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2494 Delta Pl #71
C+ Composite 62.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

2494 Delta Pl #71 · Anderson, CA 96002
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1977 Est $62k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 1,152 sq. ft. mobile home, perfectly situated in a peaceful, family-friendly park just a short stroll from the river. Enjoy the best of both comfort and location, with nature just a short walk away. This inviting home features a spacious layout designed for easy living, along with an outdoor deck--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee in the fresh air. The property is fully enclosed with a well-kept fence, offering added privacy and a safe space for kids or pets to play. Located in a quiet, welcoming community, this home combines tranquility with convenience, making it perfect for families, retirees, or anyone looking to enjoy a serene li

Key facts

  • Well-kept fence
  • Outdoor deck
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

OUTDOOR DECKWELL-KEPT FENCESHORT STROLL FROM RIVER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Mobile home
  • Construction: Metal siding; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Metal skirting; Level topography; Asphalt road access; Located in Lazy Landing mobile home park

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Laminate flooring; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 3.5% in Anderson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#277 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Pacheco Union Elementary (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #264 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.60%
Cap rate
22.61%
Cash-on-cash
58.28%
DSCR
3.59
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,208
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6950 Riverland Dr #15 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 22mo $20,000 $17 50
6950 Riverland Dr #20 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 14mo $68,000 $54 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$23,689
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$61,664
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96002

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
286
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,944 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$592

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,195
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $644 -5% $618 +0% $592 +5% $566 +10% $540
Rent -10% $438 -5% $515 +0% $592 +5% $669 +10% $746
Rate -1.0pp $630 -0.5pp $611 base $592 +0.5pp $573 +1.0pp $553

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6656 Churn Creek Rd Unit M-6656 Redding, CA 2.0 2.0 966 $1,625 $1.68 14d 1 0.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,900 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 64 DOM
  18. 2026-03-27
    listed $74,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 35 unhealthy d/yr today · 42 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,333
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$5,493
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,867
− Management
−$1,867
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$6,609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,586
After-tax cash flow
$5,517/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pacheco Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0629280
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$59,905
Composite
31.26/100
National rank
#6025
State rank
#264 of 517 in CA

Livability — Anderson

Score
68/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#9315

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime F Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Shasta County · 147,641 people
City population
24,768
Metro
Redding, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,783
Household income
$73,222
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1026.0

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.70%
Current HPI
319.713
Rent YoY
▲ 1.88%
Metro
Redding, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $74,900 SAOR

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2020): $26 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…