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179 Holly Meadows Dr
D+ Composite 49.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.8/15.0

$249,500

179 Holly Meadows Dr · Graniteville, SC 29829
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured public records · 81 Days on market
Built 2009 2.00 ac lot Est $221k · 13% over ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the perfect blend of space, privacy, and freedom with this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2 full bath mobile home situated on a generous 2-acre corner lot. Enjoy the convenience of a private well, offering reliability and lower utility costs. The open floor plan provides comfortable living and entertaining space, while the split-bedroom layout offers added privacy for family or guests. With plenty of room for gardening, animals, RVs, or future improvements, this property is ideal for those seeking room to grow. No HOA restrictions mean you can truly make this property your own. A rare opportunity to enjoy peaceful living with endless possibilities--don't miss it! Flooring allowance

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Split-bedroom layout
  • 2-acre corner lot

Tags

PRIVATE WELLOPEN FLOOR PLANSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUT2-ACRE CORNER LOTNO HOA RESTRICTIONS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.9% in Graniteville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,530 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.37%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,312
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
180 Holly Meadows Dr 0.04mi 4/3.0 2,432 (0%) 4mo $156,000 $64 91
123 Kyle Dr 0.19mi 4/2.0 2,128 (-12%) 12mo $192,900 $91 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$121,423
Equity at exit
$196,039
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
5.92×
Total profit
$343,459
Equity at exit
$395,492

Cash invested: $69,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29829

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,431 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,308
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,742/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,183
Max offer price $249,500
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $369 -5% $283 +0% $196 +5% $110 +10% $24
Rent -10% $4 -5% $100 +0% $196 +5% $292 +10% $388
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $260 base $196 +0.5pp $132 +1.0pp $66

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,375
Closing costs
$7,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Satinwood Cir Graniteville, SC 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1776 $2,199 $1.24 14d 5 0.42mi
4060 Stone Pass Dr Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,925 $1.20 24d 1 0.79mi
4074 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1854 $1,900 $1.02 21d 1 1.08mi
6130 Mahogany Ter Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1893 $2,250 $1.19 14d 1 1.08mi
4044 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1694 $1,925 $1.14 21d 1 1.11mi
39 Springdale Rd Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.5 1744 $2,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.49mi
43 Springdale Rd Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.5 1725 $2,090 $1.21 14d 1 1.49mi
45 Springdale Rd Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.5 1744 $2,100 $1.20 21d 1 1.50mi
47 Springdale Rd Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.5 1725 $2,090 $1.21 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-12
    price $249,500
  3. 2026-01-07
    listed $250,000 Active
  4. 2025-09-08
    price $290,000
  5. 2025-08-18
    price $294,850
  6. 2025-07-27
    price $294,900
  7. 2025-07-13
    price $295,000
  8. 2025-07-08
    price $330,000
  9. 2025-06-01
    price $340,000
  10. 2025-05-21
    price $349,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,174
− Mortgage interest
−$13,976
− Property taxes
−$3,742
− Insurance
−$1,248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,334
− Management
−$2,334
− Depreciation
−$7,258
Taxable loss
−$1,718
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$412
After-tax cash flow
$2,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Graniteville

Score
59/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#19924

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
12,385
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
12,385
Household income
$84,228
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
213.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Swedish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.38%
Current HPI
286.4155
Rent YoY
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending AMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $249,500 AMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $250,000 AMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $290,000 AMLS
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $294,850 AMLS
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $294,900 AMLS
  • 2025-07-13 Price Changed $295,000 AMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $330,000 AMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Price Changed $340,000 AMLS
  • 2025-05-21 Price Changed $349,000 AMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $226 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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