1903 E 23rd Ave · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.6/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity in East Tampa! Welcome to 1903 E 23rd Ave, a solid income-producing property with a tenant in place making it an excellent opportunity for those seeking immediate cash flow. This spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features an open-concept layout with a large living room and dining area, creating a comfortable and functional living space. The primary bedroom offers a convenient Jack-and-Jill bathroom configuration, while the open kitchen provides ample cabinet space and includes a stove and refrigerator. An interior laundry area adds everyday convenience. Major improvements include a roof replaced in 2020 and A/C installed in 2017, helping reduce near-term maintenance con
Key facts
- Ample cabinet space
- A c installed
- Open concept layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; RS-50 zoning
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot (approx. 83 x 95)
- Exterior features: Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Corner lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Living room and dining room combo; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-351 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (21.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (28.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Potter Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 472 students, 89% FRL); Mclane Middle School (math 20% / reading 20%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 817 students, 74% FRL); Middleton High School (math 23% / reading 51%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,511 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 190 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,040/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $285k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.28%
- DSCR
- 0.76
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $128,024
- Equity at exit
- $256,751
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.83×
- Total profit
- $385,753
- Equity at exit
- $553,692
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33605
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,194/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-190 | -5% $-271 | +0% $-351 | +5% $-432 | +10% $-513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-512 | -5% $-432 | +0% $-351 | +5% $-271 | +10% $-190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-208 | -0.5pp $-279 | base $-351 | +0.5pp $-425 | +1.0pp $-500 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1807 E 20th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $2,900 | $2.56 | 26d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1308 | $2,100 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1308 | $2,100 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2909 N 17th St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,995 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,875 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,875 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3021 Sanchez St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,195 | $1.69 | 26d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2002 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $2,400 | $2.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2205 Chipco St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 26d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1607 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $2,600 | $2.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2810 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $2,550 | $2.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1605 E 29th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,800 | $2.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2907 N 15th St Unit D Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,850 | $2.08 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2214 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,295 | $1.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2006 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,495 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1716 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2104 E Columbus Dr Unit 301 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $2,050 | $1.89 | 26d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2104 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 26d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,650 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2407 E 17th Ave Unit B Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,650 | $2.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2407 E 17th Ave Apt A Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 12d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2407 E 17th Ave Apt A Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,650 | $2.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,650 | $2.04 | 26d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2703 N 24th St Unit 1 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1164 | $2,295 | $1.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2703 N 24th St Unit 1 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1164 | $2,295 | $1.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1302 E 21st Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,408 | $1.76 | 1d | 8 | 0.47mi |
| 1515 E 31st Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3411 N 13th St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,895 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2308 E 15th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,895 | $2.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1212 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,490 | $1.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2704 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,595 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2506 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,950 | $2.45 | 19d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1211 E 18th Ave Unit 2 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,700 | $2.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1221 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,499 | $1.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1105 E 28th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,525 | $2.05 | 6d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1305 E Louise Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,700 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $285,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$285,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,194 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,194 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,194
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,958
- − Management
- −$1,958
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$9,312
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,980/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,030
- Household income
- $36,975
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1374.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.43%
- Current HPI
- 494.1871
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.58%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+359.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-27 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,194 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…