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5201 Albert Dr
C+ Composite 64.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

5201 Albert Dr · Forest Park, GA 30297
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1988 $144/sqft · 11% below area Est $147k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

REDUCED!!! THIS IS AN INVESTOR SPECIAL!!! BRING YOUR VISION AND IDEAS FOR THIS 3 BEDROOM/1 BATHROOM RANCH ON A CORNER LOT, YOU CAN ADD ON, TEAR DOWN OR REBUILD, PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITIES!! MINUTES FROM THE AIRPORT AND I-285. AS IS, PROBATE SALE!!

Key facts

  • Corner lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1988

Tags

CORNER LOTMINUTES FROM THE AIRPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number available; Located in LINDA HEIGHTS subdivision
  • Financial info: Listing offered as-is; estate-owned; Cash offers
  • HOA & community: No HOA; Community features include park and proximity to public transportation

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad; 2 parking spaces (total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House; One level; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 1988; Wood siding; Other construction materials; Composition roof; No basement
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ceiling fans; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.2% in Forest Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#209 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fountain Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 548 students, 90% FRL); Babb Middle School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #249 of 470 statewide, top 55%, 888 students, 90% FRL); Forest Park High School (math 8% / reading 16%, grade F, #344 of 424 statewide, top 81%, 1,765 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $130k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.61%
Cash-on-cash
11.85%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,777
List price
$130,000
Delta
-11.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
780 South Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 896 (-0%) 2mo $116,000 $129 72
5085 Lake Dr 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-8%) 0mo $162,000 $195 67
5168 Ellen St 0.27mi 3/1.0 837 (-7%) 13mo $114,000 $136 64
5147 Ellen St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 831 (-8%) 15mo $150,000 $181 57
804 Linda Way 0.45mi 3/1.0 999 (+11%) 5mo $121,900 $122 56
718 South Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 801 (-11%) 5mo $100,000 $125 56
5039 East St 0.68mi 3/1.0 950 (+6%) 12mo $138,000 $145 49
5136 Jones Rd 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 772 (-14%) 12mo $100,000 $130 43
5012 East St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 999 (+11%) 4mo $80,000 $80 39
925 South Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-11%) 10mo $138,000 $173 36
921 Dearing St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-12%) 9mo $95,000 $120 36
927 Dearing St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-12%) 15mo $80,000 $101 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,528
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$10,446
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30297

Home prices YoY
-29.5%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,473 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $820/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,018
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
521 Granade Dr Forest Park, GA 3.0 2.0 1024 $2,400 $2.34 5d 1 0.23mi
514 Bridge Ave Apt D6 Forest Park, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,203 $1.50 15d 4 0.42mi
676 Bridge Ave Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 919 $1,206 $1.31 24d 1 0.43mi
774 South Ave Forest Park, GA 3.0 2.0 1041 $1,825 $1.75 4d 1 0.45mi
4880 Hale Rd Unit B Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $895 $0.90 24d 1 0.63mi
696 Hill St Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,125 $1.61 4d 1 0.73mi
5161 Phillips Dr Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 992 $1,400 $1.41 24d 1 0.79mi
4855 College St Unit 11 Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,125 $1.50 24d 1 0.88mi
4855 College St Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,175 $1.57 24d 1 0.88mi
5598 Ash St Forest Park, GA 3.0 1.0 976 $1,500 $1.54 24d 1 0.91mi
4711 Waldrop Dr Unit W-L05 Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 43d 1 0.96mi
417 Barton Dr Forest Park, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 789 $995 $1.26 4d 3 1.01mi
5632 Cypress Dr Forest Park, GA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,451 $1.40 12d 1 1.04mi
4663 Waldrop Dr Forest Park, GA 2.0 2.0 925 $1,095 $1.18 20d 1 1.04mi
5738 Old Dixie Hwy Forest Park, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 996 $1,150 $1.15 43d 24 1.05mi
969 Forest Ave Forest Park, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 875 $1,300 $1.49 24d 1 1.07mi
415 Sylvia Dr Forest Park, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 897 $1,458 $1.62 2d 13 1.14mi
640 Oakdale Dr Forest Park, GA 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,450 $1.40 3d 1 1.18mi
828 Catherine St Forest Park, GA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,440 $1.38 43d 1 1.21mi
4560 Burks Rd Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 952 $1,350 $1.42 43d 1 1.21mi
4735 Courtney Dr Forest Park, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,150 $1.44 16d 5 1.22mi
1216 Sanders Way Morrow, GA 3.0 1.5 1110 $1,550 $1.40 24d 1 1.30mi
645 Melrose Dr Forest Park, GA 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,575 $1.40 43d 1 1.33mi
228 Morrow Rd Forest Park, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1125 $1,579 $1.40 1d 34 1.38mi
506 Shady Ln Forest Park, GA 3.0 1.5 990 $1,445 $1.46 24d 1 1.45mi
573 Evergreen Ter Unit 2 Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 44d 1 1.48mi
573 Evergreen Ter Unit 3 Forest Park, GA 2.0 1.0 856 $1,150 $1.34 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-05-19
    price $130,000 245-char remark
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $135,900 New 245-char remark
  16. 1990-04-05
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$820 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 45.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,675
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$820
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,414
− Management
−$1,414
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$2,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$555
After-tax cash flow
$3,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clayton County
NCES district ID
1301230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,266
Composite
13.41/100
National rank
#9527
State rank
#155 of 174 in GA

Livability — Forest Park

Score
65/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#12698

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forest Park, GA
County
Clayton County · 230,153 people
City population
29,210
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
29,210
Household income
$45,124
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
1359.0

Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
310,777 people
By 2030
329,762 · +6.1%
By 2040
368,052 · +18.4%
By 2050
401,196 · +29.1%
By 2075
472,488 · +52.0%
By 2100
500,446 · +61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 26% Vietnamese 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clayton

2024 margin
Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.04%
Current HPI
229.5016
Rent YoY
▼ -0.96%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $135,900 GAMLS
  • 1990-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $820 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…