2907 Forest Manor Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled at 2907 Forest Manor AVE, INDIANAPOLIS, IN, this single-family residence presents an inviting home, ready to move in. This property includes a covered front porch and a lot area of 6403 square feet, offering a decent sized back yard with alley access, plenty of room for a future garage. With 768 square feet of living area, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, this residence offers a wonderful opportunity to establish a comfortable and stylish home at an affordable price. Easy access to I-70 and Emerson. Home has new flooring, cabinets, and more, so come take a look.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Alley access
- Easy access to i-70
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot under 1/4 acre (approx. 0.15 acre)
Exterior
- Parking: Guest street parking; Detached (no garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Cable available; Solid waste service available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Curbs and sidewalks; Mature trees; No fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater (no listed kitchen appliances)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (12 x 11 and 10 x 12)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (electric and natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Painted woodwork; Smoke alarm
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Utility room (6 x 9)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $75k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.31%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,816
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2907 Forest Manor Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 1mo | $73,000 | $95 | 99 |
| 3109 Forest Manor Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-2%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $153 | 77 |
| 2919 N Denny St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+6%) | 6mo | $52,500 | $64 | 76 |
| 2820 N Gladstone Ave | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 806 (+5%) | 9mo | $39,900 | $50 | 73 |
| 3924 E 30th St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+9%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 3355 Wallace Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 2mo | $59,500 | $77 | 65 |
| 2839 N Lasalle St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (0%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $72 | 63 |
| 3114 Adams St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-6%) | 3mo | $63,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 4615 E 30th St | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 660 (-14%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $68 | 52 |
| 3015 Adams St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 819 (+7%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $189 | 51 |
| 4715 Munter Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+12%) | 6mo | $46,000 | $53 | 49 |
| 2818 N Lasalle St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 875 (+14%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $223 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $13,448
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $37,803
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2864 Forest Manor Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2862 N Chester Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,520 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3149 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4615 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,100 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2932 Arthington Blvd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3142 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2950 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2722 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3315 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,300 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3332 Wallace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2422 Adams St Unit 2 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2410 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2930 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 536 | $599 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4726 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $800 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2449 Wheeler St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3011 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3461 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $720 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2194 N Riley Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,749 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2030 N Colorado Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,150 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2821 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $825 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $845 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1951 N Bosart Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2931 N Tacoma Ave Unit 31 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2045 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,145 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2530 N Temple Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $750 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5119 E 21st St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,199 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1057 | $1,288 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-21price $75,000
-
2026-04-14price $95,000
-
2026-02-24price $99,900
-
2025-12-23price $109,500
-
2025-10-24price $117,500
-
2025-09-23price $129,900
-
2025-08-20$137,500 Active
-
2022-10-19historical
-
2022-05-19$139,900 Active
-
2007-03-30historical
-
2006-11-21$18,500
-
2004-09-10$15,950
-
2002-11-18historical
-
2002-04-17$19,900
-
2001-06-29soldstatus $16,500
-
2001-01-17$17,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,381
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,263/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,360
- Household income
- $38,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2340.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.57%
- Current HPI
- 395.7071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+319.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $75,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $95,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $99,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $109,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $117,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $129,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-20 Listed $137,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-19 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-19 Listed $139,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-30 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-21 Listed $18,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-10 Listed $15,950 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-11-18 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-17 Listed $19,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-29 Sold (MLS) $16,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-01-17 Listed $17,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…