84 S Grant St · Frostburg, MD
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT! Brand NEW Roof! This home could be great for a rental or single family. The property needs just a little TLC to make it a home again. The home is vacant and utilities are off. The basement has a sump pump and is unfinished. the driveway has ample parking.
Key facts
- Sump pump
- Ample parking
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.2% in Frostburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#7 in MD, #287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $59k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.17%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,998
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -41.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Green St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+3%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $109 | 82 |
| 18 Mill St | 0.12mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (-1%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 53 Stoyer St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-6%) | 10mo | $149,000 | $127 | 68 |
| 117 Bowery St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-6%) | 10mo | $120,500 | $102 | 66 |
| 70 Bowery St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-10%) | 11mo | $92,500 | $83 | 66 |
| 40 Mcculloh St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-5%) | 14mo | $162,500 | $137 | 64 |
| 113 Walnut St | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,202 (-4%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 135 Hill St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,306 (+5%) | 10mo | $120,500 | $92 | 59 |
| 16 Greenbriar Ct | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+1%) | 10mo | $209,900 | $166 | 58 |
| 138 Mount Pleasant St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,332 (+7%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $124 | 53 |
| 84 Hill St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (+14%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $105 | 49 |
| 8 Taylor St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,391 (+12%) | 15mo | $70,400 | $51 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,755
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $22,714
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21532
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $751/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $292 | -5% $269 | +0% $246 | +5% $224 | +10% $201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $165 | -5% $206 | +0% $246 | +5% $287 | +10% $328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $267 | base $246 | +0.5pp $226 | +1.0pp $205 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Bowery St Unit 1 Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,090 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 187 Glenn St Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 860 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 193 Glenn St Unit h Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 860 | $957 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| Main St Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 191 Park Ave Frostburg, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $899 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 55 S Broadway Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 208 Lower Consol Rd NW Apt D Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,052 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 208 Lower Consol Rd NW Unit c Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,027 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 212 Lower Consol Rd NW Apt 3 Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,102 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 212 Lower Consol Rd NW Apt 6 Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,052 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $950 | $1.34 | 44d | 5 | 0.83mi |
| 2 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 44d | 6 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2025-12-11status Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Brand NEW Roof! This home could be great for a rental or single family. The property needs just a little TLC to make it a home again. The home is vacant and utilities are off. The basement has a sump pump and is unfinished. the driveway has ample parking.
-
2025-12-11status Pending 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Brand NEW Roof! This home could be great for a rental or single family. The property needs just a little TLC to make it a home again. The home is vacant and utilities are off. The basement has a sump pump and is unfinished. the driveway has ample parking.
-
2025-12-10$80,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
INVESTOR ALERT! Brand NEW Roof! This home could be great for a rental or single family. The property needs just a little TLC to make it a home again. The home is vacant and utilities are off. The basement has a sump pump and is unfinished. the driveway has ample parking.
-
2023-12-11historical
-
2023-09-14price $82,900
-
2023-06-30$85,900 Active
-
2023-06-24historical
-
2020-07-01historical
-
2019-10-22$74,900 Active
-
2014-09-21historical Expired
-
2013-12-23Active
-
2013-12-23$85,000
-
2013-12-23historical
-
2009-11-02historical Expired
-
2009-11-02historical
-
2009-10-27price
-
2009-05-18
-
2009-05-18$89,900
-
2004-08-27soldstatus $59,000
-
2004-08-27soldstatus $59,000
-
2004-08-18soldstatus $59,000
-
2004-07-18historical
-
2004-06-08$62,500
-
2000-08-24soldstatus $45,000
-
2000-08-18soldstatus $45,000
-
2000-08-09historical
-
2000-06-19$49,900
-
2000-05-29historical
-
1999-10-15historical
-
1999-10-14
-
1999-04-07
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $751 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $812 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$60/yr (+$5/mo · 8.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,416
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$751
- − Insurance
- −$1,066
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$993
- − Management
- −$993
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,803
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,524/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Frostburg
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frostburg, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,123
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 244.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+60.3% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-11 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-14 Price Changed $82,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-30 Listed $85,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-24 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-22 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-21 Delisted — MRIS
- 2013-12-23 Listed — MRIS
- 2013-12-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-12-23 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-11-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-11-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-10-27 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-05-18 Listed — MRIS
- 2009-05-18 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-18 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MRIS
- 2004-07-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-06-08 Listed $62,500 MRIS
- 2000-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-18 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MRIS
- 2000-08-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2000-06-19 Listed $49,900 MRIS
- 2000-05-29 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-10-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 1999-10-14 Listed — MRIS
- 1999-04-07 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $751 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…