2682 S Garden Dr S #107 · Palm Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1st floor unit, 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom, screened patio and tile flooring throughout. Many Recreational Activities. Includes 2 pools, Clubhouse, Library and Sauna. Close to shopping area and beaches. This is a 55+ community.
Key facts
- Screened patio
- Clubhouse
- Sauna
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $331 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#297 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Meadow Park Elementary School (math 64% / reading 73%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 809 students, 65% FRL); Forest Hill Community High School (math 20% / reading 41%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 2,407 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.57%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $9,488
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $18,791
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33461
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,620 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,276/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$587
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $331
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2566 Garden Dr S Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,395 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3260 Hi St Unit B Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,700 | $4.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3300 Boutwell Rd Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $1,870 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3017 Buckley Ave Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 965 Manor Dr Palm Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,722 | $2.51 | 1d | 5 | 0.65mi |
| 2571 Lake Worth Rd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,378 | $1.84 | 1d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 1765 16th Ct N Lake Worth Beach, FL | — | 1.0 | 450 | $1,700 | $3.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1755 Forest Hill Blvd Lake Clarke Shores, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,595 | $2.41 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 246 Cypress Ln Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 24d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 2085 S Congress Ave Palm Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $2,055 | $2.13 | 1d | 14 | 1.05mi |
| 240 Alemeda Dr Palm Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,650 | $2.00 | 24d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 2220 Lake Worth Rd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,779 | $2.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 200 Bonnie Blvd #132 Palm Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $1,500 | $2.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3654 Coconut Rd Palm Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 300 Bonnie Blvd #144 Palm Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,350 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3901 Lakewood Rd Unit A Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,000 | $2.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 436 Fontana Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,450 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 436 Fontana Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,375 | $2.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3874 7th Ave N Unit 3878 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,600 | $3.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 123 Erie St Apt 10 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,325 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1201 N E St Unit 2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 136 Akron St Apt B2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 599 | $2,175 | $3.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 136 Akron St Unit A1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 599 | $2,075 | $3.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3890 Lakewood Rd #1 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 433 | $1,500 | $3.46 | 10d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3901 Gulfstream Rd Unit 2 B Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,700 | $3.78 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3263 Kirk Rd #2 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $1,650 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3263 Kirk Rd #2 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $1,650 | $2.67 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $587 · $7,044/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-23status Pending
-
2026-04-16$45,000 Active
-
2025-12-18status Pending
-
2025-12-17status Active
-
2025-12-03status Pending
-
2025-12-03historical
-
2025-12-02status Active
-
2025-12-01status Pending
-
2025-09-21$42,000 Active
-
2025-04-21historical
-
2025-01-04price $60,000
-
2024-11-23price $65,000
-
2024-10-20$70,000 Active
-
2016-06-17soldstatus $38,500
-
2016-06-13soldstatus $38,500 Closed
-
2016-05-18historical Contingent
-
2016-05-12$39,000 Active
-
1995-04-03soldstatus $28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,276 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,276 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,276
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,555
- − Management
- −$1,555
- − HOA
- −$7,044
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $3,951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$948
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Springs
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #5045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,443
- Household income
- $61,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2663.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 26% White 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 16% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.03%
- Current HPI
- 493.0041
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.47%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+57.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $45,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-18 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-17 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-03 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-02 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-01 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-21 Listed $42,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-04-21 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-01-04 Price Changed $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-11-23 Price Changed $65,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-10-20 Listed $70,000 Beaches MLS
- 2016-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $38,500 Public Records
- 2016-06-13 Sold (MLS) $38,500 Beaches MLS
- 2016-05-18 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2016-05-12 Listed $39,000 Beaches MLS
- 1995-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,276 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…