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2751 Cloverdale Ave
F Composite 34.88
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

2751 Cloverdale Ave · Madison, MI 49221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 916 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1940 0.34 ac lot Est $142k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming two-story home in Madison Township, ideally situated on a desirable double lot that provides extra outdoor space and flexibility. The interior offers two comfortable bedrooms with the potential for a third, along with the convenience of main-floor laundry. Recent updates include an updated kitchen and bathroom, brand-new windows, and newly redone electrical for added peace of mind. A durable metal roof installed in 2024 adds long-term value and protection. With thoughtful updates and ample yard space, this home is a great opportunity for buyers looking for comfort, functionality, and room to grow.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 131 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 158 (0.34 acre); Subdivision: Drexel Park; Ground-level entry with steps

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($969/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (19.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Madison School District (Lenawee) (town): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #195 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $142k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,766 (19.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.04%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,980
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2751 Cloverdale Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 916 (0%) 14mo $142,400 $155 83
1592 Taylor Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 832 (-9%) 17mo $145,000 $174 62
1673 Naomi Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 888 (-3%) 17mo $103,000 $116 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-22,489
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-13,311
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49221

Active inventory
214
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,368 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,265
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
413 E Maple Ave Unit 2 Adrian, MI 2.0 1.0 652 $1,200 $1.84 23d 1 1.23mi
413 E Maple Ave Unit 1 Adrian, MI 2.0 1.0 826 $1,500 $1.82 23d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $170,000 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $170,000 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-01-29
    listed $170,000 Active 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Welcome to this charming two-story home in Madison Township, ideally situated on a desirable double lot that provides extra outdoor space and flexibility. The interior offers two comfortable bedrooms with the potential for a third, along with the convenience of main-floor laundry. Recent updates include an updated kitchen and bathroom, brand-new windows, and newly redone electrical for added peace of mind. A durable metal roof installed in 2024 adds long-term value and protection. With thoughtful updates and ample yard space, this home is a great opportunity for buyers looking for comfort, functionality, and room to grow.

  11. 2026-01-29
    listed $170,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Welcome to this charming two-story home in Madison Township, ideally situated on a desirable double lot that provides extra outdoor space and flexibility. The interior offers two comfortable bedrooms with the potential for a third, along with the convenience of main-floor laundry. Recent updates include an updated kitchen and bathroom, brand-new windows, and newly redone electrical for added peace of mind. A durable metal roof installed in 2024 adds long-term value and protection. With thoughtful updates and ample yard space, this home is a great opportunity for buyers looking for comfort, functionality, and room to grow.

  12. 2026-01-28
    historical $170,000 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Welcome to this charming two-story home in Madison Township, ideally situated on a desirable double lot that provides extra outdoor space and flexibility. The interior offers two comfortable bedrooms with the potential for a third, along with the convenience of main-floor laundry. Recent updates include an updated kitchen and bathroom, brand-new windows, and newly redone electrical for added peace of mind. A durable metal roof installed in 2024 adds long-term value and protection. With thoughtful updates and ample yard space, this home is a great opportunity for buyers looking for comfort, functionality, and room to grow.

  13. 2025-04-22
    soldstatus $142,400
  14. 2025-04-16
    soldstatus $142,400 Closed 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Great Home 2-story home for sale in Madison Township! This property sits on a double lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms with the possibility of a 3rd, convenient main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. A metal roof was installed in 2024, ensuring long-lasting protection for your home. Move-in ready and immediate occupancy!

  15. 2025-04-16
    soldstatus $142,400 Closed
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Great Home 2-story home for sale in Madison Township! This property sits on a double lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms with the possibility of a 3rd, convenient main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. A metal roof was installed in 2024, ensuring long-lasting protection for your home. Move-in ready and immediate occupancy!

  16. 2025-03-11
    historical Active Under Contract 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Great Home 2-story home for sale in Madison Township! This property sits on a double lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms with the possibility of a 3rd, convenient main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. A metal roof was installed in 2024, ensuring long-lasting protection for your home. Move-in ready and immediate occupancy!

  17. 2025-03-11
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Great Home 2-story home for sale in Madison Township! This property sits on a double lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms with the possibility of a 3rd, convenient main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. A metal roof was installed in 2024, ensuring long-lasting protection for your home. Move-in ready and immediate occupancy!

  18. 2025-03-10
    listed $144,900 Active 376-char remark
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Great Home 2-story home for sale in Madison Township! This property sits on a double lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms with the possibility of a 3rd, convenient main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. A metal roof was installed in 2024, ensuring long-lasting protection for your home. Move-in ready and immediate occupancy!

  19. 2025-03-10
    listed $144,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (376 chars)

    Great Home 2-story home for sale in Madison Township! This property sits on a double lot, offering plenty of outdoor space. Inside, you'll find 2 bedrooms with the possibility of a 3rd, convenient main floor laundry, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. A metal roof was installed in 2024, ensuring long-lasting protection for your home. Move-in ready and immediate occupancy!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$448 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,533 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$1,085/yr (+$90/mo · 242.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,412
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,313
− Management
−$1,313
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$1,980
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$475
After-tax cash flow
$1,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison School District (Lenawee)
NCES district ID
2622320
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,961
Composite
35.35/100
National rank
#4959
State rank
#195 of 540 in MI

Livability — Madison

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
41,041

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.64%
Current HPI
237.3796
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $170,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-28 Coming Soon $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $142,400 Public Records
  • 2025-04-16 Sold (MLS) $142,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Sold (MLS) $142,400 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-11 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-11 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $144,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $448 · -39.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…