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1475 Green Acres Rd #172
B Composite 71.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,700

1475 Green Acres Rd #172 · Eugene, OR 97408
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1973 $71/sqft · 102% above area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location, Location, Location...Make an appointment to see this 840 sq ft, 2 bedroom, 1 bath single wide home in Falcon Wood 55+ Village. The home is equipped with forced air heating and cooling, new carpeting throughout, new kitchen and bathroom linoleum flooring, remodeled bathroom, an upgraded kitchen including new cabinetry, range hood and dishwasher. Unit 172 sits on one of the large lots in the Village with plenty of room for raised garden beds. Covered off street parking, and a large sturdy storage shed. Many of the appliances are new and under warranty. Falcon Wood Village’s amenities are very convenient, and well maintained. There is an outdoor swimming pool, large club room with a fully equipped kitchen for your events, pool table, unmanned post office and small library with convenient parking. Also, there is an on-site car wash at the south eastern portion of the Village. The property managers are in their office Monday thru Sunday and are a very helpful management staff. Lastly, Falcon Wood Village is a few blocks away from Walmart, Home Depot, Starbucks, Café Yum, Jersey Mikes, Market of Choice shopping center, and a great bird store, Wild Birds Unlimited. Also a short drive to Entennman’s thrift bakery, Grocery Outlet, Fred Meyer shopping center, Albertsons shopping center, WinCo, Pet Smart, and Costco with some of the best gas prices in town if you are a member. Give us a call for a tour of this one owner mobile home in space 172, in the quiet Falcon Wood Village.

Key facts

  • New carpeting
  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Forced air heating

Tags

FORCED AIR HEATINGNEW CARPETINGREMODELED BATHROOMUPGRADED KITCHENRAISED GARDEN BEDSCOVERED OFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.2% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
  • Eugene SD 4J (urban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #10 of 58 in OR (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $413 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,327 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.18%
Cap rate
28.18%
Cash-on-cash
78.16%
DSCR
4.48
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$29,604
List price
$59,700
Delta
101.66%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1475 Green Acres Rd #168 0.00mi 2/1.0 770 (-8%) 3mo $28,000 $36 83
1475 Green Acres Rd #66 0.00mi 2/2.0 800 (-5%) 7mo $10,000 $13 83
1475 Green Acres Rd #10 0.00mi 2/2.0 800 (-5%) 7mo $65,000 $81 82
1475 Green Acres Rd #52 0.00mi 2/1.0 896 (+7%) 12mo $26,000 $29 79
1475 Green Acres Rd #146 0.00mi 2/1.0 768 (-9%) 11mo $32,000 $42 77
1475 Green Acres Rd #141 0.00mi 2/2.0 960 (+14%) 1mo $44,000 $46 72
1475 Green Acres Rd #108 0.00mi 2/2.0 738 (-12%) 8mo $52,500 $71 69
1475 Green Acres Rd #175 0.00mi 2/1.0 938 (+12%) 14mo $40,000 $43 69
1475 Green Acres Rd #80 0.00mi 2/1.0 910 (+8%) 22mo $57,000 $63 67
1475 Green Acres Rd #39 0.00mi 2/1.0 930 (+11%) 19mo $34,500 $37 66
1475 Green Acres Rd #19 0.00mi 2/2.0 960 (+14%) 13mo $62,000 $65 62
1475 Green Acres Rd #120 0.00mi 2/2.0 738 (-12%) 21mo $52,000 $70 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
74.3%
Equity multiple
4.43×
Total profit
$57,377
Equity at exit
$8,901
10-year hold
IRR
78.4%
Equity multiple
9.49×
Total profit
$141,921
Equity at exit
$5,162

Cash invested: $16,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97408

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$313
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $896/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$1,022

Break-even live

Break-even rent $606
Max offer price $59,700
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,064 -5% $1,043 +0% $1,022 +5% $1,002 +10% $981
Rent -10% $872 -5% $947 +0% $1,022 +5% $1,097 +10% $1,172
Rate -1.0pp $1,052 -0.5pp $1,037 base $1,022 +0.5pp $1,007 +1.0pp $991

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,925
Closing costs
$1,791
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2300 Norkenzie Rd Eugene, OR 2.0 1.5 980 $1,445 $1.47 44d 1 0.42mi
3328 Lake Glenn Dr Eugene, OR 2.0 1.0 1114 $1,800 $1.62 44d 1 0.50mi
1877 Brewer Ave Eugene, OR 3.0–4.0 1.0–1.5 1102 $1,649 $1.50 14d 2 0.64mi
3950 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR 1.0 1.0 634 $1,564 $2.46 14d 5 0.69mi
1440 John Day Dr Eugene, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1050 $2,349 $2.24 14d 38 0.75mi
2356 Crescent Ave Eugene, OR 2.0 1.0 810 $1,595 $1.97 44d 1 0.76mi
3610 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 802 $2,299 $2.87 14d 15 0.76mi
3570 Goodpasture Loop Eugene, OR 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,999 $2.00 44d 1 0.81mi
1844 Happy Ln Eugene, OR 1.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,692 $1.63 14d 5 0.95mi
1367 Umpqua Ave Eugene, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,675 $3.15 14d 46 0.97mi
2948 Matt Dr Eugene, OR 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,850 $1.84 44d 1 0.97mi
2459 Lakeview Dr Eugene, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 966 $1,790 $1.85 14d 24 1.05mi
1150 Darlene Ln Eugene, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 924 $2,285 $2.47 14d 16 1.15mi
2847 Tennyson Ave Eugene, OR 3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $2,178 $2.41 14d 8 1.15mi
1800 Cal Young Rd Eugene, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 887 $1,830 $2.06 14d 9 1.23mi
1740 Adkins St Eugene, OR 2.0 1.0 1044 $1,850 $1.77 14d 8 1.41mi
2555 Willakenzie Rd Eugene, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0 732 $1,579 $2.16 14d 12 1.41mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,700 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,700 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,700 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,700 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,700 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,700 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,700 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,700 Active 91 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,700 Active 90 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,700 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,700 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,700 Active 85 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,700 Active 84 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,700 Active 83 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,700 Active 82 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,700 Active 81 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    price $64,750 1526-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1526 chars)

    Location, Location, Location...Make an appointment to see this 840 sq ft, 2 bedroom, 1 bath single wide home in Falcon Wood 55+ Village. The home is equipped with forced air heating and cooling, new carpeting throughout, new kitchen and bathroom linoleum flooring, remodeled bathroom, an upgraded kitchen including new cabinetry, range hood and dishwasher. Unit 172 sits on one of the large lots in the Village with plenty of room for raised garden beds. Covered off street parking, and a large sturdy storage shed. Many of the appliances are new and under warranty. Falcon Wood Village’s amenities are very convenient, and well maintained. There is an outdoor swimming pool, large club room with a fully equipped kitchen for your events, pool table, unmanned post office and small library with convenient parking. Also, there is an on-site car wash at the south eastern portion of the Village. The property managers are in their office Monday thru Sunday and are a very helpful management staff. Lastly, Falcon Wood Village is a few blocks away from Walmart, Home Depot, Starbucks, Café Yum, Jersey Mikes, Market of Choice shopping center, and a great bird store, Wild Birds Unlimited. Also a short drive to Entennman’s thrift bakery, Grocery Outlet, Fred Meyer shopping center, Albertsons shopping center, WinCo, Pet Smart, and Costco with some of the best gas prices in town if you are a member. Give us a call for a tour of this one owner mobile home in space 172, in the quiet Falcon Wood Village.

  18. 2026-03-07
    listed $68,500 Active 1526-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1526 chars)

    Location, Location, Location...Make an appointment to see this 840 sq ft, 2 bedroom, 1 bath single wide home in Falcon Wood 55+ Village. The home is equipped with forced air heating and cooling, new carpeting throughout, new kitchen and bathroom linoleum flooring, remodeled bathroom, an upgraded kitchen including new cabinetry, range hood and dishwasher. Unit 172 sits on one of the large lots in the Village with plenty of room for raised garden beds. Covered off street parking, and a large sturdy storage shed. Many of the appliances are new and under warranty. Falcon Wood Village’s amenities are very convenient, and well maintained. There is an outdoor swimming pool, large club room with a fully equipped kitchen for your events, pool table, unmanned post office and small library with convenient parking. Also, there is an on-site car wash at the south eastern portion of the Village. The property managers are in their office Monday thru Sunday and are a very helpful management staff. Lastly, Falcon Wood Village is a few blocks away from Walmart, Home Depot, Starbucks, Café Yum, Jersey Mikes, Market of Choice shopping center, and a great bird store, Wild Birds Unlimited. Also a short drive to Entennman’s thrift bakery, Grocery Outlet, Fred Meyer shopping center, Albertsons shopping center, WinCo, Pet Smart, and Costco with some of the best gas prices in town if you are a member. Give us a call for a tour of this one owner mobile home in space 172, in the quiet Falcon Wood Village.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,805
− Mortgage interest
−$3,344
− Property taxes
−$896
− Insurance
−$1,096
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$1,737
Taxable income
$12,083
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,900
After-tax cash flow
$9,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eugene SD 4J
NCES district ID
4104740
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,688
Composite
42.15/100
National rank
#3302
State rank
#10 of 58 in OR

Livability — Eugene

Score
81/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#1587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment C- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eugene, OR
County
Lane County · 310,476 people
City population
215,212
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
Population (ZIP)
15,420
Household income
$104,945
Rent vs Own
34.9% rent · 65.1% own
Severe rent burden
402.0

Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
391,933 people
By 2030
405,860 · +3.6%
By 2040
429,386 · +9.6%
By 2050
452,016 · +15.3%
By 2075
508,825 · +29.8%
By 2100
531,208 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lane

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.97%
Current HPI
286.5805
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Eugene-Springfield, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $64,750 RMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $68,500 RMLS

Property tax history

-41.7%/yr

Latest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…