3654-D Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3661 Silverstone Ct NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1742 | $2,295 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4470 Conser Way NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 15d | 3 | 0.36mi |
| 4455 Seaton Ln NE Salem, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,695 | $1.56 | 15d | 5 | 0.44mi |
| 4889 Saunter Loop NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1186 | $1,925 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4495 Pacifica Way NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,445 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4252 Ash Grove Dr NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $2,100 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3454 Chiefs Ct NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 880 | $1,650 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2970 Phipps Ln NE Salem, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,450 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4768 El Cedro Loop NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4359 Rodeo Dr NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,245 | $1.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4054 Aden Pl NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4032 Aden Pl NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1558 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3240 Harold Dr NE Unit 3236-311 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,650 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3240 Harold Dr NE Unit 3255-122 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3240 Harold Dr NE Salem, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $1,850 | $1.90 | 25d | 13 | 0.87mi |
| 3976 Rockwood Park Dr NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 862 | $1,375 | $1.59 | 25d | 11 | 0.87mi |
| 3211 Autumn Chase Way NE Unit 330-09203 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,300 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3211 Autumn Chase Way NE Unit 330-10204 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,400 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4116 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 4116 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4114 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 4114 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2500 Lancaster Dr NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,350 | $1.75 | 15d | 11 | 1.01mi |
| 2500 Lancaster Dr NE Unit 35 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,295 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4473 47th Ave NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $2,200 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4185 Lancaster Dr NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1672 | $2,095 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1973 45th Ave NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $1,360 | $1.30 | 15d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 3440 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 3444-102 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,795 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3655 Hawthorne Ave NE Unit 3655 Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2489 Coral Ave NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,301 | $1.59 | 15d | 11 | 1.24mi |
| 3942 Ward Dr NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,550 | $2.00 | 45d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 3489 Hawthorne Ave NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3493 Hawthorne Ave NE Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4334 Ward Pl NE Unit 1 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,775 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4200 Sunnyview Rd NE Salem, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,445 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3017 Alameda St NE Salem, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,395 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4154 Sunnyview Rd NE Salem, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,375 | $1.71 | 15d | 6 | 1.30mi |
| 3327 Rockingham Ct NE Unit 3327 Salem, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-17status Active 1293-char remark
Show marketing remark (1293 chars)
Beautiful 2007 Karsten Double-Wide Manufactured Home. This top-of-the-line 2007 Karsten double-wide, 3 Bdrm, 2 full bath, 1456 SqFt, offers exceptional comfort, quality, and accessibility in a family oriented and friendly park community. Featuring a fully fenced yard and a spacious front deck. It has a built-in ramp and wide entry back door, this home is thoughtfully designed for easy access and accommodation for handicap needs. Inside, you’ll find a bright, open floor plan with a large dining area, two generous living/bonus rooms, and a spacious master suite with a walk-in closet. The master bathroom has been fully remodeled with a beautifully tiled roll-in shower and floor. The kitchen offers plenty of workspace and storage, including a pantry, newer LG refrigerator (under 2 years old), built-in microwave (also around 2 years old), dishwasher, and electric range. A high-efficiency washer and dryer are also included, 3 yr old heat pump. Additional highlights include two storage sheds in excellent condition, a small electric fireplace, and an electric lawnmower. The park has access directly onto the nearby elementary school—perfect for families. This home combines comfort, practicality, and thoughtful updates—ready for you to move in and make it your own.
-
2026-05-16historical 1293-char remark
Show marketing remark (1293 chars)
Beautiful 2007 Karsten Double-Wide Manufactured Home. This top-of-the-line 2007 Karsten double-wide, 3 Bdrm, 2 full bath, 1456 SqFt, offers exceptional comfort, quality, and accessibility in a family oriented and friendly park community. Featuring a fully fenced yard and a spacious front deck. It has a built-in ramp and wide entry back door, this home is thoughtfully designed for easy access and accommodation for handicap needs. Inside, you’ll find a bright, open floor plan with a large dining area, two generous living/bonus rooms, and a spacious master suite with a walk-in closet. The master bathroom has been fully remodeled with a beautifully tiled roll-in shower and floor. The kitchen offers plenty of workspace and storage, including a pantry, newer LG refrigerator (under 2 years old), built-in microwave (also around 2 years old), dishwasher, and electric range. A high-efficiency washer and dryer are also included, 3 yr old heat pump. Additional highlights include two storage sheds in excellent condition, a small electric fireplace, and an electric lawnmower. The park has access directly onto the nearby elementary school—perfect for families. This home combines comfort, practicality, and thoughtful updates—ready for you to move in and make it your own.
-
2026-04-27price $100,000 1293-char remark
Show marketing remark (1293 chars)
Beautiful 2007 Karsten Double-Wide Manufactured Home. This top-of-the-line 2007 Karsten double-wide, 3 Bdrm, 2 full bath, 1456 SqFt, offers exceptional comfort, quality, and accessibility in a family oriented and friendly park community. Featuring a fully fenced yard and a spacious front deck. It has a built-in ramp and wide entry back door, this home is thoughtfully designed for easy access and accommodation for handicap needs. Inside, you’ll find a bright, open floor plan with a large dining area, two generous living/bonus rooms, and a spacious master suite with a walk-in closet. The master bathroom has been fully remodeled with a beautifully tiled roll-in shower and floor. The kitchen offers plenty of workspace and storage, including a pantry, newer LG refrigerator (under 2 years old), built-in microwave (also around 2 years old), dishwasher, and electric range. A high-efficiency washer and dryer are also included, 3 yr old heat pump. Additional highlights include two storage sheds in excellent condition, a small electric fireplace, and an electric lawnmower. The park has access directly onto the nearby elementary school—perfect for families. This home combines comfort, practicality, and thoughtful updates—ready for you to move in and make it your own.
-
2026-02-20price $110,000 1293-char remark
Show marketing remark (1293 chars)
Beautiful 2007 Karsten Double-Wide Manufactured Home. This top-of-the-line 2007 Karsten double-wide, 3 Bdrm, 2 full bath, 1456 SqFt, offers exceptional comfort, quality, and accessibility in a family oriented and friendly park community. Featuring a fully fenced yard and a spacious front deck. It has a built-in ramp and wide entry back door, this home is thoughtfully designed for easy access and accommodation for handicap needs. Inside, you’ll find a bright, open floor plan with a large dining area, two generous living/bonus rooms, and a spacious master suite with a walk-in closet. The master bathroom has been fully remodeled with a beautifully tiled roll-in shower and floor. The kitchen offers plenty of workspace and storage, including a pantry, newer LG refrigerator (under 2 years old), built-in microwave (also around 2 years old), dishwasher, and electric range. A high-efficiency washer and dryer are also included, 3 yr old heat pump. Additional highlights include two storage sheds in excellent condition, a small electric fireplace, and an electric lawnmower. The park has access directly onto the nearby elementary school—perfect for families. This home combines comfort, practicality, and thoughtful updates—ready for you to move in and make it your own.
-
2025-10-15$125,000 Active 1293-char remark
Show marketing remark (1293 chars)
Beautiful 2007 Karsten Double-Wide Manufactured Home. This top-of-the-line 2007 Karsten double-wide, 3 Bdrm, 2 full bath, 1456 SqFt, offers exceptional comfort, quality, and accessibility in a family oriented and friendly park community. Featuring a fully fenced yard and a spacious front deck. It has a built-in ramp and wide entry back door, this home is thoughtfully designed for easy access and accommodation for handicap needs. Inside, you’ll find a bright, open floor plan with a large dining area, two generous living/bonus rooms, and a spacious master suite with a walk-in closet. The master bathroom has been fully remodeled with a beautifully tiled roll-in shower and floor. The kitchen offers plenty of workspace and storage, including a pantry, newer LG refrigerator (under 2 years old), built-in microwave (also around 2 years old), dishwasher, and electric range. A high-efficiency washer and dryer are also included, 3 yr old heat pump. Additional highlights include two storage sheds in excellent condition, a small electric fireplace, and an electric lawnmower. The park has access directly onto the nearby elementary school—perfect for families. This home combines comfort, practicality, and thoughtful updates—ready for you to move in and make it your own.
-
2011-01-07historical
-
2010-07-08$61,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$209/yr (+$17/mo · 27.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$752
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,723
- − Management
- −$1,723
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $8,420
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,021
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Hayesville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #2298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hayesville, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,044
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 3% Native American 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -328.50%
- Current HPI
- 296.3428
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+61.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-05-16 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $100,000 WVMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $110,000 WVMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $125,000 WVMLS
- 2011-01-07 Listing Removed — WVMLS
- 2010-07-08 Listed $61,900 WVMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $752 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…