5874 Beldart St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 1-story home offers comfort, style, and value in a convenient Houston location. Featuring 3 bedrooms and a bright open-concept living area, the layout feels both functional and inviting. The kitchen includes granite countertops, soft-close drawers, and great prep space, all open to the main living area for easy everyday living and entertaining. The converted garage has been transformed into a spacious dining room—adding valuable living space and flexibility. Durable laminate and tile flooring run throughout, while natural light fills the home with a warm, welcoming feel. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or hosting. A double-wide driveway provides ample parking. Energy-efficient features include a high-efficiency HVAC system, programmable thermostat, and LED lighting. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizing, or investors, with easy access to major roads, the Medical Center, and Downtown.
Key facts
- 7,200 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mading El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 339 students, 96% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,863/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.88%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,735
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- 26.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5879 Belneath St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-7%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $79 | 84 |
| 5842 Beldart St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,185 (-8%) | 1mo | $194,700 | $164 | 77 |
| 5822 Beldart St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $181 | 70 |
| 5831 Lyndhurst Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (-6%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $87 | 66 |
| 5962 Belcrest St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-9%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $149 | 65 |
| 5835 Kenilwood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,275 (-1%) | 2mo | $108,000 | $85 | 65 |
| 5707 Lyndhurst Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (+3%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $150 | 61 |
| 5639 Westover St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,289 (-0%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $178 | 60 |
| 5879 Belcrest St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (+15%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $134 | 60 |
| 6122 Beldart St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+2%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $151 | 59 |
| 5602 Beldart St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,173 (-9%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $136 | 48 |
| 5951 Willow Glen Dr | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (-14%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $94 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,288
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $27,328
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,169/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $270 | +0% $216 | +5% $163 | +10% $109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $69 | -5% $143 | +0% $216 | +5% $290 | +10% $364 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $265 | base $216 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,790 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1407 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6419 Belarbor St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,425 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6418 Hirondel St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $1,999 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5314 Longmeadow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1646 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5012 Higgins St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1611 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 26d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5408 Groveton St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,983 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7710 Darnay Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1635 | $2,095 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5458 Osprey Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $1,595 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10902 Faircroft Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1308 | $1,455 | $1.11 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Pending 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $189,900 Pending 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $209,000 996-char remark
Show marketing remark (996 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 1-story home offers comfort, style, and value in a convenient Houston location. Featuring 3 bedrooms and a bright open-concept living area, the layout feels both functional and inviting. The kitchen includes granite countertops, soft-close drawers, and great prep space, all open to the main living area for easy everyday living and entertaining. The converted garage has been transformed into a spacious dining room—adding valuable living space and flexibility. Durable laminate and tile flooring run throughout, while natural light fills the home with a warm, welcoming feel. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or hosting. A double-wide driveway provides ample parking. Energy-efficient features include a high-efficiency HVAC system, programmable thermostat, and LED lighting. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizing, or investors, with easy access to major roads, the Medical Center, and Downtown.
-
2026-04-10$214,000 Active 996-char remark
Show marketing remark (996 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 1-story home offers comfort, style, and value in a convenient Houston location. Featuring 3 bedrooms and a bright open-concept living area, the layout feels both functional and inviting. The kitchen includes granite countertops, soft-close drawers, and great prep space, all open to the main living area for easy everyday living and entertaining. The converted garage has been transformed into a spacious dining room—adding valuable living space and flexibility. Durable laminate and tile flooring run throughout, while natural light fills the home with a warm, welcoming feel. Enjoy a fully fenced backyard with a covered patio—perfect for relaxing or hosting. A double-wide driveway provides ample parking. Energy-efficient features include a high-efficiency HVAC system, programmable thermostat, and LED lighting. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizing, or investors, with easy access to major roads, the Medical Center, and Downtown.
-
2015-06-16soldstatus
-
2015-06-12historical 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
THIS HOME HAS BEEN REMODELED AND LOOKS GREAT-FRESH PAINT INSIDE AND OUTSIDE-NEW CARPET- HARDI PLANK EXTERIOR-COME SEE BEFORE IT'S TO LATE!!HURRY!!HURRY!!
-
2015-06-12soldstatus Sold 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
THIS HOME HAS BEEN REMODELED AND LOOKS GREAT-FRESH PAINT INSIDE AND OUTSIDE-NEW CARPET- HARDI PLANK EXTERIOR-COME SEE BEFORE IT'S TO LATE!!HURRY!!HURRY!!
-
2015-05-11status Pending 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
THIS HOME HAS BEEN REMODELED AND LOOKS GREAT-FRESH PAINT INSIDE AND OUTSIDE-NEW CARPET- HARDI PLANK EXTERIOR-COME SEE BEFORE IT'S TO LATE!!HURRY!!HURRY!!
-
2015-04-10$65,000 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
THIS HOME HAS BEEN REMODELED AND LOOKS GREAT-FRESH PAINT INSIDE AND OUTSIDE-NEW CARPET- HARDI PLANK EXTERIOR-COME SEE BEFORE IT'S TO LATE!!HURRY!!HURRY!!
-
2005-11-03soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,169 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,475 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,306/yr (+$109/mo · 60.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,362
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,169
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$496
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$119
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+221.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $209,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $214,000 HARMLS
- 2015-06-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-06-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2015-06-12 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2015-05-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2015-04-10 Listed $65,000 HARMLS
- 2005-11-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,169 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…