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2907 Forest Manor Ave
C+ Composite 61.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

2907 Forest Manor Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN 46218
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily · 257 Days on market
Built 1925 6,403 sqft lot Est $67k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled at 2907 Forest Manor AVE, INDIANAPOLIS, IN, this single-family residence presents an inviting home, ready to move in. This property includes a covered front porch and a lot area of 6403 square feet, offering a decent sized back yard with alley access, plenty of room for a future garage. With 768 square feet of living area, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, this residence offers a wonderful opportunity to establish a comfortable and stylish home at an affordable price. Easy access to I-70 and Emerson. Home has new flooring, cabinets, and more, so come take a look.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Alley access
  • Easy access to i-70

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHDECENT SIZED BACK YARDALLEY ACCESSNEW FLOORINGNEW CABINETSEASY ACCESS TO I-70

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot under 1/4 acre (approx. 0.15 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Guest street parking; Detached (no garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; Cable available; Solid waste service available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Curbs and sidewalks; Mature trees; No fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater (no listed kitchen appliances)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (12 x 11 and 10 x 12)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (electric and natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Painted woodwork; Smoke alarm
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Utility room (6 x 9)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 257 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $62k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $75k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 257 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
13.38%
Cash-on-cash
25.31%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,816
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2907 Forest Manor Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 1mo $73,000 $95 99
3109 Forest Manor Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 750 (-2%) 8mo $115,000 $153 77
2919 N Denny St 0.17mi 2/1.0 816 (+6%) 6mo $52,500 $64 76
2820 N Gladstone Ave 0.13mi 1/1.0 (-1) 806 (+5%) 9mo $39,900 $50 73
3924 E 30th St 0.19mi 2/1.0 836 (+9%) 10mo $85,000 $102 68
3355 Wallace Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 2mo $59,500 $77 65
2839 N Lasalle St 0.70mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 5mo $55,000 $72 63
3114 Adams St 0.72mi 2/1.0 725 (-6%) 3mo $63,000 $87 55
4615 E 30th St 0.33mi 1/1.0 (-1) 660 (-14%) 6mo $45,000 $68 52
3015 Adams St 0.65mi 2/1.0 819 (+7%) 9mo $155,000 $189 51
4715 Munter Ln 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+12%) 6mo $46,000 $53 49
2818 N Lasalle St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 875 (+14%) 2mo $195,000 $223 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$13,448
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$37,803
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46218

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2864 Forest Manor Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,500 $1.47 24d 1 0.03mi
2862 N Chester Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,520 $1.41 44d 1 0.09mi
3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,350 $1.26 8d 1 0.18mi
3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,350 $1.26 4d 1 0.18mi
3149 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1036 $1,350 $1.30 8d 1 0.33mi
4615 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 660 $1,100 $1.67 24d 1 0.35mi
2932 Arthington Blvd Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 24d 1 0.35mi
3142 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 44d 1 0.39mi
2950 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 888 $1,375 $1.55 14d 1 0.45mi
2722 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 650 $795 $1.22 44d 1 0.54mi
3315 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 780 $1,300 $1.67 15d 1 0.59mi
2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 978 $1,150 $1.18 44d 1 0.61mi
3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 744 $1,250 $1.68 24d 1 0.66mi
2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,095 $1.25 18d 1 0.70mi
3332 Wallace Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,600 $1.71 24d 1 0.71mi
2422 Adams St Unit 2 Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 44d 1 0.75mi
2410 Adams St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 11d 1 0.76mi
2930 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 536 $599 $1.12 24d 1 0.76mi
4726 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 643 $800 $1.24 24d 1 0.79mi
3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $1,195 $1.66 16d 1 0.82mi
2449 Wheeler St Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 24d 1 0.89mi
3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 24d 1 0.93mi
3011 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 640 $800 $1.25 44d 1 0.93mi
3461 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 900 $720 $0.80 44d 1 0.94mi
3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 768 $1,300 $1.69 44d 1 0.95mi
2194 N Riley Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,749 $1.59 44d 1 0.95mi
2030 N Colorado Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 728 $1,150 $1.58 24d 1 0.96mi
3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 44d 1 1.04mi
2821 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 640 $825 $1.29 44d 1 1.05mi
3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 890 $1,099 $1.23 20d 1 1.06mi
3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 729 $845 $1.16 4d 1 1.07mi
1951 N Bosart Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 728 $1,000 $1.37 4d 1 1.11mi
3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 24d 1 1.16mi
2931 N Tacoma Ave Unit 31 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 8d 1 1.17mi
2045 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 912 $1,145 $1.26 24d 1 1.18mi
2530 N Temple Ave Indianapolis, IN 1.0 1.0 720 $750 $1.04 20d 1 1.18mi
3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,500 $1.48 22d 1 1.22mi
5119 E 21st St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 816 $1,199 $1.47 44d 1 1.23mi
3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN 4.0 1.0–2.5 1057 $1,288 $1.22 4d 1 1.28mi
3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 4d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    price $75,000
  3. 2026-04-14
    price $95,000
  4. 2026-02-24
    price $99,900
  5. 2025-12-23
    price $109,500
  6. 2025-10-24
    price $117,500
  7. 2025-09-23
    price $129,900
  8. 2025-08-20
    listed $137,500 Active
  9. 2022-10-19
    historical
  10. 2022-05-19
    listed $139,900 Active
  11. 2007-03-30
    historical
  12. 2006-11-21
    listed $18,500
  13. 2004-09-10
    listed $15,950
  14. 2002-11-18
    historical
  15. 2002-04-17
    listed $19,900
  16. 2001-06-29
    soldstatus $16,500
  17. 2001-01-17
    listed $17,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,052
After-tax cash flow
$4,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indianapolis Public Schools
NCES district ID
1804770
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,034
Composite
13.69/100
National rank
#9499
State rank
#286 of 301 in IN

Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Indianapolis city (balance), IN
County
Marion County · 998,460 people
City population
881,119
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
29,360
Household income
$38,063
Rent vs Own
47.2% rent · 52.8% own
Severe rent burden
2340.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,572 people
By 2030
1,065,727 · +3.9%
By 2040
1,141,577 · +11.3%
By 2050
1,208,920 · +17.9%
By 2075
1,367,288 · +33.3%
By 2100
1,438,201 · +40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.57%
Current HPI
395.7071
Rent YoY
▲ 0.81%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+319.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $75,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $95,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $99,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $109,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $117,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $129,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-20 Listed $137,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-19 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-19 Listed $139,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-30 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-21 Listed $18,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-10 Listed $15,950 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-11-18 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-04-17 Listed $19,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-06-29 Sold (MLS) $16,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-01-17 Listed $17,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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