5470 Tourmaline Dr · North Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Split level home features 3 bedroom's, 2 full baths with two car garage plus an open deck with a large fully fenced yard. Laundry in basement with washer and dryer. Great value in today's market, not to be missed. SELLER TO REVIEW ALL OFFERS AFTER 5 PM SUNDAY.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Brand new driveway
- Upstairs bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached heated garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story home; Aluminum siding; Existing/resale property; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 177
- Construction: Block foundation; Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Fully fenced yard; Play structure; Shed(s)/storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring types
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with baseboard/hot water; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Den; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Solid surface counters; Programmable thermostat; Full basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.1% in North Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; list at $250k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.54%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $301,688
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -17.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5512 Taormina Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-6%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $128 | 76 |
| 8238 Lucchesi Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (-1%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $219 | 73 |
| 5539 Taormina Dr | 0.05mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,384 (+7%) | 9mo | $209,900 | $152 | 71 |
| 8129 Firenze Ln | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-5%) | 7mo | $259,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 8213 Mantova Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+1%) | 10mo | $246,600 | $190 | 64 |
| 5496 Tobin Path | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+8%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $293 | 64 |
| 5726 Boulia Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+6%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $194 | 63 |
| 8272 Mantova Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (+6%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $197 | 61 |
| 5490 N Trastevere Road Rd #2 | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,133 (-12%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $115 | 59 |
| 8147 Brookwood Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+5%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $184 | 51 |
| 8010 Casilina Dr | 0.73mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,224 (-5%) | 6mo | $253,000 | $207 | 45 |
| 8010 Bamm Hollow Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,483 (+15%) | 11mo | $280,000 | $189 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-30,938
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-14,290
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13041
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,550 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$452 /mo · $5,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$535
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $290 | -5% $219 | +0% $148 | +5% $77 | +10% $7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $47 | +0% $148 | +5% $249 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $212 | base $148 | +0.5pp $83 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8091 Weblank Way Clay, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8244 Mantova Dr Clay, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,800 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5472 Alfreton Dr Clay, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,800 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-13$249,900 Active 1526-char remark
-
2021-08-13soldstatus $152,500
-
2021-08-06soldstatus $152,500 Closed Sale or Rented 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Great Split level home features 3 bedroom's, 2 full baths with two car garage plus an open deck with a large fully fenced yard. Laundry in basement with washer and dryer. Great value in today's market, not to be missed. SELLER TO REVIEW ALL OFFERS AFTER 5 PM SUNDAY.
-
2021-06-06historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Great Split level home features 3 bedroom's, 2 full baths with two car garage plus an open deck with a large fully fenced yard. Laundry in basement with washer and dryer. Great value in today's market, not to be missed. SELLER TO REVIEW ALL OFFERS AFTER 5 PM SUNDAY.
-
2021-05-28$152,500 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Great Split level home features 3 bedroom's, 2 full baths with two car garage plus an open deck with a large fully fenced yard. Laundry in basement with washer and dryer. Great value in today's market, not to be missed. SELLER TO REVIEW ALL OFFERS AFTER 5 PM SUNDAY.
-
1994-07-15soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,420 · $452/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,420 · $452/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$5,420
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,448
- − Management
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$2,235
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$536
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Syracuse Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621210
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,904
- Composite
- 41.93/100
- National rank
- #3356
- State rank
- #402 of 590 in NY
Livability — North Syracuse
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #6513
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 20,185
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,094
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.12%
- Current HPI
- 326.7838
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+212.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $249,900 CNYIS
- 2021-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $152,500 Public Records
- 2021-08-06 Sold (MLS) $152,500 CNYIS
- 2021-06-06 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2021-05-28 Listed $152,500 CNYIS
- 1994-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,420 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…