Fourplex
152 Cannon St · Poughkeepsie, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Four Family Building Offering (3)Two Bedroom Apartments & (1) One Bedroom With Separate Utilities (Gas And Electric). This Turnkey Property Is Fully Rented And Includes A Spacious Backyard For Year Around Fun. Conveniently Located Close To Many Amenities, Major Highways, Restaurants/Delis, Shopping, Transportation And More. This Is An AS IS Sale, See Other Remarks For More Information.
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Spacious backyard
- Fully rented
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax year 2025
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking features
- Utilities: Public sewer; Central Hudson electric service; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Private trash collection
- Home design: Quadruplex
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Not waterfront; No additional parcels
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; Three 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas heating; Separate meters for utilities; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 7-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($48k/yr) — positive. Per door: $996/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $549k).
- Recommended offer: $533k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gov George Clinton School (math 5% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,825 of 2,108 statewide, top 88%, 222 students, 77% FRL); Poughkeepsie Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #650 of 729 statewide, top 90%, 877 students, 82% FRL); Poughkeepsie High School (math 59% / reading 67%, grade B-, #819 of 1,100 statewide, top 74%, 1,165 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $549k implies a 652% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.11%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $614,277
- List price
- $549,000
- Delta
- -10.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $172,191
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $507,253
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12601
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 17.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,276 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,025 /mo · $12,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,158
- Net cashflow
- $3,985
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 7 | — | $10,276 |
| #1 | 7 | — | $2,569 |
| #2 | 7 | — | $2,569 |
| #3 | 7 | — | $2,569 |
| #4 | 7 | — | $2,569 |
| Total (4 units) | $10,276 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $549,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $549,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $549,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $549,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $549,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $549,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $549,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $549,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $549,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $549,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $549,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $549,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $549,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-07$549,000 Active 474-char remark
-
2007-04-06historical
-
2006-10-10
-
1999-08-11soldstatus $73,000
-
1998-07-30soldstatus $8,000
-
1980-08-19soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $12,302 · $1,025/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,302 · $1,025/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $123,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$12,302
- − Insurance
- −$2,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,865
- − Management
- −$9,865
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable income
- $41,812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,035
- After-tax cash flow
- $37,787/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poughkeepsie City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623760
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,159
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6459
- State rank
- #559 of 590 in NY
Livability — Poughkeepsie
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #2577
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poughkeepsie, NY
- County
- Dutchess County · 188,048 people
- City population
- 86,468
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,164
- Household income
- $63,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2891.0
Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 291,768 people
- By 2030
- 287,131 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 274,881 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 259,971 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 235,366 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 208,786 · -28.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.62%
- Current HPI
- 293.9789
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+2395.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $549,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-06 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2006-10-10 Listed — HGMLS
- 1999-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1980-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $12,302 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…