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2588 Dickens Ct
D- Composite 37.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$289,000

2588 Dickens Ct · Aurora, IL 60503
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,384 sqft · Townhouse public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1998 Est $275k · at est. $368/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • $368 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property currently being leased; Commuter access: school bus service, commuter bus, commuter train, interstate access
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $337; Master association fee $380 yearly; Association covers water, insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, scavenger, and snow removal; Community park; Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK) with deposits and possible additional pet rent; max pet weight 40 lbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 garage space, 1 total parking); Asphalt driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Attached single-unit townhouse, 2 stories; Entry level: 1; Condo ownership; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Building about 26–30 years old; Part of a 4-unit building
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eating area with breakfast bar and table space
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second level (15 x 13); Second bedroom on second level (12 x 10); Two additional bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring in living/dining areas; Wood laminate in living room and dining room; Ceramic tile in kitchen, eating area, and laundry; Carpet in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full baths; One half bath; Soaking tub
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate dining room; Window screens; Ceiling fan(s); CO detectors; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; In-unit laundry on upper level (8 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $289k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-540 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (33.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Wolfs Crossing Elem School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 2,056 statewide, top 18%, 485 students, 0% FRL); Bednarcik Junior High School (math 39% / reading 38%, grade F, #154 of 665 statewide, top 24%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $193,584 (33.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.05%
Cash-on-cash
-8.01%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,416
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2509 Dickens Dr 0.19mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,384 (0%) 12mo $275,000 $199 76
2487 Dickens Dr 0.21mi 2/2.5 1,384 (0%) 24mo $258,000 $186 70
2411 Dickens Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,366 (-1%) 19mo $270,000 $198 67
2331 Georgetown Cir 0.70mi 2/2.5 1,426 (+3%) 17mo $290,000 $203 48
2049 Sunrise Cir 0.75mi 2/2.5 1,266 (-8%) 11mo $280,000 $221 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$123,320
Equity at exit
$260,354
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$390,856
Equity at exit
$561,463

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60503

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,437 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax from tax record
$461 /mo · $5,536/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$368
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$-540

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,121
Max offer price $193,584
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-377 -5% $-458 +0% $-540 +5% $-622 +10% $-704
Rent -10% $-733 -5% $-636 +0% $-540 +5% $-444 +10% $-348
Rate -1.0pp $-395 -0.5pp $-467 base $-540 +0.5pp $-615 +1.0pp $-691

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2565 Dickens Ct Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1116 $2,300 $2.06 45d 1 0.06mi
2554 Dickens Dr Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1116 $2,050 $1.84 26d 1 0.09mi
2552 Dickens Dr Unit 2552 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,150 $1.92 45d 1 0.09mi
2454 Frost Dr Unit 2454 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1230 $2,300 $1.87 45d 1 0.18mi
2873 Carlsbad Cir Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1626 $2,990 $1.84 45d 1 0.18mi
2503 Dickens Dr #2503 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,050 $1.78 45d 1 0.21mi
2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,300 $1.48 45d 1 0.74mi
2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1532 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.77mi
2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 45d 1 0.81mi
2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1532 $2,400 $1.57 3d 1 0.81mi
260 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,400 $1.41 14d 1 0.85mi
2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,500 $1.63 45d 1 0.86mi
2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,395 $1.62 22d 1 0.89mi
2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1482 $2,300 $1.55 19d 1 0.93mi
337 Devoe Dr #337 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,600 $1.73 26d 1 0.98mi
347 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,595 $1.71 14d 1 1.00mi
2000 Emblem Cir Oswego, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,362 $2.45 0d 29 1.01mi
2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 6d 1 1.02mi
2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,500 $1.54 45d 1 1.02mi
4462 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1783 $3,400 $1.91 45d 1 1.05mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1588 $2,795 $1.76 45d 1 1.06mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1588 $2,795 $1.76 13d 1 1.06mi
4456 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1600 $2,850 $1.78 3d 1 1.06mi
4475 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1555 $3,100 $1.99 0d 1 1.07mi
4444 Monroe Ct Naperville, IL 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,300 $1.85 0d 1 1.07mi
4444 Monroe Ct Unit 4444 Naperville, IL 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,300 $1.85 3d 1 1.07mi
2909 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 3.0 2.5 1783 $3,095 $1.74 20d 1 1.10mi
2923 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,550 $1.65 23d 1 1.10mi
2933 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1783 $3,000 $1.68 11d 1 1.11mi
2995 Madison Dr Naperville, IL 2.0 2.5 1793 $3,000 $1.67 13d 1 1.18mi
246 Cooney Way Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1767 $2,800 $1.58 45d 1 1.32mi
2337 Summerlin Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 45d 1 1.36mi
690 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 4d 1 1.36mi
2333 Summerlin Dr #2333 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,500 $1.59 45d 1 1.36mi
669 Lincoln Station Dr #669 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,250 $1.71 22d 1 1.41mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 19d 1 1.45mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 5d 1 1.45mi
1914 Spinnaker Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $3,000 $2.12 45d 1 1.46mi
644 Lincoln Station Dr #644 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 45d 1 1.47mi
640 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 45d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$368 · $4,416/yr

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $289,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-21
    historical $289,000
  16. 2025-06-04
    historical $2,345
  17. 2025-05-20
    price $2,345
  18. 2025-05-09
    listed $2,350
  19. 2025-05-08
    historical $2,390
  20. 2025-04-16
    price $2,390
  21. 2025-04-02
    listed $2,400
  22. 2024-05-24
    historical $2,300
  23. 2024-05-08
    soldstatus $255,000
  24. 2024-05-03
    price $2,300
  25. 2024-04-30
    price $2,301
  26. 2024-04-27
    listed $2,300
  27. 2024-04-25
    soldstatus $255,000 Closed 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  28. 2024-03-25
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  29. 2024-03-22
    listed $235,000 Active 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  30. 2017-04-17
    soldstatus $356,100
  31. 2004-07-07
    soldstatus $144,500
  32. 2002-06-25
    soldstatus $128,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,536 · $461/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,048 · $504/mo
Expected delta
+$512/yr (+$43/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,243
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$5,536
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,339
− Management
−$2,339
− HOA
−$4,416
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$11,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,743
After-tax cash flow
$-3,739/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 308
NCES district ID
1730270
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$89,945
Composite
31.25/100
National rank
#6028
State rank
#179 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,789
Household income
$136,726
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
19.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.31%
Current HPI
232.382
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $289,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $289,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-04 Rental Removed $2,345 MRED
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $2,345 MRED
  • 2025-05-09 Listed for Rent $2,350 MRED
  • 2025-05-08 Rental Removed $2,390 MRED
  • 2025-04-16 Price Changed $2,390 MRED
  • 2025-04-02 Listed for Rent $2,400 MRED
  • 2024-05-24 Rental Removed $2,300 MRED
  • 2024-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-03 Price Changed $2,300 MRED
  • 2024-04-30 Price Changed $2,301 MRED
  • 2024-04-27 Listed for Rent $2,300 MRED
  • 2024-04-25 Sold (MLS) $255,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-25 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $235,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $356,100 Public Records
  • 2004-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $144,500 Public Records
  • 2002-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $128,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,536 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…