639 W Ohio Ave · Macclenny, FL 32063

$85,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,112 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market

Built 1967 8,276 sqft lot ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.5/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

*Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

Key facts

• Remodeled bathroom
• 8,276 sq ft lot
• Parking

Tags

• REMODELED BATHROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
• Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.3% in Macclenny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#355 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Baker (town): math 53% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #28 of 73 in FL (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Macclenny Elementary School (math 71% / reading 70%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 615 students, 58% FRL); Baker County Middle School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade D, #320 of 571 statewide, top 57%, 1,102 students, 52% FRL); Baker County Senior High School (math 41% / reading 48%, grade F, #237 of 667 statewide, top 36%, 1,425 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Baker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Baker County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $79,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.04%
• DSCR: 1.62
• GRM: 6.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $215,728
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
715 Miltondale Rd	0.15mi	3/1.0	1,111 (-0%)	11mo	$215,000	$194	84
406 Barbara Cir	0.18mi	3/2.0	1,202 (+8%)	1mo	$225,000	$187	74
661 Douberly Rd	0.23mi	3/1.0	1,055 (-5%)	12mo	$77,500	$73	71
719 Miltondale Rd	0.17mi	3/1.0	1,202 (+8%)	10mo	$210,000	$175	70
650 Towers Ct	0.13mi	3/1.5	960 (-14%)	7mo	$220,000	$229	63
428 Magnolia Dr	0.44mi	3/1.0	1,151 (+4%)	15mo	$211,000	$183	62
431 Linda St	0.33mi	3/3.5	1,182 (+6%)	4mo	$325,000	$275	61
679 James Ct	0.19mi	3/2.0	960 (-14%)	5mo	$148,000	$154	60
506 Ivy St	0.51mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,064 (-4%)	8mo	$152,000	$143	57
710 N 7th St	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,107 (-0%)	15mo	$225,000	$203	56
520 Railroad Ave W	0.42mi	3/1.0	954 (-14%)	6mo	$200,000	$210	52
311 N 4th St	0.70mi	3/1.5	1,036 (-7%)	4mo	$220,000	$212	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.17×
• Total profit: $4,025
• Equity at exit: $12,674

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.12×
• Total profit: $26,596
• Equity at exit: $7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32063

• Home prices YoY: -32.2%
• Active inventory: 76
• Price-to-rent: 6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,186 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax from tax record: −$177 /mo · $2,129/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$249
• Net cashflow: $278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $834

Max offer price $85,000

Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $327	-5% $303	+0% $278	+5% $254	+10% $230
Rent	-10% $185	-5% $232	+0% $278	+5% $325	+10% $372
Rate	-1.0pp $321	-0.5pp $300	base $278	+0.5pp $256	+1.0pp $234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2025-03-14
   status Pending
2. 2025-02-25
   price $85,000
3. 2024-12-17
   listed $90,000 Active
4. 2024-10-14
   historical 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

5. 2024-08-26
   price $91,500 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

6. 2024-08-13
   price $97,000 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

7. 2024-08-06
   status Active 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

8. 2024-07-22
   historical Active Under Contract 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

9. 2024-07-11
   price $105,000 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

10. 2024-07-03
    price $120,000 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

11. 2024-06-25
    price $135,000 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

12. 2024-06-20
    listed $140,000 Active 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    *Attention investors* Perfect opportunity to grab your next flip or rental property. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you to fix it up and get it ready. The home features some updates that have already been completed such as remodeled bathroom, some plumbing and the AC (exact age unknown). 50 ft electrical easement for access. Cash only, no seller disclosure, buyer to do their own due diligence. Check it out today!

13. 2010-01-23
    historical 255-char remark

    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    3b/1b older home, needs TLC. Home has 5 year old roof, vinyl siding, open front porch, fenced yard, stone fireplace hearth, there is also an adjoining lot for sale that could be used for another home.2nd lot has seperate listing but could be sold together

14. 2009-05-25
    listed $89,000 255-char remark

    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    3b/1b older home, needs TLC. Home has 5 year old roof, vinyl siding, open front porch, fenced yard, stone fireplace hearth, there is also an adjoining lot for sale that could be used for another home.2nd lot has seperate listing but could be sold together

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,129 · $177/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,129 · $177/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,235
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$2,129
• − Insurance: −$425
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,139
• − Management: −$1,139
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable income: $2,169
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$520
• After-tax cash flow: $2,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baker
• NCES district ID: 1200060
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $50,301
• Composite: 43.67/100
• National rank: #2958
• State rank: #28 of 73 in FL

Livability — Macclenny

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #355
• US rank: #6194

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Macclenny, FL
• City population: 14,546
• Population (ZIP): 14,546

Population outlook (Baker County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 27,607 people
• By 2030: 27,452 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 26,637 · -3.5%
• By 2050: 25,103 · -9.1%
• By 2075: 19,576 · -29.1%
• By 2100: 11,664 · -57.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Baker

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+73.1) · D 13.2% · R 86.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -57.4pp · 2024: -73.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+73.1 2020: R+70.2 2016: R+64.8 2012: R+58.6 2008: R+57.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -87.23%
• Current HPI: 183.4377
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-4.5% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2025-03-14 Pending — realMLS
• 2025-02-25 Price Changed $85,000 realMLS
• 2024-12-17 Listed $90,000 realMLS
• 2024-10-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2024-08-26 Price Changed $91,500 realMLS
• 2024-08-13 Price Changed $97,000 realMLS
• 2024-08-06 Relisted — realMLS
• 2024-07-22 Contingent — realMLS
• 2024-07-11 Price Changed $105,000 realMLS
• 2024-07-03 Price Changed $120,000 realMLS
• 2024-06-25 Price Changed $135,000 realMLS
• 2024-06-20 Listed $140,000 realMLS
• 2010-01-23 Listing Removed — realMLS
• 2009-05-25 Listed $89,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+21.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,129 · +777.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.