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192 Cottonwood Ct
B Composite 71.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

192 Cottonwood Ct · Stockbridge, GA 30281
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,460 sqft · Manufactured public records · 218 Days on market
Built 1975 $113/sqft · 30% below area Est $234k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

Key facts

  • Low-maintenance yard
  • Cul-de-sac lot
  • Single-level living

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTSINGLE-LEVEL LIVINGLOW-MAINTENANCE YARDCUL-DE-SAC LOTESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.3% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 586 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $165k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.76%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,232
List price
$164,900
Delta
-29.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,599
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$28,382
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30281

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
586
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,113 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$529

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Glenwood Way Stockbridge, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 981 $1,821 $1.86 1d 21 0.51mi
1541 Salinger Ct Unit 1541 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,050 $1.35 16d 1 0.93mi
1577 Salinger Ct Unit 1577 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1535 $2,425 $1.58 43d 1 0.94mi
1593 Salinger Ct Unit 1593 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,145 $1.41 24d 1 0.96mi
2046 Proust Ln Stockbridge, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1523 $2,425 $1.59 1d 3 0.96mi
1429 Proust Ln Unit 1429 Stockbridge, GA 2.0 2.0 1511 $2,099 $1.39 24d 1 0.96mi
1721 Tolstoy Ln Unit 1721 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,195 $1.45 24d 1 1.00mi
1646 Salinger Ct Unit 1646 Stockbridge, GA 2.0 2.0 1511 $2,150 $1.42 16d 1 1.01mi
1712 Tolstoy Ln Unit 1712 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,195 $1.45 43d 1 1.03mi
1716 Tolstoy Ln Unit 1716 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1519 $2,050 $1.35 16d 1 1.03mi
1728 Tolstoy Ln Unit 1728 Stockbridge, GA 3.0 2.0 1535 $2,425 $1.58 24d 1 1.03mi
1900 Waterford Lndg McDonough, GA 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1159 $1,774 $1.53 1d 26 1.11mi
360 Brannans Ct McDonough, GA 3.0 2.5 1460 $1,809 $1.24 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 218 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 216 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,900 Active 212 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,900 Active 210 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $164,900 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,900 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 Active 205 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 204 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 203 DOM
  11. 2026-05-16
    price $164,900 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  12. 2026-03-04
    price $174,900 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  13. 2026-02-23
    status Back On Market 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  14. 2026-02-22
    historical 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  15. 2026-02-09
    status Back On Market 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  16. 2026-02-08
    historical 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  17. 2026-01-08
    price $179,900 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  18. 2025-11-07
    listed $189,000 New 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy retreat in the heart of Stockbridge. This charming home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a peaceful, over one acre cul-de-sac lot. Inside features an open-concept layout with a spacious family room, formal living or dining area, and a kitchen with ample cabinet space. Comfortable bedrooms and single-level living provide everyday convenience, while the low-maintenance yard is ideal for relaxing or light gardening. This property offers great potential as an affordable primary residence or investment property in a quiet, established neighborhood close to shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Seller is offering a lease purchase option for qualified buyers.

  19. 2004-05-27
    soldstatus $62,000
  20. 1994-05-19
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,353
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$2,474
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,028
− Management
−$2,028
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$3,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$951
After-tax cash flow
$5,402/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Stockbridge

Score
60/100
State rank
#389
US rank
#19479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
71,603
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
71,603
Household income
$71,213
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
2464.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.76%
Current HPI
207.2332
Rent YoY
▲ 0.87%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+312.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $164,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $174,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-22 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $179,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $189,000 GAMLS
  • 2004-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-13.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $40 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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