1059 NE Sugar Babe Rd · Southeast Arcadia, FL 34266

$150,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Other · 53 Days on market

Built 1995 0.50 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Solid investment property featuring a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home situated on a spacious half-acre lot. Property offers strong rental potential with room for future improvements, expansion, or redevelopment.

Key facts

• 0.5 acre lot
• Built 1995
• Listed 53 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Unfurnished; Living area 960 square feet
• Financial info: No lease restrictions; Property is residential
• HOA & community: No HOA/association

Exterior

• Parking: No parking details provided
• Security: No security features listed
• Utilities: Well required for water; Septic tank; Other utilities
• Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces south
• Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Other foundation details; Built as a manufactured home
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Half-acre lot

Interior

• Kitchen: No appliances listed
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
• Interior features: Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: No laundry facilities

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $140k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.3% in Southeast Arcadia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#864 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Desoto (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 73 in FL (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• DeSoto County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $13k; list at $150k implies a 1054% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $140,333 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.37%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.76×
• Total profit: $-10,184
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.22×
• Total profit: $9,119
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34266

• Home prices YoY: -6.1%
• Active inventory: 207
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,403 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$37 /mo · $440/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$295
• Net cashflow: $223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 53 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
15. 2026-04-26
    listed $150,000 Active
16. 2015-07-27
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $440 · $37/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,245 · $104/mo
• Expected delta: +$805/yr (+$67/mo · 183.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,840
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$440
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,347
• − Management: −$1,347
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $190
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$46
• After-tax cash flow: $2,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Desoto
• NCES district ID: 1200420
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,136
• Composite: 26.03/100
• National rank: #7305
• State rank: #69 of 73 in FL

Livability — Southeast Arcadia

• Score: 56/100
• State rank: #864
• US rank: #22423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 29,065

Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,958 people
• By 2030: 34,465 · -1.4%
• By 2040: 33,137 · -5.2%
• By 2050: 31,273 · -10.5%
• By 2075: 23,898 · -31.6%
• By 2100: 15,517 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.9) · D 28.2% · R 71.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -26.01%
• Current HPI: 403.1509
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1053.8% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-26 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $440 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.