1475 Green Acres Rd #172 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, Location, Location...Make an appointment to see this 840 sq ft, 2 bedroom, 1 bath single wide home in Falcon Wood 55+ Village. The home is equipped with forced air heating and cooling, new carpeting throughout, new kitchen and bathroom linoleum flooring, remodeled bathroom, an upgraded kitchen including new cabinetry, range hood and dishwasher. Unit 172 sits on one of the large lots in the Village with plenty of room for raised garden beds. Covered off street parking, and a large sturdy storage shed. Many of the appliances are new and under warranty. Falcon Wood Village’s amenities are very convenient, and well maintained. There is an outdoor swimming pool, large club room with a fully equipped kitchen for your events, pool table, unmanned post office and small library with convenient parking. Also, there is an on-site car wash at the south eastern portion of the Village. The property managers are in their office Monday thru Sunday and are a very helpful management staff. Lastly, Falcon Wood Village is a few blocks away from Walmart, Home Depot, Starbucks, Café Yum, Jersey Mikes, Market of Choice shopping center, and a great bird store, Wild Birds Unlimited. Also a short drive to Entennman’s thrift bakery, Grocery Outlet, Fred Meyer shopping center, Albertsons shopping center, WinCo, Pet Smart, and Costco with some of the best gas prices in town if you are a member. Give us a call for a tour of this one owner mobile home in space 172, in the quiet Falcon Wood Village.
Key facts
- New carpeting
- Remodeled bathroom
- Forced air heating
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.2% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $413 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.16%
- DSCR
- 4.48
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $29,604
- List price
- $59,700
- Delta
- 101.66%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #168 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (-8%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $36 | 83 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #66 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-5%) | 7mo | $10,000 | $13 | 83 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #10 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-5%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $81 | 82 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #52 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+7%) | 12mo | $26,000 | $29 | 79 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #146 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-9%) | 11mo | $32,000 | $42 | 77 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #141 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 1mo | $44,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #108 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 738 (-12%) | 8mo | $52,500 | $71 | 69 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #175 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (+12%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $43 | 69 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #80 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+8%) | 22mo | $57,000 | $63 | 67 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #39 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+11%) | 19mo | $34,500 | $37 | 66 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #19 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 13mo | $62,000 | $65 | 62 |
| 1475 Green Acres Rd #120 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 738 (-12%) | 21mo | $52,000 | $70 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.43×
- Total profit
- $57,377
- Equity at exit
- $8,901
- IRR
- 78.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.49×
- Total profit
- $141,921
- Equity at exit
- $5,162
Cash invested: $16,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97408
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$313
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $896/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $1,022
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,064 | -5% $1,043 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $1,002 | +10% $981 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $872 | -5% $947 | +0% $1,022 | +5% $1,097 | +10% $1,172 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,052 | -0.5pp $1,037 | base $1,022 | +0.5pp $1,007 | +1.0pp $991 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,925
- Closing costs
- $1,791
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 Norkenzie Rd Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,445 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3328 Lake Glenn Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1877 Brewer Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1102 | $1,649 | $1.50 | 14d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 3950 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $1,564 | $2.46 | 14d | 5 | 0.69mi |
| 1440 John Day Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1050 | $2,349 | $2.24 | 14d | 38 | 0.75mi |
| 2356 Crescent Ave Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3610 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $2,299 | $2.87 | 14d | 15 | 0.76mi |
| 3570 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,999 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1844 Happy Ln Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,692 | $1.63 | 14d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 1367 Umpqua Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,675 | $3.15 | 14d | 46 | 0.97mi |
| 2948 Matt Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2459 Lakeview Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,790 | $1.85 | 14d | 24 | 1.05mi |
| 1150 Darlene Ln Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 924 | $2,285 | $2.47 | 14d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 2847 Tennyson Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $2,178 | $2.41 | 14d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 1800 Cal Young Rd Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,830 | $2.06 | 14d | 9 | 1.23mi |
| 1740 Adkins St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 14d | 8 | 1.41mi |
| 2555 Willakenzie Rd Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,579 | $2.16 | 14d | 12 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,700 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,700 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,700 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,700 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,700 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,700 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,700 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,700 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,700 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,700 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,700 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,700 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,700 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,700 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,700 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,700 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $64,750 1526-char remark
Show marketing remark (1526 chars)
Location, Location, Location...Make an appointment to see this 840 sq ft, 2 bedroom, 1 bath single wide home in Falcon Wood 55+ Village. The home is equipped with forced air heating and cooling, new carpeting throughout, new kitchen and bathroom linoleum flooring, remodeled bathroom, an upgraded kitchen including new cabinetry, range hood and dishwasher. Unit 172 sits on one of the large lots in the Village with plenty of room for raised garden beds. Covered off street parking, and a large sturdy storage shed. Many of the appliances are new and under warranty. Falcon Wood Village’s amenities are very convenient, and well maintained. There is an outdoor swimming pool, large club room with a fully equipped kitchen for your events, pool table, unmanned post office and small library with convenient parking. Also, there is an on-site car wash at the south eastern portion of the Village. The property managers are in their office Monday thru Sunday and are a very helpful management staff. Lastly, Falcon Wood Village is a few blocks away from Walmart, Home Depot, Starbucks, Café Yum, Jersey Mikes, Market of Choice shopping center, and a great bird store, Wild Birds Unlimited. Also a short drive to Entennman’s thrift bakery, Grocery Outlet, Fred Meyer shopping center, Albertsons shopping center, WinCo, Pet Smart, and Costco with some of the best gas prices in town if you are a member. Give us a call for a tour of this one owner mobile home in space 172, in the quiet Falcon Wood Village.
-
2026-03-07$68,500 Active 1526-char remark
Show marketing remark (1526 chars)
Location, Location, Location...Make an appointment to see this 840 sq ft, 2 bedroom, 1 bath single wide home in Falcon Wood 55+ Village. The home is equipped with forced air heating and cooling, new carpeting throughout, new kitchen and bathroom linoleum flooring, remodeled bathroom, an upgraded kitchen including new cabinetry, range hood and dishwasher. Unit 172 sits on one of the large lots in the Village with plenty of room for raised garden beds. Covered off street parking, and a large sturdy storage shed. Many of the appliances are new and under warranty. Falcon Wood Village’s amenities are very convenient, and well maintained. There is an outdoor swimming pool, large club room with a fully equipped kitchen for your events, pool table, unmanned post office and small library with convenient parking. Also, there is an on-site car wash at the south eastern portion of the Village. The property managers are in their office Monday thru Sunday and are a very helpful management staff. Lastly, Falcon Wood Village is a few blocks away from Walmart, Home Depot, Starbucks, Café Yum, Jersey Mikes, Market of Choice shopping center, and a great bird store, Wild Birds Unlimited. Also a short drive to Entennman’s thrift bakery, Grocery Outlet, Fred Meyer shopping center, Albertsons shopping center, WinCo, Pet Smart, and Costco with some of the best gas prices in town if you are a member. Give us a call for a tour of this one owner mobile home in space 172, in the quiet Falcon Wood Village.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,344
- − Property taxes
- −$896
- − Insurance
- −$1,096
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$1,737
- Taxable income
- $12,083
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,900
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,367/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eugene SD 4J
- NCES district ID
- 4104740
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,688
- Composite
- 42.15/100
- National rank
- #3302
- State rank
- #10 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,420
- Household income
- $104,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 402.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.97%
- Current HPI
- 286.5805
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-5.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $64,750 RMLS
- 2026-03-07 Listed $68,500 RMLS
Property tax history
-41.7%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…