235 East Ave · East Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Side by side duplex in very convenient location. Good sized level back yard is partially fenced. Home needs a cosmetic makeover, but the bones are good, and some of the mechanicals appear to have been updated. A great deal of potential and value awaits the buyer willing to invest some time and energy.
Key facts
- Private porches
- Separate entrances
- Built 1910
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two-unit building with separate gas and electric meters; Operating expenses may include insurance, maintenance (structure and general), professional management, and water/sewer
- Financial info: Owner pays water; Water included in rent
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story property; Existing/resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; PEX plumbing; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered and open porch; Patio; Barbecue area; Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot (49 x 80) on a city street
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Thermal windows; Full basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.5% in East Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#155 in NY, #2,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D.
- East Rochester Union Free School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #371 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Rochester Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 458 students, 48% FRL); East Rochester Junior-Senior High School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade D+, #946 of 1,100 statewide, top 88%, 515 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.90%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,768
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -49.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 W Filbert St Unit S | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,597 (+9%) | 13mo | $299,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 53 Waterworks Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,623 (+11%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $206 | 37 |
| 89 Waterworks Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,623 (+11%) | 17mo | $290,000 | $179 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,919
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $46,879
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14445
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$521 /mo · $6,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $571 | -5% $529 | +0% $486 | +5% $444 | +10% $401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $301 | -5% $393 | +0% $486 | +5% $579 | +10% $672 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $562 | -0.5pp $524 | base $486 | +0.5pp $447 | +1.0pp $408 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 E Filbert St East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $2,475 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 214 E Spruce St East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,750 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 330 E Chestnut St East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 218 1/2 Magnolia Ave East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 405 Garfield Ave East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 214 Magnolia Ave East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 815-char remark
-
2026-05-06$149,900 Active 815-char remark
-
2021-10-29soldstatus $100,000
-
2021-04-27soldstatus $87,501 Closed Sale or Rented 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Side by side duplex in very convenient location. Good sized level back yard is partially fenced. Home needs a cosmetic makeover, but the bones are good, and some of the mechanicals appear to have been updated. A great deal of potential and value awaits the buyer willing to invest some time and energy.
-
2021-03-12status Under Contract- Do Not Show 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Side by side duplex in very convenient location. Good sized level back yard is partially fenced. Home needs a cosmetic makeover, but the bones are good, and some of the mechanicals appear to have been updated. A great deal of potential and value awaits the buyer willing to invest some time and energy.
-
2021-02-13price $95,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Side by side duplex in very convenient location. Good sized level back yard is partially fenced. Home needs a cosmetic makeover, but the bones are good, and some of the mechanicals appear to have been updated. A great deal of potential and value awaits the buyer willing to invest some time and energy.
-
2021-01-13$100,000 Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Side by side duplex in very convenient location. Good sized level back yard is partially fenced. Home needs a cosmetic makeover, but the bones are good, and some of the mechanicals appear to have been updated. A great deal of potential and value awaits the buyer willing to invest some time and energy.
-
2007-05-17soldstatus $77,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,247 · $521/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,247 · $521/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$6,247
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,255
- − Management
- −$2,255
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $3,920
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$941
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,894/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Rochester Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609930
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,308
- Composite
- 43.23/100
- National rank
- #3058
- State rank
- #371 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Rochester
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #2400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 7,529
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,529
- Household income
- $73,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.80%
- Current HPI
- 273.7033
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+94.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) $87,501 CNYIS
- 2021-03-12 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-02-13 Price Changed $95,000 CNYIS
- 2021-01-13 Listed $100,000 CNYIS
- 2007-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,247 · -47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…