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4080 Evansdale Rd
B- Composite 69.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

4080 Evansdale Rd · Wilson, NC 27893
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 14 Days on market
Built 2000 1.05 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors this one is for you! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath single wide needs a lot of TLC. Once you put some love into it you will have a gem on a 1.05 acre lot. Fenced in back yard. You need to see the vision! Call today or you will be sorry tomorrow.

Key facts

  • 1.05 acre lot
  • Fenced in back yard
  • 1.05 acre lot

Tags

1.05 ACRE LOTFENCED IN BACK YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 1.05 acres (dimensions: 98.9 x 364.72 x 167.36 x 351.01); Zoned RES
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 2 vehicles; Off-street unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water (water connected); Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One level; Entry level 1; Has a view
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Back yard with wood fencing; Shingle roof; Barn(s); Public road frontage (city street and state road)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Heat pump
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.4% in Wilson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stantonsburg Elementary (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 186 students, 98% FRL); Speight Middle (math 23% / reading 33%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 294 students, 99% FRL); Beddingfield High (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 682 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.83%
Cash-on-cash
19.76%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$18,920
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$79,980
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27893

Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,379 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $759/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $796
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 247-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $99,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$759 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$819 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$60/yr (+$5/mo · 8.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,547
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$759
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,324
− Management
−$1,324
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$993
After-tax cash flow
$4,534/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilson County Schools
NCES district ID
3705020
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,342
Composite
32.64/100
National rank
#5665
State rank
#119 of 178 in NC

Livability — Wilson

Score
64/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#14674

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wilson County · 57,967 people
City population
57,967
Metro
Wilson, NC
Population (ZIP)
38,512
Household income
$42,810
Rent vs Own
55.8% rent · 44.2% own
Severe rent burden
2175.0

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,765 people
By 2030
82,492 · -0.3%
By 2040
81,054 · -2.1%
By 2050
78,610 · -5.0%
By 2075
71,865 · -13.2%
By 2100
62,792 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+2.9 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+7.3 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.54%
Current HPI
211.4136
Rent YoY
▲ 7.01%
Metro
Wilson, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $99,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $759 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…