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6 Juniper Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 89.23
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$59,900

6 Juniper Ln · Duluth, MN 55810
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1992 Good condition $57/sqft · 34% below area Est $91k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 BR, 1 bath Marshfield home with sunken LR. Kitchen/Dining area with island. Bathroom has 2 sinks & laundry area. Shed. Lot rent is $700/month & includes lawn mowing. Home is on a slab. Fresh paint & flooring. Vinyl siding & windows. Garbage is $20/mo. Lot rent is $750/mo and includes lawn mowing. Water/Sewer is metered and paid to Zenith Terrace: $24/mo; Electric: $124/mo average

Key facts

  • Shed
  • Bathroom has 2 sinks
  • Laundry area

Tags

KITCHEN DINING AREAISLANDBATHROOM HAS 2 SINKSLAUNDRY AREASHEDHOME IS ON A SLAB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease of $700

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; One story; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Built on slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Yard shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Vaulted ceilings; Primary bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $59,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$90,696) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 4.9% in Duluth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#36 in MN, #1,060 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Proctor Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #177 of 301 in MN (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
15.13%
Cash-on-cash
31.57%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$90,696
List price
$59,900
Delta
-33.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Plumtree Cir 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (+2%) 8mo $79,900 $75 68
132 1st St 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,066 (+1%) 12mo $145,000 $136 60
9123 Brook St 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,091 (+3%) 7mo $220,000 $202 57
110 Grove St 0.50mi 2/2.0 1,156 (+10%) 5mo $271,000 $234 53
21 Oak St 0.48mi 2/1.0 924 (-12%) 6mo $170,000 $184 52
145 2nd St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (0%) 19mo $217,900 $206 47
121 Oak St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 934 (-12%) 3mo $220,000 $236 46
9114 Vinland St 0.63mi 2/1.5 1,116 (+6%) 18mo $269,900 $242 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
4.62×
Total profit
$60,746
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
10.35×
Total profit
$156,817
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55810

Home prices YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $483 -5% $462 +0% $441 +5% $421 +10% $400
Rent -10% $356 -5% $399 +0% $441 +5% $484 +10% $527
Rate -1.0pp $471 -0.5pp $457 base $441 +0.5pp $426 +1.0pp $410

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 15 DOM
  18. 2026-05-13
    listed $59,900 Active 362-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,991
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,617
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,108
After-tax cash flow
$4,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It has a good foundation and structure, and the interior walls and flooring are in good condition. The kitchen and bathroom need major repairs, and the landscaping could be improved.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen appliances — Older and outdated
  • Major bathroom vanity — Dated and worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and attracts buyers
  • Resale New bathroom vanity — Updates the bathroom and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting interior walls — Freshens the interior and enhances curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen appliances · Older and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom vanity · Dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and attracts buyers
  • Resale New bathroom vanity — Updates the bathroom and enhances curb appeal
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting interior walls — Freshens the interior and enhances curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Proctor Public School District
NCES district ID
2730090
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$61,151
Composite
38.84/100
National rank
#4106
State rank
#177 of 301 in MN

Livability — Duluth

Score
82/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#1060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Duluth, MN
City population
71,097
Population (ZIP)
8,305

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 53.59%
Current HPI
515.02
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $59,900 LSAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…