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319 Burgundy Dr
B Composite 73.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.1/10.0

$94,900

319 Burgundy Dr · Adamsville, AL 35005
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,503 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 231 Days on market
Built 1972 0.39 ac lot Est $174k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Westwood Acres! Nestled at the end of a quiet dead-end street, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath tri-level home offers a spacious layout with room to grow. Enjoy multiple living areas, including a cozy den with a beautiful stone fireplace in the basement—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The home features generously sized rooms, a functional floor plan, and sits on a large lot with plenty of outdoor space. Some updates have been made, and is waiting and ready for your finishing touches. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this home your own in a well-established neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Stone fireplace
  • Outdoor space

Tags

QUIET DEAD-END STREETMULTIPLE LIVING AREASSTONE FIREPLACELARGE LOTOUTDOOR SPACEWELL-ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.5% in Adamsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#522 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Adamsville Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 302 students, 83% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.59%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$174,348
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
410 Holly Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,556 (+4%) 1mo $180,000 $116 72
5305 Bellwood Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,537 (+2%) 3mo $179,200 $117 65
601 Kimberly Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,364 (-9%) 14mo $161,000 $118 62
201 Lakewood Cir 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,542 (+3%) 12mo $145,000 $94 61
234 Lakewood Cir 0.39mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,565 (+4%) 16mo $195,000 $125 56
4905 Robbins Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-11%) 12mo $103,000 $77 52
5208 Bellwood Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-0%) 23mo $175,000 $117 50
224 Lakewood Cir 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,681 (+12%) 13mo $207,000 $123 46
117 Valley St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,323 (-12%) 17mo $124,900 $94 43
5425 Robin Cir 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,570 (+4%) 21mo $49,700 $32 40
320 Harris Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,684 (+12%) 5mo $145,000 $86 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$10,835
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$43,165
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35005

Home prices YoY
-3.9%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,294 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $883/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $773
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4400 Old Jasper Hwy Adamsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 3d 1 0.82mi
5309 Hazelwood Rd Adamsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1526 $1,325 $0.87 1d 1 0.83mi
4213 Kendall Ave Adamsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1250 $1,225 $0.98 3d 1 0.89mi
933 Crestview Ln Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,285 $0.86 44d 1 0.98mi
4204 Denniston Cir Adamsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,580 $1.23 23d 1 0.99mi
5616 Cruce Rd Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,200 $1.01 1d 1 1.22mi
3716 Main St Adamsville, AL 2.0 1.0 1058 $896 $0.85 16d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-02-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-09
    price $94,900
  3. 2025-11-08
    price $104,900
  4. 2025-09-30
    status Active
  5. 2025-09-09
    status Pending
  6. 2025-06-11
    listed $114,900 Active
  7. 2001-03-27
    soldstatus $95,900
  8. 1972-10-24
    soldstatus $26,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$883 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$883 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,531
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$883
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,243
− Management
−$1,243
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$3,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$867
After-tax cash flow
$4,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Adamsville

Score
51/100
State rank
#522
US rank
#25480

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adamsville, AL
City population
10,982
Population (ZIP)
8,143

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 38% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.72%
Current HPI
237.5788
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+252.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $94,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $104,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-09 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-06-11 Listed $114,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2001-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $95,900 Public Records
  • 1972-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $26,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $883 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…