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17196 Shields St
D+ Composite 49.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

17196 Shields St · Detroit, MI 48212
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,034 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1925 3,049 sqft lot Est $254k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

17196 Shields Street, Detroit, MI 48212-1215 offers a great opportunity for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to add value to a classic Detroit property. Completely remodeled , this single-family or Double-family home features approximately 1,034 square feet of living space situated on a manageable lot in an established neighborhood near Hamtramck. The home includes 2 full bathrooms, 4 bedrooms, a spacious layout with strong potential for renovation, and a basement providing additional storage or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this property combines affordability with long-term potential. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, or a place to customize and make your own, this property is full of possibilities.

Key facts

  • Completely remodeled
  • Close to dining
  • Additional storage

Tags

COMPLETELY REMODELEDSPACIOUS LAYOUTADDITIONAL STORAGEFUTURE FINISHING POSSIBILITIESCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax reported

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level with ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Built above-grade finished area approximately 1,034 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.07 acres (30 x 107)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 8 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,541/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1175% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $154,059 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.19%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$254,364
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3878 Charles St 0.62mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,021 (-1%) 12mo $251,500 $246 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-24,712
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-13,960
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48212

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $536/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,418
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $204 -5% $151 +0% $97 +5% $43 +10% $-11
Rent -10% $-25 -5% $36 +0% $97 +5% $158 +10% $219
Rate -1.0pp $193 -0.5pp $145 base $97 +0.5pp $48 +1.0pp $-2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-25
    listed $190,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (818 chars)

    17196 Shields Street, Detroit, MI 48212-1215 offers a great opportunity for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to add value to a classic Detroit property. Completely remodeled , this single-family or Double-family home features approximately 1,034 square feet of living space situated on a manageable lot in an established neighborhood near Hamtramck. The home includes 2 full bathrooms, 4 bedrooms, a spacious layout with strong potential for renovation, and a basement providing additional storage or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this property combines affordability with long-term potential. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, or a place to customize and make your own, this property is full of possibilities.

  14. 2026-05-25
    listed $190,000 Active 818-char remark
    Show marketing remark (818 chars)

    17196 Shields Street, Detroit, MI 48212-1215 offers a great opportunity for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone looking to add value to a classic Detroit property. Completely remodeled , this single-family or Double-family home features approximately 1,034 square feet of living space situated on a manageable lot in an established neighborhood near Hamtramck. The home includes 2 full bathrooms, 4 bedrooms, a spacious layout with strong potential for renovation, and a basement providing additional storage or future finishing possibilities. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this property combines affordability with long-term potential. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, or a place to customize and make your own, this property is full of possibilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$536 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,731 · $144/mo
Expected delta
+$1,195/yr (+$100/mo · 223.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,487
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$536
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,479
− Management
−$1,479
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$2,127
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$510
After-tax cash flow
$1,673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
43,384
Household income
$38,186
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
1175.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Asian 29% Black 19% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 1% American 1%
Foreign-born
41%
Languages at home
36% English-only · Other Indo-European 28% Arabic 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.41%
Current HPI
292.9126
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $536 · -53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…