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14711 Lappin St
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,900

14711 Lappin St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,079 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1927 4,356 sqft lot $9/sqft · 81% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 14711 Lappin! Investor Price Special! 3 bedroom and 1 bath home . Lots of potential. Sold AS-IS. BTVAI

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1927

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $967 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 123.5% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $68 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $297 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 17 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $8k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $9,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
13.24%
Cap rate
123.53%
Cash-on-cash
418.71%
DSCR
19.63
GRM
0.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$53,382
List price
$9,900
Delta
-81.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14788 Rossini Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,099 (+2%) 1mo $82,000 $75 76
15017 Lappin St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-7%) 2mo $60,000 $60 75
15256 Fordham St 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,099 (+2%) 3mo $60,000 $55 73
14076 Rossini Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,055 (-2%) 0mo $90,000 $85 72
14910 Fairmount Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,116 (+3%) 1mo $15,000 $13 70
19953 Regent Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,038 (-4%) 2mo $55,000 $53 69
15275 Eastburn St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+2%) 2mo $56,000 $51 64
14078 Bringard Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,110 (+3%) 2mo $76,000 $68 60
15486 Fairmount Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 2mo $62,000 $61 56
15416 Eastwood St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,211 (+12%) 2mo $70,000 $58 54
15260 Faircrest St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-13%) 1mo $35,000 $37 50
15011 Bringard Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,208 (+12%) 2mo $125,000 $103 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.87×
Total profit
$57,851
Equity at exit
$1,476
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
44.72×
Total profit
$121,182
Equity at exit
$856

Cash invested: $2,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
0.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,311 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $148/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$967

Break-even live

Break-even rent $87
Max offer price $9,900
Occupancy floor 21%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $974 -5% $971 +0% $967 +5% $964 +10% $960
Rent -10% $864 -5% $915 +0% $967 +5% $1,019 +10% $1,071
Rate -1.0pp $972 -0.5pp $970 base $967 +0.5pp $965 +1.0pp $962

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,475
Closing costs
$297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 25d 1 0.13mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 45d 1 0.14mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 18d 1 0.16mi
15604 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,000 $0.83 45d 1 0.54mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 18d 1 0.60mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 18d 1 0.66mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 45d 1 0.75mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 45d 1 0.77mi
14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 45d 1 0.80mi
16031 E 7 Mile Rd #5 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1204 $1,200 $1.00 4d 1 0.81mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 45d 1 0.82mi
15503 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1285 $1,100 $0.86 45d 1 0.87mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 25d 1 0.88mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 0.90mi
16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 13d 1 0.92mi
13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1269 $1,550 $1.22 12d 1 0.94mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 45d 1 0.96mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 45d 1 0.98mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 19d 1 0.99mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 18d 1 1.02mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 18d 1 1.02mi
15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 803 $1,050 $1.31 16d 1 1.02mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 18d 1 1.04mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 18d 1 1.04mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 45d 1 1.05mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 18d 1 1.05mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 18d 1 1.07mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 12d 1 1.08mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 23d 1 1.08mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 25d 1 1.08mi
19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 19d 1 1.11mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 25d 1 1.11mi
19207 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1179 $1,800 $1.53 18d 1 1.11mi
19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1293 $1,325 $1.02 18d 1 1.12mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 19d 1 1.12mi
16446 E State Fair St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 25d 1 1.14mi
16242 Bringard Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 6d 1 1.14mi
16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 25d 1 1.16mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 45d 1 1.25mi
16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 16d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $9,900 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,900 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,900 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $9,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $9,900 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,900 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $9,900 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $9,900 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $9,900 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $9,900 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $9,900 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $9,900 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-03-17
    listed $9,900 Active 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Welcome to 14711 Lappin! Investor Price Special! 3 bedroom and 1 bath home . Lots of potential. Sold AS-IS. BTVAI

  16. 2026-03-17
    listed $9,900 Active 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Welcome to 14711 Lappin! Investor Price Special! 3 bedroom and 1 bath home . Lots of potential. Sold AS-IS. BTVAI

  17. 2025-02-19
    historical
  18. 2025-02-18
    historical
  19. 2025-02-09
    listed $8,000 Active
  20. 2025-02-09
    listed $8,000 Active
  21. 2024-05-24
    soldstatus $8,500 Sold
  22. 2024-05-24
    soldstatus $8,500 Closed
  23. 2024-04-18
    status Pending
  24. 2024-04-18
    status Pending
  25. 2024-02-29
    listed $9,900 Active
  26. 2024-02-29
    listed $9,900 Active
  27. 2024-02-17
    historical
  28. 2024-02-16
    historical
  29. 2024-01-13
    price $15,000
  30. 2024-01-12
    price $15,000
  31. 2023-12-14
    listed $27,500 Active
  32. 2023-12-14
    listed $27,500 Active
  33. 2023-12-01
    historical
  34. 2023-11-30
    historical
  35. 2023-10-31
    price $27,500
  36. 2023-10-30
    price $27,500
  37. 2023-07-31
    listed $35,000 Active
  38. 2023-07-31
    listed $35,000 Active
  39. 2018-12-13
    soldstatus $6,900 Sold
  40. 2018-12-13
    soldstatus $6,900 Closed
  41. 2018-11-21
    status Pending
  42. 2018-11-21
    status Pending
  43. 2018-11-07
    price $6,600
  44. 2018-11-07
    price $6,600
  45. 2018-11-06
    historical
  46. 2018-11-06
    historical
  47. 2018-11-01
    listed $6,900 Active
  48. 2018-11-01
    listed $6,900 Active
  49. 2018-10-10
    price $6,900
  50. 2018-10-09
    price $6,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,731
− Mortgage interest
−$555
− Property taxes
−$148
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$288
Taxable income
$12,174
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,922
After-tax cash flow
$8,685/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-85.8% since first listed
49 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-09 Listed $8,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-09 Listed $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-24 Sold (MLS) $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-24 Sold (MLS) $8,500 REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-02-29 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-02-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-02-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-13 Price Changed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-12 Price Changed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-14 Listed $27,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-14 Listed $27,500 REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-10-31 Price Changed $27,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-30 Price Changed $27,500 REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-31 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-12-13 Sold (MLS) $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-13 Sold (MLS) $6,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-07 Price Changed $6,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-07 Price Changed $6,600 REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-01 Listed $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-01 Listed $6,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-10-10 Price Changed $6,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-10-09 Price Changed $6,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-07 Price Changed $7,505 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-07 Price Changed $7,505 REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-12 Price Changed $7,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-07-12 Price Changed $7,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-08 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-08 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-04-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-01-26 Listed $7,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-01-26 Listed $7,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-05-26 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,196 · -49.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…