2494 Delta Pl #71 · Anderson, CA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 35 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 42 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming 1,152 sq. ft. mobile home, perfectly situated in a peaceful, family-friendly park just a short stroll from the river. Enjoy the best of both comfort and location, with nature just a short walk away. This inviting home features a spacious layout designed for easy living, along with an outdoor deck--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying your morning coffee in the fresh air. The property is fully enclosed with a well-kept fence, offering added privacy and a safe space for kids or pets to play. Located in a quiet, welcoming community, this home combines tranquility with convenience, making it perfect for families, retirees, or anyone looking to enjoy a serene li
Key facts
- Well-kept fence
- Outdoor deck
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 2 parking spaces
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Metal siding; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Metal skirting; Level topography; Asphalt road access; Located in Lazy Landing mobile home park
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Laminate flooring; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 3.5% in Anderson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#277 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Pacheco Union Elementary (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #264 of 517 in CA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.28%
- DSCR
- 3.59
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,208
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6950 Riverland Dr #15 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (0%) | 22mo | $20,000 | $17 | 50 |
| 6950 Riverland Dr #20 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 14mo | $68,000 | $54 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $23,689
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 34.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $61,664
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96002
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 286
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,944 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $644 | -5% $618 | +0% $592 | +5% $566 | +10% $540 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $438 | -5% $515 | +0% $592 | +5% $669 | +10% $746 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $630 | -0.5pp $611 | base $592 | +0.5pp $573 | +1.0pp $553 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6656 Churn Creek Rd Unit M-6656 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,625 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-27$74,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 35 unhealthy d/yr today · 42 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$5,493
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,867
- − Management
- −$1,867
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $6,609
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,586
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pacheco Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0629280
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,905
- Composite
- 31.26/100
- National rank
- #6025
- State rank
- #264 of 517 in CA
Livability — Anderson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #277
- US rank
- #9315
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Shasta County · 147,641 people
- City population
- 24,768
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,783
- Household income
- $73,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1026.0
Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,231 people
- By 2030
- 176,953 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 169,982 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 162,547 · -9.3%
- By 2075
- 145,649 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 123,025 · -31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shasta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.70%
- Current HPI
- 319.713
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.88%
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $74,900 SAOR
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2020): $26 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…