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550 Palm Dr #56
B Composite 70.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$46,000

550 Palm Dr #56 · Wickenburg, AZ 85390
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 169 Days on market
Built 1984 Good condition 2,700 sqft lot $55/sqft · 58% above area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

Key facts

  • 2,700 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1984

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 3.0% in Wickenburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wickenburg Unified District (4236) (rural): math 33% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 249 in AZ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $40,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.02%
Cap rate
26.63%
Cash-on-cash
72.62%
DSCR
4.23
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,038
List price
$46,000
Delta
58.41%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$15,308
Equity at exit
$6,859
10-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
4.37×
Total profit
$43,425
Equity at exit
$3,977

Cash invested: $12,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85390

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Active inventory
378
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,389 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$241
Tax est. 1.5%
$58 /mo · $690/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $942
Max offer price $46,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,500
Closing costs
$1,380
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
757 N Oleander St Wickenburg, AZ 1.0 1.0 576 $1,200 $2.08 43d 1 0.09mi
455 N Tegner St #26 Wickenburg, AZ 1.0 1.0 792 $1,150 $1.45 1d 1 0.46mi
90 W Yavapai St Apt 9 Wickenburg, AZ 1.0 1.0 608 $1,250 $2.06 43d 1 0.51mi
560 Penn Ln Wickenburg, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1051 $1,595 $1.52 1d 6 0.51mi
549 W Wickenburg Way Unit 2 Wickenburg, AZ 1.0 1.0 610 $995 $1.63 1d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $46,000 Active 169 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $46,000 Active 168 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $46,000 Active 167 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $46,000 Active 166 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $46,000 Active 164 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $46,000 Active 163 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $46,000 Active 160 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $46,000 Active 159 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $46,000 Active 158 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $46,000 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $46,000 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $46,000 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $46,000 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $46,000 Active 151 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    status Active 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  16. 2026-05-11
    historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  17. 2026-05-02
    price $47,500 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  18. 2026-04-10
    price $48,500 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  19. 2026-03-12
    price $49,500 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  20. 2026-03-05
    price $53,500 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  21. 2026-02-19
    price $54,000 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  22. 2026-01-25
    price $55,000 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

  23. 2025-12-31
    listed $56,900 Active 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    Welcome to Palm Drive Mobile Home Park, a 55+ Community with the ideal location! Enjoy quiet streets, a centrally located clubhouse, and walking distance to Historic Downtown Wickenburg with its quaint shops, public park with community pool and restaurants. Ideal for year-round living or a winter get-a-way, this home is affordable and move-in ready. Inside the home, you'll enjoy modern vinyl plank flooring, vaulted ceilings, open floorplan, bay windows, convenient stackable washer/dryer and tons of built-in cabinets for storage. A cozy front porch AND screened-in porch are perfect for sunset views or a secure home for your furry friends. Bonus features include easy access ramp, detached storage shed, expansive 2 car covered carport and patio. Owner Carry Optional!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,669
− Mortgage interest
−$2,577
− Property taxes
−$690
− Insurance
−$5,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$1,338
Taxable income
$4,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$972
After-tax cash flow
$3,264/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is move-in ready with good condition and a good location in Palm Drive Mobile Home Park. It has modern vinyl plank flooring, an open floorplan, and a cozy front porch and screened-in porch. The exterior could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both update exterior landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both update exterior landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wickenburg Unified District (4236)
NCES district ID
0409190
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,369
Composite
29.27/100
National rank
#6560
State rank
#92 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Wickenburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wickenburg, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
10,298
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
10,298
Household income
$68,591
Rent vs Own
17.9% rent · 82.1% own
Severe rent burden
251.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.26%
Current HPI
314.3169
Rent YoY
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $47,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $48,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $49,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $53,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $54,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-25 Price Changed $55,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $56,900 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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