236 Palmyra Rd · Leesburg, GA 31763

$249,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,784 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1993 2.75 ac lot $140/sqft · 49% below area Est $486k · 49% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +8.7/30.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Step into the welcoming paneled foyer with beautiful hardwood flooring and immediately feel at home. To the right, you'll find a spacious dining area that opens seamlessly into the kitchen, creating an ideal layout for entertaining and everyday living. The kitchen offers a wonderful view of the outdoors, warm wood cabinetry, and a generous eat-in area perfect for casual meals and gatherings. Just off the kitchen is a versatile oversized space filled with cabinets and storage, ideal for creating a custom drop zone, mudroom, hobby area, or additional workspace as you enter from the garage. The laundry room also includes convenient cabinet storage for added organization. The double garage prov

Key facts

• Hardwood flooring
• Paneled foyer
• Cabinet storage

Tags

• PANELED FOYER
• HARDWOOD FLOORING
• SPACIOUS DINING AREA
• GENEROUS EAT-IN AREA
• OVERSIZED SPACE
• CABINET STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2 parking spaces; Garage with opener
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-family residence (detached); One story
• Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Deck; Storage structure

Interior

• Kitchen: Oven
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric central heating
• Interior features: Oven; Fireplace (1); Laundry room
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-212 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (15.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (30.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $173k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#135 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Lee County (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #21 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 133 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $172,527 (30.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.27%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.64%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 12.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $486,107
• List price: $249,000
• Delta: -48.78%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 2 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
131 Brittany Lakes Dr	0.13mi	3/2.0	1,837 (+3%)	20mo	$675,000	$367	72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.21×
• Total profit: $-55,239
• Equity at exit: $37,127

10-year hold

• IRR: -20.0%
• Equity multiple: -0.02×
• Total profit: $-71,149
• Equity at exit: $21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31763

• Home prices YoY: -15.9%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 203
• Price-to-rent: 12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,725 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,306
• Tax from tax record: −$165 /mo · $1,981/yr
• Insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$362
• Net cashflow: $-212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,993

Max offer price $211,604

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $62,250
• Closing costs: $7,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-15
   listed $249,000 Active 1546-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,981 · $165/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,291 · $191/mo
• Expected delta: +$309/yr (+$26/mo · 15.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,703
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,948
• − Property taxes: −$1,981
• − Insurance: −$1,245
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,656
• − Management: −$1,656
• − Depreciation: −$7,244
• Taxable loss: −$7,027
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,687
• After-tax cash flow: $-854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lee County
• NCES district ID: 1303270
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $60,449
• Composite: 39.23/100
• National rank: #4009
• State rank: #21 of 174 in GA

Livability — Leesburg

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #135
• US rank: #9283

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lee County · 29,271 people
• City population: 29,271
• Metro: Albany, GA
• Population (ZIP): 29,271
• Household income: $88,312
• Rent vs Own: 28.5% rent · 71.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 700.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 31,140 people
• By 2030: 31,753 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 32,710 · +5.0%
• By 2050: 33,476 · +7.5%
• By 2075: 35,113 · +12.8%
• By 2100: 34,821 · +11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Black 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.5) · D 28.0% · R 71.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +8.6pp toward D · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -43.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+52.4 2008: R+52.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -35.33%
• Current HPI: 187.3672
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.22%
• Metro: Albany, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Pending — SWGABOR
• 2026-05-15 Listed $249,000 SWGABOR

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,981 · +36.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.