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1903 E 23rd Ave
D Composite 42.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$285,000

1903 E 23rd Ave · Tampa, FL 33605
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1993 7,968 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Opportunity in East Tampa! Welcome to 1903 E 23rd Ave, a solid income-producing property with a tenant in place making it an excellent opportunity for those seeking immediate cash flow. This spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features an open-concept layout with a large living room and dining area, creating a comfortable and functional living space. The primary bedroom offers a convenient Jack-and-Jill bathroom configuration, while the open kitchen provides ample cabinet space and includes a stove and refrigerator. An interior laundry area adds everyday convenience. Major improvements include a roof replaced in 2020 and A/C installed in 2017, helping reduce near-term maintenance con

Key facts

  • Ample cabinet space
  • A c installed
  • Open concept layout

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTJACK AND JILL BATHROOMAMPLE CABINET SPACEINTERIOR LAUNDRY AREAROOF REPLACEDA C INSTALLED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; RS-50 zoning
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot (approx. 83 x 95)
  • Exterior features: Private mailbox; Sidewalk; Corner lot; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Living room and dining room combo; Six total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-351 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (21.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (28.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Potter Elementary School (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 472 students, 89% FRL); Mclane Middle School (math 20% / reading 20%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 817 students, 74% FRL); Middleton High School (math 23% / reading 51%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,511 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 190 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,040/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $285k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,999 (28.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.28%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$128,024
Equity at exit
$256,751
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$385,753
Equity at exit
$553,692

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33605

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,040 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$350 /mo · $4,194/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$-351

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,485
Max offer price $222,950
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-190 -5% $-271 +0% $-351 +5% $-432 +10% $-513
Rent -10% $-512 -5% $-432 +0% $-351 +5% $-271 +10% $-190
Rate -1.0pp $-208 -0.5pp $-279 base $-351 +0.5pp $-425 +1.0pp $-500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1807 E 20th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1131 $2,900 $2.56 26d 1 0.17mi
2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 3.0 1308 $2,100 $1.61 6d 1 0.17mi
2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 3.0 1308 $2,100 $1.61 5d 1 0.17mi
2909 N 17th St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,350 $1.80 23d 1 0.19mi
3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 1380 $1,995 $1.45 23d 1 0.24mi
3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 1380 $1,875 $1.36 1d 1 0.24mi
3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 1380 $1,875 $1.36 4d 1 0.24mi
3021 Sanchez St Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,195 $1.69 26d 1 0.25mi
3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 4d 1 0.26mi
3005 Sanchez St Unit 5 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 1d 1 0.26mi
2002 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL 4.0 2.0 1084 $2,400 $2.21 6d 1 0.28mi
2205 Chipco St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 26d 1 0.32mi
1607 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 869 $2,600 $2.99 14d 1 0.34mi
2810 N 16th St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1066 $2,550 $2.39 14d 1 0.34mi
1605 E 29th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 870 $1,800 $2.07 22d 1 0.35mi
2907 N 15th St Unit D Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 888 $1,850 $2.08 6d 1 0.35mi
2214 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1188 $2,295 $1.93 6d 1 0.36mi
2006 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 896 $1,495 $1.67 3d 1 0.36mi
1716 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 924 $1,800 $1.95 26d 1 0.36mi
2104 E Columbus Dr Unit 301 Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1083 $2,050 $1.89 26d 1 0.38mi
2104 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1231 $1,995 $1.62 26d 1 0.38mi
2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 810 $1,650 $2.04 23d 1 0.46mi
2407 E 17th Ave Unit B Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 810 $1,650 $2.04 19d 1 0.46mi
2407 E 17th Ave Apt A Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 810 $1,595 $1.97 12d 1 0.46mi
2407 E 17th Ave Apt A Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 810 $1,650 $2.04 16d 1 0.46mi
2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 810 $1,595 $1.97 1d 1 0.46mi
2407 E 17th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 810 $1,650 $2.04 26d 1 0.46mi
2703 N 24th St Unit 1 Tampa, FL 3.0 3.0 1164 $2,295 $1.97 1d 1 0.46mi
2703 N 24th St Unit 1 Tampa, FL 3.0 3.0 1164 $2,295 $1.97 15d 1 0.46mi
1302 E 21st Ave Tampa, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,408 $1.76 1d 8 0.47mi
1515 E 31st Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 914 $1,500 $1.64 6d 1 0.50mi
3411 N 13th St Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 978 $1,895 $1.94 26d 1 0.50mi
2308 E 15th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,895 $2.02 16d 1 0.50mi
1212 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,490 $1.44 21d 1 0.51mi
2704 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 858 $1,595 $1.86 23d 1 0.53mi
2506 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 796 $1,950 $2.45 19d 1 0.53mi
1211 E 18th Ave Unit 2 Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 725 $1,700 $2.34 0d 1 0.56mi
1221 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 26d 1 0.59mi
1105 E 28th Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 1.0 744 $1,525 $2.05 6d 1 0.64mi
1305 E Louise Ave Tampa, FL 3.0 2.0 1384 $2,700 $1.95 26d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $285,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    listed $285,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,194 · $350/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,194 · $350/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,480
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$4,194
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,958
− Management
−$1,958
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$9,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,235
After-tax cash flow
$-1,980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

Score
79/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tampa, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
523,346
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,030
Household income
$36,975
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1374.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.43%
Current HPI
494.1871
Rent YoY
▲ 0.58%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+359.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-19 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-27 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,194 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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